First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season

[Sled]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I’m not ignoring it but I think we’re coming into agreement now. Should be accumulating snows to within 10 miles of coast 

I just made sure my plow works. That ought to send it all north 20 miles.

[Ginx snewx]

2 minutes ago, Sled said:

I just made sure my plow works. That ought to send it all north 20 miles.

Last thing I want, and this is my only OCD side, is leaves on fresh snow, so I finished raking any stragglers in the snow blowing routes. Lots of doggie trails and now a 100 yd blower trip to the new coops. 

[radarman]

That Reggie solution is best case scenario for many IMO

[HoarfrostHubb]

BOX is a bit aggressive here on the PnC

Tuesday

Snow, mainly after 9am. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 34. Calm wind becoming northeast around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 5 to 9 inches possible. 

Tuesday Night

Snow likely, mainly before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 19. Northwest wind 6 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible

[dryslot]

Looks like GYX stole my forecast.

Tuesday

Snow, mainly after noon. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 32. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches possible.

Tuesday Night

Snow likely, mainly before 10pm. The snow could be heavy at times. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 19. Chance of precipitation is 60%

[dryslot]

Looks like the 12z GFS is a tic or so west of 06z with the precip field, Bit stronger down to 983mb too.

[Kitz Craver]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

Looks like the 12z GFS is a tic or so west of 06z with the precip field, Bit stronger down to 983mb too.

How about temperature profile?

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, Kitz Craver said:

How about temperature profile?

Looked pretty similar to the 06z run

[powderfreak]

Pretty good consensus on somewhere in Middlesex or Worcester County, north of the mix line, is where the best chances are at a jackpot.

[radarman]

That double lobe thing mostly gone, with the primary low moving NE off Delmarva and deepening.  Nice looking run.

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, radarman said:

That double lobe thing mostly gone this run, with the primary low moving NE off Delmarva and deepening.  Nice looking run.

It was more consolidated and tracked over 41/69 at 983mb.

[dendrite]

I mean the euro op has to come NW at this point…right?

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Gfs is a toaster here. Looked a bit worse than 6z

[dryslot]

Its the furthest east of all guidance, I'm not sure what to make of that as i didn't follow how it has been this summer and only going on how it was last winter and it was off a bit then too.

[CoastalWx]

Gfs looks about right to me in terms of reasonable solutions. 

[CoastalWx]

6 minutes ago, dendrite said:

I mean the euro op has to come NW at this point…right?

It will

[UnitedWx]

1 hour ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Whatever happens, I’m not real concerned about precipitation type issues in Greenfield.  Should be a snowy Wednesday morning whether it’s 2” or 10”. 

More like Tuesday afternoon.  Looks like I'll be out plowing by midnight/2am if the timing on the models holds

[Kitz Craver]

8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Gfs looks about right to me in terms of reasonable solutions. 

You think it’ll be that wound up?

[Kitz Craver]

983 is a pretty legit coastal 

[ineedsnow]

Crush job here on the ICON GFS and CMC

[EastonSN+]

2 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Courtesy of Rays winter storm archive.

Again no accumulation for the coast.

Thinking December 5/6 decent comparison.

[Damage In Tolland]

I like that run 

[metagraphica]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I like that run 

6-8" for you. Rain for me. I like it too.

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

12z NAM spits outs 27" over my head. Therefore, it must be the most correct.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

9 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Crush job here on the ICON GFS and CMC

They all paint a similar picture. We crushy. I need to get the Christmas lights up in the next 48 hours.  

[dryslot]

Even the 06z Euro AI looks good.

[CoastalWx]

19 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

You think it’ll be that wound up?

I mean the overall track, etc. It has a potential to be a decent coastal, but I don’t think it was that wound up winds were kind of meh with that.

[CoastalWx]

13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I like that run 

Borderline even for you 

[Great Snow 1717]

6 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

They all paint a similar picture. We crushy. I need to get the Christmas lights up in the next 48 hours.  

I know a guy that can help with that!

 

[moneypitmike]

1 hour ago, dryslot said:

Looks like GYX stole my forecast.

Tuesday

Snow, mainly after noon. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 32. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches possible.

Tuesday Night

Snow likely, mainly before 10pm. The snow could be heavy at times. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 19. Chance of precipitation is 60%

Much more grandiose than mine!

Tuesday

Cloudy. A chance of snow in the morning, then snow in the afternoon. Moderate snow accumulation. Highs in the mid 30s. Light and variable winds. Chance of snow 90 percent.

 

Tuesday Night

Snow in the evening, then partly cloudy with a chance of snow after midnight. Lows in the lower 20s. Chance of snow 80 percent.