June 2025 Obs/Disco

[ineedsnow]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

I just don’t see the regional 50’s and wet you’re seeing for Thursday- next weekend. If you even said one day near 70.. I could buy that . But it’s not a cool pattern 

who said regional 50s? that's my area I was talking and thinking 65 or so here just pointing out what a model shows.  maybe upper 60s by you? 

[dendrite]

15 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

@Damage In Tolland is going to go into a summer hibernation for a bit 

 

Then true relief from the heat arrives Thursday through Sunday as
weak surface boundary settles south of New Eng with easterly flow
developing along with much cooler 925 mb temps. Temps will average
below normal with highs mostly in the 70s but it is not out of the
question a few days could be even cooler in some locations. There
will be daily chances of showers through the period as deep moisture
plume persists over the region with elevated PWATs 1.5 to 2 inches.
There is minimal to no surface instability during this time so
severe weather is not expected but can`t rule out a few t-storms
given some elevated instability in place

Get yourself some 3ply

https://www.quiltednorthern.com/toilet-paper/ultra-plush

[kdxken]

2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

meh it definitely wont be a mid summer hot feel.. lots of clouds and cool conditions even if dews were to get that high  for the end of June that isn't bad at all..

 Wasn't much of a summer was it. 

"Temps will average
below normal with highs mostly in the 70s but it is not out of the
question a few days could be even cooler in some locations. There will be daily chances of showers through the period as deep moisture plume persists over the region with elevated PWATs 1.5 to 2 inches.
There is minimal to no surface instability during this time so
severe weather is not expected but can`t rule out a few t-storms
given some elevated instability in place.

[ineedsnow]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

Get yourself some 3ply

https://www.quiltednorthern.com/toilet-paper/ultra-plush

meh I don't mind dews its the heat and dew combo I cant stand... 

[kdxken]

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

who said regional 50s? that's my area I was talking and thinking 65 or so here just pointing out what a model shows.  maybe upper 60s by you? 

Right?  You don't even notice dew points in the '60s when it's cool.

[Snowedin]

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

ya you're dead wrong if you really think that and @Damage In Tolland what models show 70 degree dews on Thursday?

As the old wise men on eastern us used to say, the trend is our friend. I’m sticking with that statement as long as I’m around. Now excuse me while I get back to sipping a magarita in my Speedo’s and yelling at the woodpeckers to quit knocking on the roof!

[ineedsnow]

1 minute ago, kdxken said:

Right?  You don't even notice dew points in the '60s when it's cool.

Exactly!

[kdxken]

6 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Exactly!

It will all be a short bad dream come July when the dews are pushed into the Gulf of America. Folks uninstalling and dripping water across the carpet. 

 

 

 

[WxWatcher007]

High of 92.0° here in East Hartford. Dead on with HFD. We depart on the dews—I had a peak heat index of 107. Hovered between 103-105 most of the afternoon. 

[dendrite]

41 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Love Allan, but you have to be careful with those 5 min readings. I will almost guarantee you that's a 94-96-94 instead of a 93-97-93.

That's not to say there aren't problems there. I just wouldn't use the data he did to try to prove it.

I mean wtf is this toward the end of 2019? (edit...looks like multiple stations in NC had an issue at that time so that jump is something different.)

[CT Valley Snowman]

Hit 92 here and then the clouds capped things but the dews came up nicely.  Was at my niece's graduation party and in the shade with the breeze it was hot but tolerable. 

[Great Snow 1717]

40 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

who said regional 50s? that's my area I was talking and thinking 65 or so here just pointing out what a model shows.  maybe upper 60s by you? 

These folk love heat and high dews so much that many of them have spent the day posting from inside of their air conditioned homes...

[Modfan2]

94F for a high here, cloudy now and down to 88F

[Damage In Tolland]

Hammers forecast .  https://imgur.com/a/IMbrxoU

[kdxken]

24 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Hammers forecast .  https://imgur.com/a/IMbrxoU

Not bad! Once we get through the mild up looks like a week straight of nice sleeping weather.

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, kdxken said:

Not bad! Once we get through the mild up looks like a week straight of nice sleeping weather.

That a warm , muggy 10 day. Not hot but where are the 50’s and chilly 

[dendrite]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

That a warm , muggy 10 day. Not hot but where are the 50’s and chilly 

Euro back to delivering quality weekends

[Chrisrotary12]

13 hours ago, kdxken said:

Yeah I got a tee time to make.

1233 tee time for me today. F that was hot.

[Typhoon Tip]

The heat wave is destined to break down .. obviously. 

That statement appears to be over selling tho. We’ll see but the thickness don’t fall below 570 behind a “weak boundary” - they’re right about that much… .  Thats pretty warm and actually modestly above normal in that particular metric the whole time period averaged.  There would likely be ocean modulation for eastern zones but BN may be a bit of an oversell inland in Thu/Fri.  Winds also veer back s-SW by Sat and Sun. Aside from… nighttime lows will likely remain elevated if that geneal synoptic regime played out that way. 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Clouds = heat fail today.  
humid but 80s and tolerable.

 

[Damage In Tolland]

25 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

The heat wave is destined to break down .. obviously. 

That statement appears to be over selling tho. We’ll see but the thickness don’t fall below 570 behind a “weak boundary” - they’re right about that much… .  Thats pretty warm and actually modestly above normal in that particular metric the whole time period averaged.  There would likely be ocean modulation for eastern zones but BN may be a bit of an oversell inland in Thu/Fri.  Winds also veer back s-SW by Sat and Sun. Aside from… nighttime lows will likely remain elevated if that geneal synoptic regime played out that way. 

Perfectly and eloquently stated. Deep summer is locked in 

[Torch Tiger]

18z gfs gone wild for July 4th-5th.  

[HIPPYVALLEY]

2 hours ago, CT Valley Snowman said:

Hit 92 here and then the clouds capped things but the dews came up nicely.  Was at my niece's graduation party and in the shade with the breeze it was hot but tolerable. 

We hit 90 briefly around noon and then overcast the rest of the day. Clearing now, but the sun is already letting go of its grip on the day.

Tomorrow might be pretty joyless with the heat index.

[Lava Rock]

18z gfs gone wild for July 4th-5th.  

Rain?

Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

[BrianW]

What a torch here on the shoreline to kick off summer. 

Highs for today. 

 

 

[MJOatleast7]

7/3/66, hottest day I've experienced (8/2/75 the only day even close).  However, CON records begin in 1921 so no numbers for July 1911 when ASH hit 106.

8/2/75 is my #1…IIRC a couple of places in MA hit 107


.

[moneypitmike]

Still 79 at 8:15 at Pit2.  We torch.

[Modfan2]

1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said:

The heat wave is destined to break down .. obviously. 

That statement appears to be over selling tho. We’ll see but the thickness don’t fall below 570 behind a “weak boundary” - they’re right about that much… .  Thats pretty warm and actually modestly above normal in that particular metric the whole time period averaged.  There would likely be ocean modulation for eastern zones but BN may be a bit of an oversell inland in Thu/Fri.  Winds also veer back s-SW by Sat and Sun. Aside from… nighttime lows will likely remain elevated if that geneal synoptic regime played out that way. 

I wondered how far any sea breeze could make it inland the next few days?

[kdxken]

53 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

18z gfs gone wild for July 4th-5th.  

What's the sixth looking like?

[moneypitmike]

Forecast for tomorrow is 82.  Not horrible.