December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread

[ineedsnow]

[dryslot]

18z Euro on borad for the 14th, Really gets going but just a bit late.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

It’s nice to see us focus on 15 day horizons in December. Bodes well for the perennial can kicking in Jan and Feb…

[ineedsnow]

Just now, dryslot said:

18z Euro on borad for the 14th, Really gets going but just a bit late.

 

 

lets sharpen that up a bit

[SouthCoastMA]

3 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Ai also

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

lets sharpen that up a bit

Not that far off.

[SJonesWX]

12 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

What?

This?  I went looking expecting like 80F and 6” of rain.

He beer.

[ORH_wxman]

That’s a pretty decent sized event for recent standards over SE areas. But I think decent banding would prob get back into interior too. 

[brooklynwx99]

this is why it’s sometimes not as simple as worse PNA -> weaker storm… the TPV is better oriented and allows the vort to curl more

[Baroclinic Zone]

8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I actually feel very positive for the Saturday night snow . I really do think it’s coming . My gut feeling generally works 

[dryslot]

Overnight low is suppose to be 12°F, Already there.

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

this is why it’s sometimes not as simple as worse PNA -> weaker storm… the TPV is better oriented and allows the vort to curl more

Yeah SE Canada does make a difference too. Ridge axis is a little west on that 18z run too…so even though it isn’t taller, it’s better oriented. 

[SouthCoastMA]

9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I actually feel very positive for the Saturday night snow . I really do think it’s coming . My gut feeling generally works 

'Dangerous game' you are playing sir. Be careful!

[ORH_wxman]

Fwiw, the energy responsible for the Sunday system is over Siberia and crosses over north of AK tomorrow night and finally into Canada by Thursday during the day. So we could still see some decent changes. 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Already down to 16°. 

[dendrite]

8 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Overnight low is suppose to be 12°F, Already there.

16° here but it should slowly climb the rest of the night

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

18 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Wow, that might be the best look we’ve had in years here if that verified 

[CoastalWx]

Please work out 

[dryslot]

4 minutes ago, dendrite said:

16° here but it should slowly climb the rest of the night

Back up to 13.5/3.6°F so that was short lived.

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

 Lol not at all. Just here like the rest of you for the same reasons. 

Not you...the northeast weather alerts guy you referenced.

[ineedsnow]

EPS also better

[ineedsnow]

actually way better

[WinterWolf]

3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Wow, that might be the best look we’ve had in years here if that verified 

Whoa….I somewhat positive post; are you ok? Delirious from fever?  

[SouthCoastMA]

Glass half full: Most are above average snowfall by 12/15 with 9/10 days left for models to mute the Christmas torch and associated cutter, if still applicable

[Snowcrazed71]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Not you...the northeast weather alerts guy you referenced.

I deleted my post. I realize you probably were talking about him. I don't find him to be all that bad. Not compared to a lot of these other bozos. 

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

On 12/7/2025 at 6:43 PM, powderfreak said:

I swear last I read was some good chance coming up, Ray (last night) saying a storm is coming, not looking at models till Wednesday… second week of December, etc.

Wasn’t that very recently?

 

On 12/7/2025 at 6:56 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Well tbh., Ray says that fairly often . Maybe he’ll be right . And I think he’d admit that 

 

On 12/7/2025 at 9:03 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

What? I don't think I'm one to jump prematurely...all I said was significant snow likely around mid month....to me, "significant " is like greater than 3".

 

32 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I actually feel very positive for the Saturday night snow . I really do think it’s coming . My gut feeling generally works 

Welcome aboard.

[Baroclinic Zone]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

 

 

 

Welcome aboard.

Some flop worse than LeBron James.

[kdxken]

35 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

It’s nice to see us focus on 15 day horizons in December. Bodes well for the perennial can kicking in Jan and Feb…

It's like clockwork ain't it?

[WinterWolf]

12 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

actually way better

Can you post the mean? 

[kdxken]

12 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

Glass half full: Most are above average snowfall by 12/15 with 9/10 days left for models to mute the Christmas torch and associated cutter, if still applicable

Stop being reasonable.