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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread


Torch Tiger
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I'm traveling for a week starting 12/6 so if there is going to be some epic winter, plan on it that week. (If I'm very lucky, it will be epic enough to bury BOS and/or EWR and it won't make sense for us to make the trip, but I'm not holding out that much hope.)

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4 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Because we obviously know the caveats this far out. We don’t need to hear it every event. There’s only one emo poster here that plays mental meteorological gymnastics in the extended and he lives at 990ft.

I wasn’t pointing out the caveats…I was talking about a coastal verse a SWFE…we discussed a couple days back, that this was not a coastal pattern. Now all of a sudden it might be for this potential.  So we did not know that a couple days back. 
 

God, I guess you are forever correct, and nobody dare question Brian. God forbid we point out, or ask about something that wasn’t seen a few days prior…

 

I guess only METS can point out the caveats…then it’s ok. But if we do, we are told we don’t need to hear them.  Dooley noted. 

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16 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

The great promise month of December just got better not worse. Plenty of cold air and an active storm track and signs that late month will not warm up.

The bolded is what I'm most hoping for.  Early Dec snow threat tracking is fun and while reading the daily ups/downs in here, I'm always keeping one eye on that Christmas -New Year timeframe.  This despite the evil grinch poking a sharp stick in that watchful eye most years, but every year I fall for it again like Charlie Brown and the football.  "Maybe this year"...  

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26 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

Miller A always a bit risky the farther north we get. Could be a problem up here, but you’re pretty close to the coast.

This type of miller A evolution is probably decent for us if it holds like that. It’s kind of a slower developing system so it’s not like you are going to see it blowing it’s wad down in VA or the Carolinas. Trough stays positively tilted for a while which prevents occlusion too early. This is why I previously mentioned that it’s probably a good thing that the southern stream drags a little. If it didn’t, we’d rip this like due north into BGM or ALB or something. 

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15 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

I wasn’t pointing out the caveats…I was talking about a coastal verse a SWFE…we discussed a couple days back, that this was not a coastal pattern. Now all of a sudden it might be for this potential.  So we did not know that a couple days back. 
 

God, I guess you are forever correct, and nobody dare question Brian. God forbid we point out, or ask about something that wasn’t seen a few days prior…

 

I guess only METS can point out the caveats…then it’s ok. But if we do, we are told we don’t need to hear them.  Dooley noted. 

lol you get fired up easily. Nobody is trying to give you shit. Just relax.

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7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

lol you get fired up easily. Nobody is trying to give you shit. Just relax.

It’s Not so much that Scott…I love to joke around and laugh as much as anybody, but I do like to not goof around sometimes too.
 

I try to learn some too from you guys in the know…so whatever.  Things have changed from a few days ago, they’ll change some more going forward the next few days.  

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Wolf 

7 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

It’s Not so much that Scott…I love to joke around and laugh as much as anybody, but I do like to not goof around sometimes too.
 

I try to learn some too from you guys in the know…so whatever.  Things have changed from a few days ago, they’ll change some more going forward the next few days.  

You gonna burn yourself out at this rate. I honestly don't know who you are fighting against half the time

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