June 2025 Obs/Disco

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Steamy tho.   If that's one's bag than sure.   But these NAM grid numbers are like 576 dm thickness, at the bottom of which is 23 C above the 2-meter temperature.  Which means it could be in the mid or upper 80s at eyebrow, while DPs are 70 to 75 ... 

 

Yeah we WAA as 850s get to +17 or so here. It won't be a totally sunny day, but should be warm and humid for sure. Probably some sct shwrs around in spots. 

[Damage In Tolland]

17 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

We tried to tell em. Yesterday was okay, but today and tomorrow are wasted days. Next

You had 6 days of rain and clouds . Could not have been more wrong . Just today is a washout 

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

You had 6 days of rain and clouds . Could not have been more wrong . Just today is a washout 

Come east. I'm like the soak the bloke guy at the carnival."high and dry!! HAHAHAH"

Will be mostly dry here. 

[CoastalWx]

I think some people using phone apps to forecast.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

24 minutes ago, kdxken said:

It takes a couple minutes. A literal monkey could do it.

I got three window units installed in under an hour.

[weatherwiz]

Could see a few thunderstorms tomorrow night make there way in from PA/southern NY. Pretty good elevated CAPE around if storms can hold

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Could see a few thunderstorms tomorrow night make there way in from PA/southern NY. Pretty good elevated CAPE around if storms can hold

Just noticed that. Yeah could be a few bangers.

[weatherwiz]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Just noticed that. Yeah could be a few bangers.

At least on the NAM anyways...pretty big differences between GFS/NAM with the thermodynamic environment due to whether we can get that EML plume to move through. It's possible the environment across the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley region becomes convectively overturned but NAM has ~1500 J MUCAPE traversing the region overnight...not bad

[SJonesWX]

1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Yesterday was sunny and 80 . He had 6 straight days of clouds and rain lol

today I learned that "the next 6 days aren't very nice" is the same as "6 straight days of clouds and rain"

On 6/15/2025 at 9:10 AM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

People also gloss over the fact that the next 6 days aren’t very nice 

 

[kdxken]

1 minute ago, SJonesWX said:

today I learned that "the next 6 days aren't very nice" is the same as "6 straight days of clouds and rain"

 

You're catching on.

[kdxken]

23 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Just noticed that. Yeah could be a few bangers.

Deerfield.

[Modfan2]

What is the apparent temp vs the heat index vs the feels like temp?   Can we just post the  actual temp and it will be apparent that the feels  like will be different for everyone?  
 

 

[Typhoon Tip]

The NAM is bringing this warm front thru tomorrow morning

[CoastalWx]

partly sunny 69/64. 

[moneypitmike]

Is the rain dying out as it moves east?  Im hoping reality is better than the radar is showing .

[NoCORH4L]

Man what a shit day, tomorrow more of the same.

[Damage In Tolland]

14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

partly sunny 69/64. 

.24 dewy and rain with rain well back into NY state . Will end up with .50 of unmodeled rain. Amazing differences 

[IrishRob17]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

.24 dewy and rain with rain well back into NY state . Will end up with .50 of unmodeled rain. Amazing differences 

up to .75 100 miles to your west.

[Torch Tiger]

In Harwich and it's raining!

[dendrite]

9 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

In Harwich and it's raining!

Dawn awakening.

[weathafella]

Today was always modeled as a bit wet.  Dry here so far but the warmth moves in a bit tomorrow but Thursday looks downright hot.  Summer dew break Friday and Saturday and then we’re off to the races.

[Prismshine Productions]

Damn NAM...

[metagraphica]

65/63 small droplet sheet rain nonstop since 11pm last night.  Far cry from the 20% chance of showers that the NWS forecast was showing as late as 5pm yesterday.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Pouring in Greenfield at the moment.

[tamarack]

4 hours ago, dendrite said:

MEX already has 97° for BDL Tue.

Hot spot.
Over the last 20 years, the BDL average for year's hottest is 98.2.  15 years reached 97 or hotter, though only 5 set a year's hottest before July 1.

[CT Rain]

Thursday's severe threat seems decent especially near/west of I-91. 

Mid-level lapse rates are fairly steep plus decent low and deep layer shear.

[tamarack]

Seven days w/o measurable precip - last time that happened here was in January.  June average rain is 5.11" (2nd only to OCT) but we're on a 2.5" pace so far.  The month has often been tough on the garden, either a washout like 1998, 2009, 2023 or sun-baked Stein like 2004 and 2021.  With 2 weeks left, June 2025 hasn't landed in either extreme - yet.

[kdxken]

69° / 62 dew point. Feeling a little warm already. I can imagine how I will feel next week.

[Typhoon Tip]

1 hour ago, weathafella said:

Today was always modeled as a bit wet.  Dry here so far but the warmth moves in a bit tomorrow but Thursday looks downright hot.  Summer dew break Friday and Saturday and then we’re off to the races.

I'm expecting 2-3 deg machine number cool bias Fri/Sat, too.   Back side attenuated cool advection becomes mainly a DP evac, leaving the region with W-NW d-slope with still +14 850s has super adiabatic expansion ...blah blah... I bet it's 80+ Thurs.. MEX is already doing 86 Sat at KBDL-KFIT-KASH Frid.... this should translated into town no problem in that synoptic.  I bet those are nine-os

In fact, we may materialize the heat wave beginning Sat -->

[dendrite]

2 hours ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

I got three window units installed in under an hour.

And you didn’t have to go to the hospital?