July 2024

[EWR757]

7 hours ago, FPizz said:

Thanks a lot for the reply.  I always keep an eye on the site and compare it to my station and surrounding stations.  Sometimes it's in line,  but some days it seems a few degrees too high.  

I live 5 miles NE of the sensor.   On sunny days I’m about 4-5 degrees cooler, on nights I’m as much as 10 degrees warmer.   I live on First Watchung Mountain about 300 ft higher than SMQ and Duke Farms and the climate is considerably different not being in the bottom of the Raritan Valley closer to the river.  
 

I personally think Duke Farms and SMQ are accurate.  For example, on July 16 (the hottest day of this month), the maximum at Duke was 100, SMQ was 98 and my station on the hill with a lot of trees was 94. 
 

From what I’ve seen small changes in vegetation and elevation make a big difference.  
 

For example, in the Adirondacks in upstate New York, KSLK and Gabriels (Mesonet) are within 100 ft elevation and 2 miles from each other, but the temperature can vary considerably.   Both high quality stations with good siting.

[bluewave]

Hopefully, that IVT like feature can deliver for you guys in CNJ and you don’t underperform again. But these features can be fickle. So not guarantees just yet.

 

[SACRUS]

 

74 / 61 - partly cloudy.  Should be mainly a nice day - clouds from the cut off backing NW could see clouds E-W later in the day.  Mid - upper 80s and to 90 in the warm spots with enough sun.  Deal with the systems looping in tomorrow, clouds and showers, then the front Tue into Wed bring additional showers and rain chances.  Hotter by Wed (7/31) once we clear the cut off and front.  More humid and storm chances the coming weekend but remaining overall warm. Potential heatwave between the 31 and into next week.   Debby could form by Wed/THu and threat the EC from FL to the MA. 

[SACRUS]

 

Storms and rain Mon- Tue and convection Fri-Sun 

 

[Brian5671]

48 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Hopefully, that IVT like feature can deliver for you guys in CNJ and you don’t underperform again. But these features can be fickle. So not guarantees just yet.

 

models all over the place with the placement of rains-RGEM has almost nothing while the 12K NAM is very wet

[SACRUS]

 

80 / 59

NNW wind

 

Can already see clouds rfom the cutoff pushing E-W into and through Long Island

 

[forkyfork]

the last model i trust with a weak low is the nam

[Allsnow]

Was down in Cape May County last week for vacation. They easily had 5-8 inches of rain last week. Get home to a whopping .10 here in Metuchen sigh 

[Poker2015]

On 7/27/2024 at 9:34 AM, FPizz said:

@Poker2015 this is usually balloon fest weekend.  It would have been perfect this year.  Stinks.

We haven't had perfect weather like this the whole weekend in years. Terrible year for them to take a break

[winterwx21]

Had a low temp of 62 here this morning. This has been a nice few days with the low humidity and cool nights. Dew point of 57 here right now, so the humidity still hasn't come up much. 

[winterwx21]

2 hours ago, Allsnow said:

Was down in Cape May County last week for vacation. They easily had 5-8 inches of rain last week. Get home to a whopping .10 here in Metuchen sigh 

Yeah this past week was a huge bust for our area, similar to what happened a couple weeks ago when a hyped week delivered almost nothing. It's very dry out there, so I'm hoping we get some heavy rain this coming week as the high humidity returns. 

[Allsnow]

3 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Yeah this past week was a huge bust for our area, similar to what happened a couple weeks ago when a hyped week delivered almost nothing. It's very dry out there, so I'm hoping we get some heavy rain this coming week as the high humidity returns. 

Yup. Everything is very green down in southern Jersey. Lots of rain this month training over the same areas 

[bluewave]

The latest HREF mean has one area of heavier rain further east closer to the low and a secondary area in NJ with the IVT-like feature similar to the GFS. 
 

 

 

[SACRUS]

 

88 / 57  clouds aproaching  Queens from the east backing in.

 

[SACRUS]

 

[Stormlover74]

48 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Yeah this past week was a huge bust for our area, similar to what happened a couple weeks ago when a hyped week delivered almost nothing. It's very dry out there, so I'm hoping we get some heavy rain this coming week as the high humidity returns. 

I'm not buying any model solution at this point 

[Dark Star]

1 hour ago, winterwx21 said:

Had a low temp of 62 here this morning. This has been a nice few days with the low humidity and cool nights. Dew point of 57 here right now, so the humidity still hasn't come up much. 

Dew 57 here as well, 37% humidity, but still unbearable

[SACRUS]

 

made it 90 ahead of the clouds/smoke combo.

 

EWR: 90
NYC: 89

[JerseyWx]

6 hours ago, Allsnow said:

Was down in Cape May County last week for vacation. They easily had 5-8 inches of rain last week. Get home to a whopping .10 here in Metuchen sigh 

I believe it.  I was in Wildwood Crest for a few days and you literally had to cross a mini ocean on the beach to actually get to the water.

[psv88]

86 today. 

[donsutherland1]

Generally near normal readings will prevail through the remainder of July. An offshore system will bring clouds and some showers tomorrow into Tuesday. Steadier rain is possible on Wednesday. Heat will likely return during the first week in August.

The latest summer guidance continues to suggest a warmer to much warmer than normal summer lies ahead. The extended range guidance suggests that August will likely be warmer than normal.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.5°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.2°C for the week centered around July 17. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.47°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.25°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely evolve into a La Niña event during the late summer or early fall.

The SOI was -23.95 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.975 today.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 79.5° (2.0° above normal).

 

[Stormlover74]

Overcast but pleasant. 80 with a comfortable breeze now

[Stormlover74]

KDIX radar down. Definitely going to rain now

[SACRUS]

 

Highs:

EWR: 90
PHL: 90
NYC: 89
JFK: 89
BLM: 88
New Brnswck: 88
TTN: 88
TEB: 88
ACY: 87
LGA: 86
ISP: 85

[SACRUS]

 

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 101 (1949)
NYC: 97 (1999)
LGA: 98 (1949)
JFK: 98 (1949)


Lows:

EWR: 58 (1962)
NYC: 57 (1903)
LGA: 60 (1984)
JFK: 57 (1977)

Historical:

 

1819 - A small but intense hurricane passed over Bay Saint Louis, MS. The hurricane was considered the worst in fifty years. Few houses were left standing either at Bay Saint Louis or at Pass Christian, and much of the Mississippi coast was desolate following the storm. A U.S. cutter was lost along with its thirty-nine crew members. The storm struck the same area that was hit 150 years later by Hurricane Camille. (David Ludlum)

1898: A severe thunderstorm produced considerable hail (some stones to 11 ounces) in Chicago, Illinois business district. Some people were hurt, not by hail, but by several hundred runaway horses spooked by the hailstones.

1930 - The temperature at Greensburg, KY, soared to 114 degrees to set a state record. (The Weather Channel)

1934 - The temperature at Grofino, ID, climbed to 118 degrees to establish a record for Idaho. (The Weather Channel)

1952 - A severe storm with hail up to an inch and a half in diameter broke windows, ruined roofs, and stripped trees of leaves near Benson, AZ. The temperature dropped to 37 degrees, as hail was three to four inches deep, with drifts 46 inches high. (The Weather Channel)

1986 - Severe thunderstorms moving out of South Dakota across Iowa produce high winds which derailed eighteen piggyback trailer cars of a westbound freight train near Boone, IA. Sixteen of the cars fell 187 feet into the Des Moines River. The thunderstorms also spawned a number of tornadoes, including one which caused twenty-five to fifty million dollars damage at Sloan, near Sioux City, IA. (Storm Data)

1987 - Thunderstorms in Nevada produced wind gusts to 70 mph at Searchlight, reducing visibilities to near zero in blowing dust and sand. Thunderstorms in Montana drenched Lonesome Lake with 3.78 inches of rain. (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - Thunderstorms drenched Wilmington, NC, with 3.33 inches of rain, bringing their monthly total 14.46 inches. Seven cities in Michigan and Minnesota reported record high temperatures for the date. Marquette, MI, hit 99 degrees, and the record high of 94 degrees at Flint MI was their tenth of the month. (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Afternoon thunderstorms produced large hail and damaging winds in Massachusetts. Early evening thunderstorms over Florida produced wind gusts to 68 mph at Fort Myers, and evening thunderstorms in South Dakota produced nearly two inches of rain in twenty minutes at Pierpoint. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

[steve392]

We expected to get much rain out of this low off long Island? 

[Snowlover11]

Holy pouring.  Nice surprise!

[qg_omega]

0.01

[MJO812]

9 hours ago, steve392 said:

We expected to get much rain out of this low off long Island? 

Bands keep rotating in.  Reminds me of a snowstorm.

[bluewave]

The cooler pattern over the last 10 days allowed Newark to fall back away from the lead in 90° days. So Newark dropped from 3rd place down to 8th. A bit unusual to get a cooler pattern in what is typically one of the warmest 10 day periods of the year. 
 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	2010-07-18	26	0
2	2021-07-18	24	0
-	1993-07-18	24	0
3	2024-07-18	23	0
-	1991-07-18	23	0

 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	2010-07-28	36	0
2	1993-07-28	31	0
3	2022-07-28	29	0
-	1987-07-28	29	0
4	1994-07-28	28	0
5	2021-07-28	27	0
-	1991-07-28	27	0
6	2011-07-28	25	0
7	2024-07-28	24	0
-	2012-07-28	24	0
-	1999-07-28	24	0
-	1952-07-28	24	0
-	1949-07-28	24	0