Typhoon Tip Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Or not ... but there are some super synoptic flags that slope in favor of warmer than normal, CC footprint not including. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 9 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Or not ... but there are some super synoptic flags that slope in favor of warmer than normal, CC footprint not including. Really? I see some ridging out west and a sort of meh pattern for us. Doesn't look extreme in terms of heat especially in comparison to recent stretch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 6 hours ago Author Share Posted 6 hours ago The operational versions seem to conserve the progressive nature to the mass fields through the 4th weekend ... this actually keeps are chances for fair weather higher if that prevails that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Did @Damage In Tolland get a hold of Tip’s keyboard? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 6 hours ago Author Share Posted 6 hours ago 5 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Really? I see some ridging out west and a sort of meh pattern for us. Doesn't look extreme in terms of heat especially in comparison to recent stretch The PNA in the telecon spread collapsed ... These negative EPOs bursts during a PNA that is neutral negative ends up displacing westerlies S through the Rockies. This is what precisely led to this recent heat. I see vestiges in the behavior of the models as though that tendency is lurking. For example, heights keep rebuilding between HA and California. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 6 hours ago Author Share Posted 6 hours ago Guys... "possible" is not a slam dunk. Folks should just be prepared for the possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago I for one have grown to have great respect for Tip's ability to decode the long lead tea leaves, when it comes what the tele index trends are implying! His ability to discern heat burst potential is something we should pay attention to? He would be the first to tell you nothing is a lock, but knowing he sees the potential is reason enough pay attention. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 29 minutes ago, FXWX said: I for one have grown to have great respect for Tip's ability to decode the long lead tea leaves, when it comes what the tele index trends are implying! His ability to discern heat burst potential is something we should pay attention to? He would be the first to tell you nothing is a lock, but knowing he sees the potential is reason enough pay attention. Well said, he also does this during the winter months as a few others do as well. However, I hope he is wrong about historic type of heat….. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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