Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,971
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Briandop
    Newest Member
    Briandop
    Joined

June 2025 discussion-obs: Summerlike


 Share

Recommended Posts

5 hours ago, winterwarlock said:

Oh sure 70 and clouds every weekend and 62 with light rain this Monday morning screams summertime

That's pretty typical for early June. For a couple of representative spots in the region... the mean high temperature for the first 8 days of June at Bridgeport, Connecticut has been 76.1F, which is 24th highest of 77 years.  Newark is 80.8F, which is 38th highest of 95 years. A cold year would be like 1945, which was 62.8F at Newark, or 1997 (67.6F at Newark and 64.6F at Bridgeport, Conn.).

image.png.d4273009e06e7a8807df3d019474b8ca.png

5wNupGv.png

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said:

That's pretty typical for early June. For a couple of representative spots in the region... the mean high temperature for the first 8 days of June at Bridgeport, Connecticut has been 76.1F, which is 24th highest of 77 years.  Newark is 80.8F, which is 38th highest of 95 years. A cold year would be like 1945, which was 62.8F at Newark, or 1997 (67.6F at Newark and 64.6F at Bridgeport, Conn.).

image.png.d4273009e06e7a8807df3d019474b8ca.png

5wNupGv.png

LaGuardia is at 78.5F mean high for the first 8 days of June, or 35th highest of 86 years. It was 62.1F in 1945, which is below even the 62.8F mean low temperature for the month to date.

h9kZpmf.png

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Had some light to moderate rain -- 0.14" here today. Only 64 degrees right now.

Terrible weather, but I will take advantage of it by going for a long fast run. To me that's the only positive about still having weather this cool in June -- being able to run fast instead of having to run slowly in the hot weather.

I am looking forward to the summery weather that we're going to have mid to late week though. We should hit low 90s here on Thursday. Too bad it will go back to the dreary east winds weather for Father's Day Weekend. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

28 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said:

That's pretty typical for early June. For a couple of representative spots in the region... the mean high temperature for the first 8 days of June at Bridgeport, Connecticut has been 76.1F, which is 24th highest of 77 years.  Newark is 80.8F, which is 38th highest of 95 years. A cold year would be like 1945, which was 62.8F at Newark, or 1997 (67.6F at Newark and 64.6F at Bridgeport, Conn.).

image.png.d4273009e06e7a8807df3d019474b8ca.png

5wNupGv.png

it wasn't like this in a few years in the 90s we went straight from winter to summer, it was a common theme here, check out May 1991

That was one amazing summer from May through September

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

28 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said:

LaGuardia is at 78.5F mean high for the first 8 days of June, or 35th highest of 86 years. It was 62.1F in 1945, which is below even the 62.8F mean low temperature for the month to date.

h9kZpmf.png

Of course 2010 is at the top that's our hottest summer of record here. 1999 is number 2.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Tomorrow will be variably cloudy and warmer. Temperatures will top out in the middle 70s. Some showers or a thundershower are possible, especially during tomorrow afternoon or tomorrow night as a warm front moves across the region. Some of the thunderstorms have the potential to bring heavy downpours.

Afterward, it will turn warmer for several days with temperatures rising into the 80s. Thursday will likely be the warmest day of the week with the mercury rising into at least the middle 80s. It will turn cooler for the weekend.

No exceptional heat appears likely through mid-month.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.8°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.1°C for the week centered around May 28. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.17°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.07°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue through at least mid summer.

The SOI was -5.62 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.466 today.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 61% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal June (1991-2020 normal). June will likely finish with a mean temperature near 73.2° (1.2° above normal).

 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

19 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

Tomorrow will be variably cloudy and warmer. Temperatures will top out in the middle 70s. Some showers or a thundershower are possible, especially during tomorrow afternoon or tomorrow night as a warm front moves across the region. Some of the thunderstorms have the potential to bring heavy downpours.

Afterward, it will turn warmer for several days with temperatures rising into the 80s. Thursday will likely be the warmest day of the week with the mercury rising into at least the middle 80s. It will turn cooler for the weekend.

No exceptional heat appears likely through mid-month.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.8°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.1°C for the week centered around May 28. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.17°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.07°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue through at least mid summer.

The SOI was -5.62 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.466 today.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 61% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal June (1991-2020 normal). June will likely finish with a mean temperature near 73.2° (1.2° above normal).

 

Still think summer will be a very hot ?  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 hours ago, Rjay said:

Warm and wet would be my guess.  Prob another high dew summer. 

Likely above average, 1-2 degrees. Absolutely agree about dews, lots of 88 with a dew of 75. Our climate is more resembling the coastal Carolina’s during summer. As the higher temps with lower dews combo migrates north to Montreal and Maine. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

19 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

But no 100 at LGA either? We can discount Central Park lol

 

LGA made it to 100° also. 6-30-21 was the last time they did there. It was when a piece of the record Western heat came east. Now with the major drought out West the record heat is beginning to focus out there again.

So we will need to watch for another piece of that heat coming east if the ridges can link up again from after the summer solstice. Anytime there is such a major drought out West, there is always the chance that 100° heat can come east if we can dry out for a week to 10 days. 

But since we didn’t get any 90° heat back in May, the chances for a high number of 100° and 90° days like 2010 and 2022 is less likely. But it doesn’t rule out generally above average summer temperatures and a few days in the 95° to 100° range at the usual warm spots like in NJ and in Central Queens. 
 

June 30,2021 highs


Astoria……..100°

Corona.…….103°

LGA………....100°

EWR…………103°

Harrison…...101°

Caldwell……100°

 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Heaviest rains continue to focus in the same areas.
 

 

bafkreigv3cjaxrfqvacpcjrzpupj4lw5djwejeo
 
Climatologist49
 
‪@climatologist49.bsky.social‬
Follow
May 2025 precipitation ranking compared to all Mays since 1895. Many areas from east Texas through New England had a Top 10, Top 5, or their wettest May on record.
bafkreieobuont26mxozxtqtme53yi22lp6pg7y6
 
June 1, 2025 at 11:30 PM
Everybody can reply
  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

 

64 / 63 cloudy , foggy and moderate rain. Looks to stay mainly cloudy day 4, with some potential clearing moving through CPA now coming eat later this afternoon.   Clear our and warm up Wed - Fri, with Thu next or first 90+ in the hotter spots.  Next front boundary and 4 days of clouds Sat - Tue next week before clearing out and warming by mid week / 6/18.   Heat building from the SW on north nd east and could see brief stronger hear 6/20 with overall warm /wet last 10 days that with the potential that it could turn hotter with the  expended heat source  into the east.

 

 

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES19/ABI/SECTOR/eus/02/GOES19-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif 

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...