Winter 2025-26

[Eskimo Joe]

20 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

FWIW…

Saw an all black wolly bugger while installing a flood sensor on Sligo Creek last Friday. Looks like mixing in NOVA and all snow in Maryland.  

[Maestrobjwa]

17 hours ago, Terpeast said:

Best case? 24-25

Worst case? 22-23

Probably something in between. 

Easiest winter forecast ever? Lol

[JakkelWx]

13 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Easiest winter forecast ever? Lol

at least 50 inches in oakland MD.

 

[Scraff]

Who is this clown!? Of course he screws Loudon and HoCo. 
 

[bncho]

14 hours ago, Terpeast said:

When the PDO eventually flips positive, even slightly so, and we get a bona fide El Nino. It has to happen sometime

so we still have a shot sooner or later?

[mitchnick]

Accuwx

[Eskimo Joe]

AccuWx going below normal snow and above average temps for all of I-95. Yikes.

[Jebman]

3 hours ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

What about if it’s a 22-23 pattern where there’s never any real chance?

They'll post the Mascot out of sheer desperation and despair.

[Jebman]

1 hour ago, Scraff said:

Who is this clown!? Of course he screws Loudon and HoCo. 
 

This is a simple forecast. The entire sub is deep purple. You're gonna need a bigger snow shovel.

[Jebman]

Wow check out Mammoth. They did get snow last night, its 31 and snowing.

https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/main-lodge

[bncho]

34 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Accuwx

actually not that bad... +1-2 with near normal precip is something i'll take

[osfan24]

3 hours ago, bncho said:

actually not that bad... +1-2 with near normal precip is something i'll take

Warm/wet and cold/dry obviously 

[WxUSAF]

3 hours ago, Eskimo Joe said:

AccuWx going below normal snow and above average temps for all of I-95. Yikes.

But more snow than last year. That would be a respectable Nina winter if so. Outside the 95-96 fluke, high teens snowfall totals for most of the area is a “good” Nina. Honestly I’d take a repeat of last winter. January was a really good month and we had the late February heartbreak that could have made it an excellent year if it went the other way.

[dailylurker]

10 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

But more snow than last year. That would be a respectable Nina winter if so. Outside the 95-96 fluke, high teens snowfall totals for most of the area is a “good” Nina. Honestly I’d take a repeat of last winter. January was a really good month and we had the late February heartbreak that could have made it an excellent year if it went the other way.

I don't hate Nina's at all. We seem to do relatively well in the lowlands during Nina's. The past two winters were respectable IMBY. Especially last winter. 

[WxUSAF]

19 minutes ago, dailylurker said:

I don't hate Nina's at all. We seem to do relatively well in the lowlands during Nina's. The past two winters were respectable IMBY. Especially last winter. 

Most recent Ninas in the last 20 years have included at least one cold and snowy period of 2-4 weeks. Although much of the rest of the winter is pretty meh. Based on ENSO and other factors, I think one of the “good” Ninas is probably the ceiling for this year. But a dead ratter is also well within the realm of the possible.

[JenkinsJinkies]

6 hours ago, Scraff said:

Who is this clown!? Of course he screws Loudon and HoCo. 
 

In fairness 2-3 inches would be much above average for Arkansas.