Tracking the tropics - 2025

[Cyclone-68]

Hopefully I can retire in a couple of years because once I do I’ll be moving to the southeast somewhere. I’ll be damned if I’m going to go “hurricane-less” before I pass on 

[butterfish55]

I went thru Bob and Gloria growing up in Taunton. I was a freshman at UMiami in August of 92 when Andrew came through two days after I moved onto campus. I'll never forget that...Rode it out on the 2nd floor of one of the 8 story towers. They sent everyone home a few days later for about month. Nice way to begin my college career.

[SouthCoastMA]

@ChangeofSeasonsWX You are 29 and don't think you'll ever see a hurricane in New England? Maybe if you were in your 70s I'd be slightly concerned.Obviously, any of us could go at any time, but I'm just speaking to the norms of life expectancy. 

[WxWatcher007]

52 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

@ChangeofSeasonsWX You are 29 and don't think you'll ever see a hurricane in New England? Maybe if you were in your 70s I'd be slightly concerned.Obviously, any of us could go at any time, but I'm just speaking to the norms of life expectancy. 

New England weenies talk crazy in the tropical thread every year  

[Diggiebot]

52 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

@ChangeofSeasonsWX You are 29 and don't think you'll ever see a hurricane in New England? Maybe if you were in your 70s I'd be slightly concerned.Obviously, any of us could go at any time, but I'm just speaking to the norms of life expectancy. 

It’ll happen when we least expect it!

 

2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

New England weenies talk crazy in the tropical thread every year  

Yup. When it’s been this long without a strike people get snippy. 

[ineedsnow]

[CoastalWx]

4 hours ago, ineedsnow said:

It’s gone. What a hard right from there.

[ineedsnow]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

It’s gone. What a hard right from there.

If we can get that to dig a bit more we're in business.. we watch

[CoastalWx]

36 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

If we can get that to dig a bit more we're in business.. we watch

It’s gone. Why do you do this. Give back hours of your life. Spend it with family. Go for a walk. For the love of God.

[mahk_webstah]

5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

It’s gone. Why do you do this. Give back hours of your life. Spend it with family. Go for a walk. For the love of God.

Sage advice 

[Baroclinic Zone]

[moneypitmike]

Which annual thread leads to the most disappointment, the Tropical thread or Wiz's severe thread?

Asking for a friend.

[WxWatcher007]

27 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

Which annual thread leads to the most disappointment, the Tropical thread or Wiz's severe thread?

Asking for a friend.

Why pick a thread when there’s a whole page

[Snowcrazed71]

1 hour ago, ineedsnow said:

If we can get that to dig a bit more we're in business.. we watch

Having hope on something that could still have a chance is one thing, but it's like you're a mama gorilla holding onto her deceased baby who's not coming back. Let it go... While you have some dignity for the love of God!

[ChangeofSeasonsWX]

11 hours ago, SouthCoastMA said:

@ChangeofSeasonsWX You are 29 and don't think you'll ever see a hurricane in New England? Maybe if you were in your 70s I'd be slightly concerned.Obviously, any of us could go at any time, but I'm just speaking to the norms of life expectancy. 

I mean statistically it's random. Could get one later this year or could be another 50 years. I'm not saying that it's the most likely scenario but it is within the range of possibilities. I asked AI to calculate the probability that there is no landfall between the years 1991 and 2075 and it said 2.6% likelihood or about 1 in 40 chance. Which is high enough to be a valid possibility, albeit not super likely. Odds of no landfall between 1991 and 2033 is 15% chance. This calculation is based off of a historical average of one landfall every 23 years.