Drought Buster From The Gulf?

[MN Transplant]

5 hours ago, TSG said:

only 0.26" at CHO and we've got sun trying to peak through now 

Better now?

[EastCoast NPZ]

2.42".  If we could get some of that stuff to the south to get up here before sliding west then we'd really have something.  That area must be getting water-boarded.

[MN Transplant]

1 minute ago, EastCoast NPZ said:

2.42".  If we could get some of that stuff to the south to get up here before sliding west then we'd really have something.  That area must be getting water-boarded.

Yeah, this is what you needed.  W to E sucks for you with the mountains but S and SE can be money.

[katabatic]

What I’ve needed imby for a year - long soaking with 1.75” on the nose today so far. Nothing extreme here at all but cross the divide and shades of Helene. Need a drought buster, not a new crop of roads and schools.

[dailylurker]

The rain shield is expanding and gaining strength. This could get kinda interesting in the mountains. I hear the rain on the roof as I type. 

[dailylurker]

2 minutes ago, katabatic said:

What I’ve needed imby for a year - long soaking with 1.75” on the nose today so far. Nothing extreme here at all but cross the divide and shades of Helene. Need a drought buster, not a new crop of roads and schools.

The 100" of snow wasn't enough? Lol. Glad to hear your getting a good soaker out there too.

[TSG]

29 minutes ago, MN Transplant said:

Better now?

lol, things turned around quickly this evening. FFW warning through 10:30pm. Up to 1.24" at CHO

[SnowtoRain]

3 hours ago, CAPE said:

I'm getting epic bust vibes that could rival last week's over here. 12z 3km NAM depiction looks good for later, but current radar down south doesn't seem to jibe.

Yep, only 0.23", hopefully this is not an indication of the late spring and early summer rainfall pattern 

[George BM]

I'm up to 2.04" here in Herndon, VA.

Wettest event here in at least 16 months.

4.04" for the month of May so far.

[MN Transplant]

6 minutes ago, George BM said:

I'm up to 2.04" here in Herndon, VA.

Wettest event here in at least 16 months.

4.04" for the month of May so far.

I was skeptical of this, but sure enough, this is my first 2”+ calendar day since Jan 2024, which aligns with yours.

[Jrlg1181]

Current situation along Birches Creek between Crozet and Afton..

[WVclimo]

That stuff rotating north through Virginia looks like it’s taking aim on the areas of western MD that are already flooding.  If it holds together it’s gonna get very serious there overnight.

1.75” here so far and still raining.

[BlizzardNole]

7 minutes ago, WVclimo said:

That stuff rotating north through Virginia looks like it’s taking aim on the areas of western MD that are already flooding.  If it holds together it’s gonna get very serious there overnight.

1.75” here so far and still raining.

I was just noticing that -- do not like the look of heavy, training t-storms aiming right towards the Cumberland area

[SnowenOutThere]

40 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said:

2.42".  If we could get some of that stuff to the south to get up here before sliding west then we'd really have something.  That area must be getting water-boarded.

I just spent the better part of 6 hours hiking that part of shannondoah and got out right as it was getting bad, so trust me you don’t want it. I’m sure some of the roads I used are now underwater

[SnowenOutThere]

On 5/12/2025 at 6:12 PM, SnowenOutThere said:

Any Mets wanna tell me what hiking the shannondoah tomorrow and Wednesday is gonna be like? I want to take waterfall pictures

Turns out a hiking trail just turns into a waterfall if enough rain falls

[Eskimo Joe]

Frostburg mesonet site closing in on 5" of rain since midnight.

[Eskimo Joe]

29 minutes ago, Jrlg1181 said:

Current situation along Birches Creek between Crozet and Afton..

You got a lat/lon or road for that? 

[poolz1]

21 minutes ago, WVclimo said:

That stuff rotating north through Virginia looks like it’s taking aim on the areas of western MD that are already flooding.  If it holds together it’s gonna get very serious there overnight.

1.75” here so far and still raining.

Thought the same thing.  Creek in the backyard is teetering on spilling over. A little convection could even cause some problems here locally. 1.86"

[EastCoast NPZ]

We might be ready to get rocked.

[EastCoast NPZ]

Pouring.  Water running everywhere instantly.

[CAPE]

51 minutes ago, SnowtoRain said:

Yep, only 0.23", hopefully this is not an indication of the late spring and early summer rainfall pattern 

Just looked at all the Mesonet stations east of the bay- Only Stevensville has a somewhat respectable rain total- 0.41". Everywhere else is a quarter inch or less. A tenth here. Not confident in the overnight, but the forecast is still for a half to three quarters. I would have downgraded it to a tenth or less except  higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Doesn't look like much chance of a more widespread steady rain for this area.

[CAPE]

2 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said:

Pouring.  Water running everywhere instantly.

We should trade profile photos.

[Kmlwx]

For the higher terrain this sort of reminds me of June 2006 in my area. 

[EastCoast NPZ]

Just now, CAPE said:

We should trade profile photos.

Ok.  But you'll have to give it back to me next month.

 

[87storms]

Pouring.  Water running everywhere instantly.

Radar looks stunning down there

[Jrlg1181]

18 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

You got a lat/lon or road for that? 

Dollins Creek , off of Burches creek rd... 

Apparently a 12 year old unfortunately is missing in floodwaters  along the eastern foot of Afton... This rain has been and is incredibly intense down here in Albemarle so far this evening... Alot of lightning but just gentle rolling thunder...

[JakkelWx]

8 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Just looked at all the Mesonet stations east of the bay- Only Stevensville has a somewhat respectable rain total- 0.41". Everywhere else is a quarter inch or less. A tenth here. Not confident in the overnight, but the forecast is still for a half to three quarters. I would have downgraded it to a tenth or less except  higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Doesn't look like much chance of a more widespread steady rain for this area.

about the same here

milford de only has 0.05 (via DEOS) 

[EastCoast NPZ]

3.10" and rolling.

[George BM]

34 minutes ago, MN Transplant said:

I was skeptical of this, but sure enough, this is my first 2”+ calendar day since Jan 2024, which aligns with yours.

 Yeah seems hard to believe it's been that long when you think about it. Since Jan 2024 there's seemingly been this invisible barrier preventing me from breaking 2" of rain during an event. I got close a couple of times with a couple of 1.8"+ events. I got 1.97" from Debby last year. But finally today the two-inch mark has been fully eclipsed.

[high risk]

11 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Just looked at all the Mesonet stations east of the bay- Only Stevensville has a somewhat respectable rain total- 0.41". Everywhere else is a quarter inch or less. A tenth here. Not confident in the overnight, but the forecast is still for a half to three quarters. I would have downgraded it to a tenth or less except  higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Doesn't look like much chance of a more widespread steady rain for this area.

            I will admit that I don't trust it, but there was a pretty clear signal in the 12Z CAMs for heavy rain to break out on the east side of DC and over to the Eastern Shore during the mid evening hours.