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2025 Severe Weather General Discussion


Kmlwx
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TORNADO WARNING 

Tornado Warning
MDC005-025-010015-
/O.NEW.KLWX.TO.W.0028.250630T2339Z-250701T0015Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
739 PM EDT Mon Jun 30 2025

The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Central Harford County in northern Maryland...
  East central Baltimore County in northern Maryland...

* Until 815 PM EDT.

* At 739 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
  was located over Kingsville, or 8 miles north of Middle River,
  moving east at 15 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...For those in the direct path of a tornado touchdown,
           flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
           shelter. Damage to roofs, siding, and windows may occur.
           Mobile homes may be damaged or destroyed. Tree damage is
           likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
  Bel Air South, Bel Air North, Riverside, Pleasant Hills, and
  Perryman around 745 PM EDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Fork,
Benson, Joppatowne, Harford Furnace, Abingdon, Joppa, Upper Falls,
Gunpowder, Belcamp, and Bradshaw.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 

 

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Complex and the tornado warning still moving NE

Dangersous lightening strikes 

 

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
824 PM EDT Mon Jun 30 2025

MDC025-010045-
/O.CON.KLWX.TO.W.0029.000000T0000Z-250701T0045Z/
Harford MD-
824 PM EDT Mon Jun 30 2025

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM EDT FOR EAST
CENTRAL HARFORD COUNTY...

At 824 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Riverside, or near Aberdeen, moving northeast at 15
mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...For those in the direct path of a tornado touchdown, flying
         debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter.
         Damage to roofs, siding, and windows may occur. Mobile
         homes may be damaged or destroyed. Tree damage is likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Aberdeen, Aberdeen Proving Ground, Riverside, and Perryman around
  830 PM EDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Harford Furnace, Abingdon, Carsins, Belcamp, and Edgewood.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3953 7607 3949 7611 3947 7607 3944 7605
      3943 7627 3950 7634 3954 7624 3957 7612
      3958 7610
TIME...MOT...LOC 0024Z 245DEG 11KT 3947 7628

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN

 

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22 minutes ago, yoda said:

Watch coming soon per MCD

mcd1529_full.png

 

Mesoscale Discussion 1529
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1048 AM CDT Tue Jul 01 2025

   Areas affected...the Mid-Atlantic States

   Concerning...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely 

   Valid 011548Z - 011745Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent

   SUMMARY...An increasing damaging wind threat and Severe Thunderstorm
   Watch issuance are expected this afternoon

   DISCUSSION...Convection has been slowly building across the central
   Appalachians, ahead of a low-amplitude shortwave trough that is
   progressing east across the Upper OH Valley. While there is some
   near-term uncertainty of how quickly this initial activity will
   strengthen amid weak DCAPE, the downstream airmass east of the Blue
   Ridge is destabilizing well as surface temperatures have already
   warmed into the upper 80s to low 90s. This will yield an uptick in
   convective intensity as clusters impinge on the Piedmont to Coastal
   Plain where mid 70s surface dew points are pervasive. Although
   lower-level winds will remain weak and predominately veered,
   moderate mid to upper-level westerlies will support organized
   multicells capable of producing multiple strong to isolated severe
   gust swaths. Scattered damaging winds appear likely towards mid to
   late afternoon.

   ..Grams/Mosier.. 07/01/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...CTP...LWX...

   LAT...LON   40117372 39117452 37967617 37757901 38627929 40127907
               40667848 40497568 40117372 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
 
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BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
1241 PM EDT Tue Jul 1 2025

The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Northeastern Rappahannock County in northwestern Virginia...
  Central Fauquier County in northern Virginia...
  North central Culpeper County in northern Virginia...

* Until 115 PM EDT.

* At 1241 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 8 miles east of
  Sperryville, or 15 miles west of Warrenton, moving east at 15 mph.
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1 hour ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Looks like a fairly straightforward day. Some training thunderstorms with scattered reports of flooding and wet microbursts. Lots of surface CAPE, but the downdraft CAPE and mid level lapse rates aren't too impressive. 

If I can get a good rumble of thunder or two I will be happy. I've watched for the past week storms avoid downtown Silver Spring as if it were a leper.

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BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Special Marine Warning
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
221 PM EDT Tue Jul 1 2025

The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a

* Special Marine Warning for...
  Tidal Potomac from Indian Head to Cobb Island MD...
  Tidal Potomac from Key Bridge to Indian Head MD...

* Until 345 PM EDT.

* At 220 PM EDT, strong thunderstorms were located along a line
  extending from 16 nm northwest of Key Bridge to 12 nm northwest of
  Leesylvania State Park to 18 nm west of Aquia Creek, moving east at
  20 knots.
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BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
238 PM EDT Tue Jul 1 2025

The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  The District of Columbia...
  South central Montgomery County in central Maryland...
  Southeastern Loudoun County in northern Virginia...
  The City of Fairfax in northern Virginia...
  Arlington County in northern Virginia...
  The City of Falls Church in northern Virginia...
  Fairfax County in northern Virginia...
  The City of Manassas Park in northern Virginia...
  Central Prince William County in northern Virginia...
  The City of Manassas in northern Virginia...
  The northern City of Alexandria in northern Virginia...

* Until 330 PM EDT.

* At 238 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Centreville,
  moving northeast at 25 mph.
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Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
254 PM EDT Tue Jul 1 2025

The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Northwestern District of Columbia...
  Southeastern Montgomery County in central Maryland...
  Western Arlington County in northern Virginia...
  Fairfax County in northern Virginia...
  The Northwestern City of Alexandria in northern Virginia...
  The City of Fairfax in northern Virginia...
  The City of Falls Church in northern Virginia...

* Until 600 PM EDT.

* At 254 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
  heavy rain across the warned area. Between 0.5 and 1.5 inches of
  rain have fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 1.5 to 2.5 inches
  in 1 hour. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2.5 inches are
  possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected
  to begin shortly.
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