Allsnow Posted June 30, 2024 Share Posted June 30, 2024 24 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Hrrr is meh for many but really blasts the HV and CT I hope the south jersey convection isn’t killing the afternoon potential for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 30, 2024 Share Posted June 30, 2024 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 30, 2024 Author Share Posted June 30, 2024 3knam 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 30, 2024 Author Share Posted June 30, 2024 16 minutes ago, Allsnow said: I hope the south jersey convection isn’t killing the afternoon potential for us They're going to get crushed later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonClaw Posted June 30, 2024 Share Posted June 30, 2024 When was the last time NYC was under Enhanced Risk by the SPC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 30, 2024 Share Posted June 30, 2024 Plenty of fuel for the severe storms today as JFK just tied its all-time highest June dew point of 75°. https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/plotting/auto/?_wait=no&q=155&network=NY_ASOS&zstation=JFK&var=max_dwpf&w=all&threshold=100&hour=12&sdate=0101&edate=1231&month=jun&_r=t&dpi=100&_fmt=png 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 30, 2024 Author Share Posted June 30, 2024 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 30, 2024 Share Posted June 30, 2024 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted June 30, 2024 Share Posted June 30, 2024 12 minutes ago, JonClaw said: When was the last time NYC was under Enhanced Risk by the SPC? Happens a couple times a year I think. Long Island is way more rare. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 30, 2024 Share Posted June 30, 2024 Mesoscale Discussion 1487 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0855 AM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024 Areas affected...portions of the Mid-Atlantic and southern New England Concerning...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely Valid 301355Z - 301600Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Thunderstorm coverage will gradually increase in coverage/intensity through midday. Swaths of damaging wind gusts are expected through afternoon. One or more severe thunderstorm watches will likely be needed in the next couple of hours for portions of the Mid-Atlantic into New England. DISCUSSION...A very moist airmass is already in place across the region this morning, with surface dewpoints in the low to mid 70s F noted in observations. Temperatures are already in the upper 70s to low 80s, and even modest heating through broken clouds will aid in further destabilization toward midday. 12z RAOBs from ALB and OKX also indicate a strongly sheared environment, with effective shear magnitudes greater than 40 kt present. Early convection is already noted near Binghamton NY along an outflow boundary. Additional convection is developing further west across central PA ahead of an east/southeast-advancing cold front. As convection gradually increases over the next few hours, bowing segments/clusters are expected given mostly unidirectional deep-layer flow. Large instability, high PW values, and steepening low-level lapse rates amid favorable shear will support swaths of damaging winds across the region through the afternoon into early evening. One or more watches will likely be needed for the region within the next couple of hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted June 30, 2024 Share Posted June 30, 2024 Just .11" here last evening and overnight. Hoping this afternoon / evening can deliver something meaningful. VERY humid and uncomfortable outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 30, 2024 Author Share Posted June 30, 2024 Dewpoint of 78 in somerville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted June 30, 2024 Share Posted June 30, 2024 I picked up 0.24" last night. Was happy to get that to water the garden just in case this afternoon doesn't work out, but the threat looks very good. The one thing we have going against us is it's cloudy, but obviously we still have a ton of fuel for the storms. Hopefully we'll see something nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted June 30, 2024 Share Posted June 30, 2024 Disgusting outside, feels like August. As always IMBY, I'll believe any storms more than typical thunder/lightning and some gusty winds when I see them east of the Hudson. Hopefully the grass gets a good watering. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 30, 2024 Share Posted June 30, 2024 80 / 74 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted June 30, 2024 Share Posted June 30, 2024 suns out, lets cook up some convection! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted June 30, 2024 Share Posted June 30, 2024 82/78 but cloudy. Enhanced risk is usually a kiss of death (for LI especially), but I’ll hold off on watering things just in case. Cicadas buzzing, not sure if I’ve ever heard that in June. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted June 30, 2024 Share Posted June 30, 2024 Lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted June 30, 2024 Share Posted June 30, 2024 Just now, BxEngine said: Lol HRRR should be tossed into oblivion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 30, 2024 Share Posted June 30, 2024 Dew point of 77 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 30, 2024 Share Posted June 30, 2024 beautiful 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 30, 2024 Share Posted June 30, 2024 Taking bets on when KDIX radar will go down today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted June 30, 2024 Share Posted June 30, 2024 Current conditions here as of 11AM: Temp 87F Dew Point 73 F Humidity 68% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 30, 2024 Share Posted June 30, 2024 Current temp 81/DP 76/RH 86% Brutal out there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted June 30, 2024 Share Posted June 30, 2024 56 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Dewpoint of 78 in somerville My house is 78.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonClaw Posted June 30, 2024 Share Posted June 30, 2024 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 489 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1110 AM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Connecticut Northern Delaware Massachusetts New Jersey Southern New York Central and Eastern Pennsylvania Rhode Island Coastal Waters * Effective this Sunday morning and evening from 1110 AM until 700 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Widespread damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...A mix of thunderstorm clusters and supercells should pose a threat for numerous to widespread severe/damaging winds as they move eastward this afternoon and evening. Peak wind gusts should generally range around 60-70 mph, with isolated gusts perhaps reaching up to 75 mph. Occasional hail around 1-1.5 inches in diameter may also occur with any sustained supercell. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 100 statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles north northwest of Worcester MA to 30 miles west southwest of Philadelphia PA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27035. ...Gleason Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 30, 2024 Author Share Posted June 30, 2024 Wow 75 mph. Don't see that often Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 30, 2024 Share Posted June 30, 2024 1 minute ago, JonClaw said: URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 489 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1110 AM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Connecticut Northern Delaware Massachusetts New Jersey Southern New York Central and Eastern Pennsylvania Rhode Island Coastal Waters * Effective this Sunday morning and evening from 1110 AM until 700 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Widespread damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...A mix of thunderstorm clusters and supercells should pose a threat for numerous to widespread severe/damaging winds as they move eastward this afternoon and evening. Peak wind gusts should generally range around 60-70 mph, with isolated gusts perhaps reaching up to 75 mph. Occasional hail around 1-1.5 inches in diameter may also occur with any sustained supercell. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 100 statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles north northwest of Worcester MA to 30 miles west southwest of Philadelphia PA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27035. ...Gleason 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 30, 2024 Share Posted June 30, 2024 Hard sell on the island. Timing is off and strong marine environment. Maybe some typical storms and heavy rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 30, 2024 Share Posted June 30, 2024 4 hours ago, winterwarlock said: About a 1/4 inch yesterday and overnight..meh What time today for the rains. Im headed down the shore for a few hours and want to leave before it hits Bad day for the beach Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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