MN Transplant Posted May 13 Share Posted May 13 5 hours ago, TSG said: only 0.26" at CHO and we've got sun trying to peak through now Better now? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted May 13 Share Posted May 13 2.42". If we could get some of that stuff to the south to get up here before sliding west then we'd really have something. That area must be getting water-boarded. 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted May 13 Share Posted May 13 1 minute ago, EastCoast NPZ said: 2.42". If we could get some of that stuff to the south to get up here before sliding west then we'd really have something. That area must be getting water-boarded. Yeah, this is what you needed. W to E sucks for you with the mountains but S and SE can be money. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
katabatic Posted May 13 Share Posted May 13 What I’ve needed imby for a year - long soaking with 1.75” on the nose today so far. Nothing extreme here at all but cross the divide and shades of Helene. Need a drought buster, not a new crop of roads and schools. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted May 13 Author Share Posted May 13 The rain shield is expanding and gaining strength. This could get kinda interesting in the mountains. I hear the rain on the roof as I type. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted May 13 Author Share Posted May 13 2 minutes ago, katabatic said: What I’ve needed imby for a year - long soaking with 1.75” on the nose today so far. Nothing extreme here at all but cross the divide and shades of Helene. Need a drought buster, not a new crop of roads and schools. The 100" of snow wasn't enough? Lol. Glad to hear your getting a good soaker out there too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSG Posted May 13 Share Posted May 13 29 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: Better now? lol, things turned around quickly this evening. FFW warning through 10:30pm. Up to 1.24" at CHO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted May 13 Share Posted May 13 3 hours ago, CAPE said: I'm getting epic bust vibes that could rival last week's over here. 12z 3km NAM depiction looks good for later, but current radar down south doesn't seem to jibe. Yep, only 0.23", hopefully this is not an indication of the late spring and early summer rainfall pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted May 13 Share Posted May 13 I'm up to 2.04" here in Herndon, VA. Wettest event here in at least 16 months. 4.04" for the month of May so far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted May 13 Share Posted May 13 6 minutes ago, George BM said: I'm up to 2.04" here in Herndon, VA. Wettest event here in at least 16 months. 4.04" for the month of May so far. I was skeptical of this, but sure enough, this is my first 2”+ calendar day since Jan 2024, which aligns with yours. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrlg1181 Posted May 13 Share Posted May 13 Current situation along Birches Creek between Crozet and Afton.. 7 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted May 13 Share Posted May 13 That stuff rotating north through Virginia looks like it’s taking aim on the areas of western MD that are already flooding. If it holds together it’s gonna get very serious there overnight. 1.75” here so far and still raining. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted May 13 Share Posted May 13 7 minutes ago, WVclimo said: That stuff rotating north through Virginia looks like it’s taking aim on the areas of western MD that are already flooding. If it holds together it’s gonna get very serious there overnight. 1.75” here so far and still raining. I was just noticing that -- do not like the look of heavy, training t-storms aiming right towards the Cumberland area 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted May 13 Share Posted May 13 40 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: 2.42". If we could get some of that stuff to the south to get up here before sliding west then we'd really have something. That area must be getting water-boarded. I just spent the better part of 6 hours hiking that part of shannondoah and got out right as it was getting bad, so trust me you don’t want it. I’m sure some of the roads I used are now underwater Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted May 13 Share Posted May 13 On 5/12/2025 at 6:12 PM, SnowenOutThere said: Any Mets wanna tell me what hiking the shannondoah tomorrow and Wednesday is gonna be like? I want to take waterfall pictures Turns out a hiking trail just turns into a waterfall if enough rain falls 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 13 Share Posted May 13 Frostburg mesonet site closing in on 5" of rain since midnight. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 14 Share Posted May 14 29 minutes ago, Jrlg1181 said: Current situation along Birches Creek between Crozet and Afton.. You got a lat/lon or road for that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted May 14 Share Posted May 14 21 minutes ago, WVclimo said: That stuff rotating north through Virginia looks like it’s taking aim on the areas of western MD that are already flooding. If it holds together it’s gonna get very serious there overnight. 1.75” here so far and still raining. Thought the same thing. Creek in the backyard is teetering on spilling over. A little convection could even cause some problems here locally. 1.86" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted May 14 Share Posted May 14 We might be ready to get rocked. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted May 14 Share Posted May 14 Pouring. Water running everywhere instantly. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 14 Share Posted May 14 51 minutes ago, SnowtoRain said: Yep, only 0.23", hopefully this is not an indication of the late spring and early summer rainfall pattern Just looked at all the Mesonet stations east of the bay- Only Stevensville has a somewhat respectable rain total- 0.41". Everywhere else is a quarter inch or less. A tenth here. Not confident in the overnight, but the forecast is still for a half to three quarters. I would have downgraded it to a tenth or less except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Doesn't look like much chance of a more widespread steady rain for this area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 14 Share Posted May 14 2 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Pouring. Water running everywhere instantly. We should trade profile photos. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted May 14 Share Posted May 14 For the higher terrain this sort of reminds me of June 2006 in my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted May 14 Share Posted May 14 Just now, CAPE said: We should trade profile photos. Ok. But you'll have to give it back to me next month. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted May 14 Share Posted May 14 Pouring. Water running everywhere instantly.Radar looks stunning down there 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrlg1181 Posted May 14 Share Posted May 14 18 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: You got a lat/lon or road for that? Dollins Creek , off of Burches creek rd... Apparently a 12 year old unfortunately is missing in floodwaters along the eastern foot of Afton... This rain has been and is incredibly intense down here in Albemarle so far this evening... Alot of lightning but just gentle rolling thunder... 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted May 14 Share Posted May 14 8 minutes ago, CAPE said: Just looked at all the Mesonet stations east of the bay- Only Stevensville has a somewhat respectable rain total- 0.41". Everywhere else is a quarter inch or less. A tenth here. Not confident in the overnight, but the forecast is still for a half to three quarters. I would have downgraded it to a tenth or less except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Doesn't look like much chance of a more widespread steady rain for this area. about the same here milford de only has 0.05 (via DEOS) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted May 14 Share Posted May 14 3.10" and rolling. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted May 14 Share Posted May 14 34 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: I was skeptical of this, but sure enough, this is my first 2”+ calendar day since Jan 2024, which aligns with yours. Yeah seems hard to believe it's been that long when you think about it. Since Jan 2024 there's seemingly been this invisible barrier preventing me from breaking 2" of rain during an event. I got close a couple of times with a couple of 1.8"+ events. I got 1.97" from Debby last year. But finally today the two-inch mark has been fully eclipsed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted May 14 Share Posted May 14 11 minutes ago, CAPE said: Just looked at all the Mesonet stations east of the bay- Only Stevensville has a somewhat respectable rain total- 0.41". Everywhere else is a quarter inch or less. A tenth here. Not confident in the overnight, but the forecast is still for a half to three quarters. I would have downgraded it to a tenth or less except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Doesn't look like much chance of a more widespread steady rain for this area. I will admit that I don't trust it, but there was a pretty clear signal in the 12Z CAMs for heavy rain to break out on the east side of DC and over to the Eastern Shore during the mid evening hours. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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