December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread

[Snowcrazed71]

2 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

I’m dying. 

 

2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Lol

I may not always agree or like what you say, but I nearly spit my lunch out after reading what you wrote. I think I'm starting to appreciate and understand your sick sense of humor. Lol

[40/70 Benchmark]

I'm so sick of the social mediaologists advertising "wild times"....GTF outta here with that. If I can't see "wild" out my window, and I have to look at the thermometer, then that isn't wild. Wait until a major storm is consistently modeled.

[Torch Tiger]

https://www.bostonglobe.com/2025/12/03/metro/new-england-polar-vortex-cold-snap/

[Typhoon Tip]

21 minutes ago, Layman said:

Thread itdays of Eastern … some college graduate ager’s ago, and I probably would’ve.  But nowadays…? No way. Too much political bs ‘Rhea.

Lol. Yeah right.  Too many lords of flies around here. 
 

The problem is people don’t really appreciate insight/foresight and honest intention. Their primary purpose for being in here is an addiction - haha.  I little frustration in saying so.. okay, but if the shoe fits?  When you don’t fulfill an addiction, you become a crank - that’s how all drug addicts are. You know … withdraw sucks and they come to associate the failed d-drip (when during the cinema period being more important than the storm itself), to whomever it was that actually detected the possibility in the first place - as completely “fair” as that is. I mean the recognition and so forth was/is usually clad and very possible. Not everyone can score though, because we still deal in a chaotic enterprise   ...etc etc
 

[dendrite]

11 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

https://www.bostonglobe.com/2025/12/03/metro/new-england-polar-vortex-cold-snap/

I like how any cold shot now is a polar vortex. The media is so dumb.

[ORH_wxman]

Euro has a little clipper overnight 12/9-10. Bigger looking clipper for 12/11…that one almost morphs into a SWFE. There’s stuff to watch at least. 

[Typhoon Tip]

If folks wanna muse... check out that 00z CrazyForecastSystem model known as the CFS.   There's a high impact coast for the 11th/12th, which is really in all honesty the same 10th/11th period we've been toying with - at this range, even the shitty models will shuffle within spatial-temporal reasonability. 

Anyway, the Euro has it too but all these guidance types are highly mutable at this range ...goes without sayin'

[CoastalWx]

6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Euro has a little clipper overnight 12/9-10. Bigger looking clipper for 12/11…that one almost morphs into a SWFE. There’s stuff to watch at least. 

Yeah euro has some opportunities 

[WxWatcher007]

47 minutes ago, Layman said:

Thread it!

The superstitious among us may burn him at the stake. 

[tavwtby]

39 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Euro has a little clipper overnight 12/9-10. Bigger looking clipper for 12/11…that one almost morphs into a SWFE. There’s stuff to watch at least. 

that timeframe has been showing something for a few runs, hopefully we can get a good high anchored and maybe some redevelopment for a refresher. I miss the clippers in between bigger coastals 

[CoastalWx]

1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I'm so sick of the social mediaologists advertising "wild times"....GTF outta here with that. If I can't see "wild" out my window, and I have to look at the thermometer, then that isn't wild. Wait until a major storm is consistently modeled.

Let me guess, Mark MoreGarbage?

[tamarack]

45 minutes ago, dendrite said:

I like how any cold shot now is a polar vortex. The media is so dumb.

And any snowstorm bigger than a weak clipper is a bomb cyclone (looking at you, CNN).  Usually those have some wind, even inland.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

2 hours ago, dendrite said:

Reggie looks interesting with the norlun right up through here.

You can see the col at H92 moving eastward south of LI and the inv trof moving W to E through the region. Of course that’s lalaland for these things.

This is fake news anyway, but the hilarious part is it’s probably too warm in a lot of eastern ma.

the beatings will continue 

[kdxken]

 

[kdxken]

Gonna get cold. Daily records broken in spots perhaps?

[tavwtby]

16 minutes ago, tamarack said:

And any snowstorm bigger than a weak clipper is a bomb cyclone (looking at you, CNN).  Usually those have some wind, even inland.

anything to raise the cortisol level in the populus and get them scared of winter weather...in the winter. 

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, kdxken said:

Gonna get cold. Daily records broken in spots perhaps?

Let’s play fill in the blank:

 

Bring the cold, and the _______ will come. 

[SouthCoastMA]

5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Let’s play fill in the blank:

 

Bring the cold, and the _______ will come. 

ineedsnow

[ORH_wxman]

That mid month torch is looking more and more flaccid each run of the EPS/Euro. GEFS are still trying for it for several days but I’ll say that the EPS has been taking the GEFS to the woodshed in the medium/long range over the past few weeks. 
 

[ariof]

1 hour ago, dendrite said:

I like how any cold shot now is a polar vortex. The media is so dumb.

To be fair … if the current Euro op verified it would probably mean the coldest December since 1989.

Nothing over 40 at KBOS, more time below 20 than above 30, average around 23 (monthly climo is 34, first half of the month is 37). Dry, would probably mean some dry snowmaking ponds but some very happy ski areas (especially if the atmosphere could squeeze out some natural snow.

GFS had it warmer out in clown range, and clown range doesn't hit Grinch Range anyway but we have to factor in 57° on xmas.

[SouthCoastMA]

The CMC OP was brutally cold at Day 9, opposite of the GFS. Curious what the GEPS showed

[Typhoon Tip]

6 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

The CMC OP was brutally cold at Day 9, opposite of the GFS. Curious what the GEPS showed

That +PNA is interestingly getting subtly more jacked with passing runs.   Much more and we're dealing with bigger cold off-load at continental scales. 

Euro was very +PNA a week from this weekend. It keeps the total a little less amped in the ridging over the west, otherwise it's probably digging that S/W more ...

[dendrite]

10 minutes ago, ariof said:

To be fair … if the current Euro op verified it would probably mean the coldest December since 1989.

Nothing over 40 at KBOS, more time below 20 than above 30, average around 23 (monthly climo is 34, first half of the month is 37). Dry, would probably mean some dry snowmaking ponds but some very happy ski areas (especially if the atmosphere could squeeze out some natural snow.

GFS had it warmer out in clown range, and clown range doesn't hit Grinch Range anyway but we have to factor in 57° on xmas.

They showed the 6z euro valid over the next few days. Check H5…there’s no PV. 

EC at 2m still tends to underestimate highs a little bit with sunshine. 

[weatherwiz]

33 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

That mid month torch is looking more and more flaccid each run of the EPS/Euro. GEFS are still trying for it for several days but I’ll say that the EPS has been taking the GEFS to the woodshed in the medium/long range over the past few weeks. 
 

The only thing getting torched that period is the Bills defense when they come into New England 

[Lava Rock]

45 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

That mid month torch is looking more and more flaccid each run of the EPS/Euro. GEFS are still trying for it for several days but I’ll say that the EPS has been taking the GEFS to the woodshed in the medium/long range over the past few weeks. 
 

saw some 50s on NYD. Lots of time, but we all know what happens between xmas and NYE

[WinterWolf]

44 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

That mid month torch is looking more and more flaccid each run of the EPS/Euro. GEFS are still trying for it for several days but I’ll say that the EPS has been taking the GEFS to the woodshed in the medium/long range over the past few weeks. 
 

Kind of the tenor(if I do say so) of the early season so far….to mute the big long range looking torches as they move closer to go time.  Not a bad tenor to have if you like wintry weather.  

[ORH_wxman]

4 minutes ago, Lava Rock said:

saw some 50s on NYD. Lots of time, but we all know what happens between xmas and NYE

How would to EPS and Euro show New Years Day temps? they don't go out far enough

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

How would to EPS and Euro show New Years Day temps? they don't go out far enough

I was thinking the same thing…how did he see that? Or did he mean last year/or previous years? 

[Lava Rock]

3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

How would to EPS and Euro show New Years Day temps? they don't go out far enough

I was using the CFS

[tamarack]

56 minutes ago, ariof said:

To be fair … if the current Euro op verified it would probably mean the coldest December since 1989.

Nothing over 40 at KBOS, more time below 20 than above 30, average around 23 (monthly climo is 34, first half of the month is 37). Dry, would probably mean some dry snowmaking ponds but some very happy ski areas (especially if the atmosphere could squeeze out some natural snow.

GFS had it warmer out in clown range, and clown range doesn't hit Grinch Range anyway but we have to factor in 57° on xmas.

That was the max on 12/25/2020 at CAR.  +35 anyone?