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August 2025 Summer Thread


Torch Tiger
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59 low

66 at the moment...

Very little air movement for now but some breeze is likely.  Full sun has taken over as a sharp clearing line has moved S this last hour.    Should make a run at about 72 or 73 for a stellar day.   Subjectively a top 10er if this were April.  Not so sure in mid August when folks expect 80, tho.  Warm enthusiasm may take minor exception, while cold enthusiasm exaggerates significance without awareness that they are  (lol) . 

This air mass is sneaky over-performing cold; not sure folks are really aware of that, nor why.  If you look at the surface chart alone, you'd say ...well, you have a polar high bubble-no-trouble in Ontario pressing in.  But that structure belies the fact that it is occurring as an anomaly relative to the hydrostatic heights - those being what is commonly referred to as "thickness".   Both those, and the non-hydrostatic heights, are still positive.  So we have a disproportionately cool low level relative to these metrics.  It's more typical on a sunny day in mid August, when thicknesses are 567 dm, to have a surface T in the area of 82. 

The significance of that analysis is not hugely important to the everyday.  However, I see evidences of this kind of warm anomaly ( "echo" ) occurring all the time, if perhaps hidden.  Often masked by synoptic noise and/or hidden by a sensible appeal that suspends observing.  It feels cool = gloat and don't look any deeper.   

As a digression... I've often mused that CC's biggest hurdle to overcome is the lack of impact it has to the actual five senses.   It doesn't hurt enough? If it was at least more inconvenient.  But being a "perceptively invisible" agent, or one that's not inconvenient enough either way, isn't helping it's case.  If you want to appeal to the population, which as a bulk density that is too "dense" to anticipate via scientific interference (let alone, if the implication means they have to modulate their life), you need more than warnings from a scientific ambit that whatever reason is always the butt of jokes instead.

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47 minutes ago, kdxken said:

And just like that AHATT rolls over. There is no heat wave next weekend, the following week Is not going to be 85 to 90 . The best they can do is "well maybe Labor Day".

We tried to tell em...

 

No skin in the game, but its basically a slow step down from here as we approach late August. There will be still be hot days thrown in though, and definitely humid stretches through Halloween.

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There's all kinds of possibilities re the pattern next week.  

no one's more likely than the other at this time given what's available via the indexes, as well as poor continuity with the larger synoptic aspects coming from the guidance.

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