2025-2026 ENSO

[40/70 Benchmark]

50 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

2000-2001 central park had 35 inches. I believe the 30 year average at that time was approx 27 so  slightly above average.

2008-2009 central park had 27.6, which at that time I believe that average was approx 28 so basically average. 

2007-2008 was only 11.9 so a dude.

So IF we only took those three examples an equal chance of above, average and below snowfall.

I went 19-29" for you guys, so kind of the middle of those years.

[EastonSN+]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I went 19-29" for you guys, so kind of the middle of those years.

I technically live in New England. However my climate is much closer to central park than Boston.

[bluewave]

2 hours ago, snowman19 said:

So far since November, we’ve seen -WPO (Aleutian ridge regime) driven cold. This is in contrast to the -EPO (Alaskan ridge regime) driven cold we saw last winter….. @SnowGoose69 @donsutherland1 @bluewave
 

Strengthening La Niña background state with the falling AAM heading into mid-December leading to the very amplified Aleutian Ridge and -PNA trough.

 

[Terpeast]

26 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Strengthening La Niña background state with the falling AAM heading into mid-December leading to the very amplified Aleutian Ridge and -PNA trough.

 

Trending down, yes, but the thing is AAM forecasts have been biased too negative over the past 30 days. When correcting for that, AAM may be closer to neutral.