weatherwiz Posted May 8 Author Share Posted May 8 6 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: 25 to 30 deg temp variance between W CT and NE MA Nice instability/thermal axis for any storms to ride up along. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 8 Share Posted May 8 51.0° -RA 0.20” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted May 8 Share Posted May 8 27 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: Hot and borderline humid here in SW CT....almost full sun as well 81⁰/68⁰ Yikes. Only 60/55 here in Greenfield with overcast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 8 Share Posted May 8 Watching the hi res vis loop this hour and comparing that to surface obs through upstate NY, there seems 0 way to prevent the warm front from blasting in. yet, it won't move. ah yes. New England at it's physical finest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 8 Author Share Posted May 8 rapid sky brightening here. it's like one of those dim lights where you slowly turn the knob to adjust the brightness and in this case its brightness up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 8 Author Share Posted May 8 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Watching the hi res vis loop this hour and comparing that to surface obs through upstate NY, there seems 0 way to prevent the warm front from blasting in. yet, it won't move. ah yes. New England at it's physical finest this may be the culprit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted May 8 Share Posted May 8 Ray and company are on the edge of their seats today… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 8 Share Posted May 8 4 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: this may be the culprit yeah, that's how New England works there's 2 slices to the atmospere that apparently decouple entirely at times. when they do ... you get sat and obs and conventional metrics not exposing the lowest layer below the 'floor' https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=subregional-New_England-02-24-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined that field of blasting cu is passing right over the closed circulation like there's nothing there. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 8 Share Posted May 8 fascinating to watch. just in the last 10 minutes, the lower scunge lurched N across N CT. WF may be on the move 79 in HFD ... 60 in BAF... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 8 Share Posted May 8 cells firing off around the western end of the Pike Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted May 8 Share Posted May 8 3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: cells firing off around the western end of the Pike Yup just saw that I think I'm going to leave and head south in a few minutes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 8 Share Posted May 8 Lots of sun here and dewy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted May 8 Share Posted May 8 4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: cells firing off around the western end of the Pike Going up quickly too. Won’t be long until they’re warned. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 8 Share Posted May 8 Would like to see those storms boob sag D batteries front shirt pocket instead of west to east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted May 8 Share Posted May 8 21 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: I'm on the fence ... On one hand, the GFS rages on with an amplitude bias that surpasses all other amp bias' across all guidance, that kicks in around 96 hours. The flow is slowing ( hemisphere ) and I suspect that it's amplitude bias shifts <- ...etc. Lot of intuitive experience with this guidance. Plus, the GGEM is noted ( I mentioned that myself earlier) and would make sense. It has good continuity between 00z and 12z, where the GFS is all over the place. I just think the GFS trips over it's own amplitude fantasies. On the other hand, pure experience. New England's unique p.o.s. spring climate cannot be discounted. Pistol to the head I suspect the GGEM is closer to right with some caveats perhaps. One other aspect that's seasonally heading toward the back burner, but the teleonnectors are in aggregate a warm basis for the next 10 days to 2 week. At some point that may and probably should begin to present in the guidance. GFS/GEFS is coming around to GEM/EURO view for this weekend, but not without kickin' and screamin'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 8 Author Share Posted May 8 rotation over Otis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 8 Share Posted May 8 Really nice booms coming from just to the north. Sounds like summer, ha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted May 8 Share Posted May 8 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Really nice booms coming from just to the north. Sounds like summer, ha. Got back from the dentist in Burlington about an hour ago and there was actually some clearing and blue skies visible. I guess I wasn't really expecting to see that much at all today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 8 Share Posted May 8 A historic severe day in SNE is unfolding before our very eyes... Very hard to elevate our region to this high level/criteria of concern... Mesoscale Discussion 0702 – Concerning: SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 8 Share Posted May 8 76 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted May 8 Share Posted May 8 Starting to become partly cloudy here in E CT, temp up to 70 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 8 Author Share Posted May 8 decent rotation over Blanford Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 8 Author Share Posted May 8 Just erupted into blue sky in Springfield with severe to my west. GOING TO BE POUNDED!!!!!! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted May 8 Share Posted May 8 52 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: this may be the culprit that yellow blob will do it every time 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted May 8 Share Posted May 8 Pocket of 1k ML CAPE into western CT now. If we can get something to fire we could rock for a bit. Shear is legit on mesoanalysis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 8 Author Share Posted May 8 quite a bit of thunder here. crazy...blue sky looking east and off to the west is the clouds with the storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 8 Share Posted May 8 Can hear lots of thunder to the NW. Too bad it’s not sagging SSE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 8 Share Posted May 8 Come on Hammer .. please hurt em’ https://x.com/ryanhanrahan/status/1788285329658528206?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 8 Share Posted May 8 Started to hint at brightening up here at this end of Rt 2 in N-NE Mass but with those anvils now capping that'll pretty much close the book on any meaningful sun sparing the day here. Different world in CT/Western MA ... pretty classic SNE butt bangin' day. Tomorrow might actually be decent. I'm wondering if the models are too stingy with blue slots and sky lights given the general synopsis. I could see it being partly sunny mid day. That would also goose the T's a little too. Course, ...that could cause some pancaking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 8 Share Posted May 8 Sometimes those southern ends or tails on the line end up spinning . The one getting ready to enter into NW CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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