First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season

[Sled]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I’m not ignoring it but I think we’re coming into agreement now. Should be accumulating snows to within 10 miles of coast 

I just made sure my plow works. That ought to send it all north 20 miles.

[Ginx snewx]

2 minutes ago, Sled said:

I just made sure my plow works. That ought to send it all north 20 miles.

Last thing I want, and this is my only OCD side, is leaves on fresh snow, so I finished raking any stragglers in the snow blowing routes. Lots of doggie trails and now a 100 yd blower trip to the new coops. 

[radarman]

That Reggie solution is best case scenario for many IMO

[HoarfrostHubb]

BOX is a bit aggressive here on the PnC

Tuesday

Snow, mainly after 9am. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 34. Calm wind becoming northeast around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 5 to 9 inches possible. 

Tuesday Night

Snow likely, mainly before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 19. Northwest wind 6 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible

[dryslot]

Looks like GYX stole my forecast.

Tuesday

Snow, mainly after noon. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 32. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches possible.

Tuesday Night

Snow likely, mainly before 10pm. The snow could be heavy at times. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 19. Chance of precipitation is 60%

[dryslot]

Looks like the 12z GFS is a tic or so west of 06z with the precip field, Bit stronger down to 983mb too.

[Kitz Craver]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

Looks like the 12z GFS is a tic or so west of 06z with the precip field, Bit stronger down to 983mb too.

How about temperature profile?

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, Kitz Craver said:

How about temperature profile?

Looked pretty similar to the 06z run

[powderfreak]

Pretty good consensus on somewhere in Middlesex or Worcester County, north of the mix line, is where the best chances are at a jackpot.

[radarman]

That double lobe thing mostly gone, with the primary low moving NE off Delmarva and deepening.  Nice looking run.

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, radarman said:

That double lobe thing mostly gone this run, with the primary low moving NE off Delmarva and deepening.  Nice looking run.

It was more consolidated and tracked over 41/69 at 983mb.

[dendrite]

I mean the euro op has to come NW at this point…right?

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Gfs is a toaster here. Looked a bit worse than 6z

[dryslot]

Its the furthest east of all guidance, I'm not sure what to make of that as i didn't follow how it has been this summer and only going on how it was last winter and it was off a bit then too.

[CoastalWx]

Gfs looks about right to me in terms of reasonable solutions. 

[CoastalWx]

6 minutes ago, dendrite said:

I mean the euro op has to come NW at this point…right?

It will

[UnitedWx]

1 hour ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Whatever happens, I’m not real concerned about precipitation type issues in Greenfield.  Should be a snowy Wednesday morning whether it’s 2” or 10”. 

More like Tuesday afternoon.  Looks like I'll be out plowing by midnight/2am if the timing on the models holds

[Kitz Craver]

8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Gfs looks about right to me in terms of reasonable solutions. 

You think it’ll be that wound up?

[Kitz Craver]

983 is a pretty legit coastal 

[ineedsnow]

Crush job here on the ICON GFS and CMC

[EastonSN+]

2 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Courtesy of Rays winter storm archive.

Again no accumulation for the coast.

Thinking December 5/6 decent comparison.

[Damage In Tolland]

I like that run 

[metagraphica]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I like that run 

6-8" for you. Rain for me. I like it too.

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

12z NAM spits outs 27" over my head. Therefore, it must be the most correct.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

9 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Crush job here on the ICON GFS and CMC

They all paint a similar picture. We crushy. I need to get the Christmas lights up in the next 48 hours.  

[dryslot]

Even the 06z Euro AI looks good.

[CoastalWx]

19 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

You think it’ll be that wound up?

I mean the overall track, etc. It has a potential to be a decent coastal, but I don’t think it was that wound up winds were kind of meh with that.

[CoastalWx]

13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I like that run 

Borderline even for you