tamarack Posted March 8 Share Posted March 8 17 hours ago, mreaves said: Soooo, you're saying next year will be like 2006-07? I'll take it! Started somewhat slow but finished huge. That (the bolded) is very generous; it was awful. Thru Jan 13 we'd had only 11" snow and 2 months of +8 temps. After that, temps ran 5° BN thru mid-April, including our 2nd coldest Feb, plus 84.3" snow, capped by 37.2" in April, including 18.5" on 4-5. Over the past 25 winters, snowfall has split almost exactly on the 1/31-2/1 divide, 49.9%/50.1%. 2005-06 is by far the most front-loaded (85/15) and 06-07 just the opposite (20/80). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AstronomyEnjoyer Posted March 8 Share Posted March 8 Both the 12z NAMs aren't helping me to not get sucked back in for this weekend... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 8 Share Posted March 8 Don't do it. 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted March 8 Share Posted March 8 44 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Wants but... I am going to go ahead and take the WAY under on that for my area. no way do I see 3-5". perhaps some wet flakes, but that will be about it. my call: 0.0" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 8 Share Posted March 8 39 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Just posting what the models say. So they are right when they say 70 but wrong when they say cold. That's why people don't give your posts any cred. Most folks here appreciate my knowledge and insights . The boy who cried snow each winter is the one that gets snickers. 1 2 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 8 Share Posted March 8 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Most folks here appreciate my knowledge and insights . The boy who cried snow each winter is the one that gets snickers. I might be close to stepping onboard the Doo-Doo express. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 8 Share Posted March 8 29 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: It looks like a 5 day window where something could pop, 3-17-3/21..before the non-winter pattern re-asserts itself. Good. I’ll be in FL. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AstronomyEnjoyer Posted March 8 Share Posted March 8 Ah yes, and now the 12z ICON has come back considerably snowier for MBY. I'm thinking I shall be a lost cause this weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 8 Share Posted March 8 1 minute ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said: Ah yes, and now the 12z ICON has come back considerably snowier for MBY. I'm thinking I shall be a lost cause this weekend. Oh wow, Lock it in! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GCWarrior Posted March 8 Share Posted March 8 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Wants but... The euro wasn’t this showing that much snow that far south at 0z? That would be nice. New puppy, kid’s activities, mount snow is the best option for me Sunday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted March 8 Share Posted March 8 44.2 a little chilly with the NE flow but still a beauty out there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 8 Share Posted March 8 12z GFS didn't take the bait, Snow is still relegated to the higher elevations and into Northern Maine for Sunday. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 8 Share Posted March 8 7 minutes ago, dryslot said: 12z GFS didn't take the bait, Snow is still relegated to the higher elevations and into Northern Maine for Sunday. Eh. NAM and EC are fairly wintry here, but damn it is close. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 8 Share Posted March 8 6 minutes ago, dendrite said: Eh. NAM and EC are fairly wintry here, but damn it is close. I'm hoping i miss out by a few miles like a few others this winter but watch that not be the case........lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AstronomyEnjoyer Posted March 8 Share Posted March 8 12z CMC has a much deeper low than 00z did as it swings through central Mass. Big improvement for the spine of Vermont, small improvement for the south of White Mountains crew. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 8 Share Posted March 8 51 minutes ago, GCWarrior said: The euro wasn’t this showing that much snow that far south at 0z? That would be nice. New puppy, kid’s activities, mount snow is the best option for me Sunday. Pic of the pup? Hope all is well, been a minute Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 8 Share Posted March 8 Caught this van on my dash cam. At what point does a painter decide that a regular size cargo van ain't the correct vehicle to be shuffling 14 or so ladders back and forth? 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 8 Share Posted March 8 What a weenie pattern on the horizon. Wish this was 30 days ago… 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 8 Share Posted March 8 4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: What a weenie pattern on the horizon. Wish this was 30 days ago… It was 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 8 Share Posted March 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted March 8 Share Posted March 8 23 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: Caught this van on my dash cam. At what point does a painter decide that a regular size cargo van ain't the correct vehicle to be shuffling 14 or so ladders back and forth? Asshole 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted March 8 Share Posted March 8 20 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: What a weenie pattern on the horizon. Wish this was 30 days ago… Torch delayed? Again... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 8 Share Posted March 8 I hate the billion dollar disaster metric. No shit that will go up as real estate sky rockets. Has to be a better metric to gauge. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted March 8 Share Posted March 8 21 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: Caught this van on my dash cam. At what point does a painter decide that a regular size cargo van ain't the correct vehicle to be shuffling 14 or so ladders back and forth? When it gets to a 14' bridge, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 8 Share Posted March 8 52 minutes ago, kdxken said: Torch delayed? Again... Window units being kicked out of bedrooms east of the Mississippi. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GCWarrior Posted March 8 Share Posted March 8 1 hour ago, dryslot said: 12z GFS didn't take the bait, Snow is still relegated to the higher elevations and into Northern Maine for Sunday. Lol. Seems like the GFS is now the outlier. See what the euro does. I know people probably don’t care at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 8 Share Posted March 8 12 minutes ago, GCWarrior said: Lol. Seems like the GFS is now the outlier. See what the euro does. I know people probably don’t care at this point. 12z Euro looks like the 12z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 8 Share Posted March 8 Just now, dryslot said: 12z Euro looks like the 12z GFS. When did that start coming out so early? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 8 Share Posted March 8 13 minutes ago, powderfreak said: When did that start coming out so early? This week, 12z comes out at 12:12 pm and is done by 1:00pm on SV. News ECMWF News Submitted by mrwx on Wed, 2024-03-06 09:37 Faster Dissemination Management New News on the Next European Model Upgrade Optimizing the Speed Situation The much faster delivery of the European ensemble started on Tuesday, March 5, with mixed results for StormVista map and data production. Products were available much faster than ever before, however, issues such as out-of-order files and varying speeds in file type dissemination are requiring logic adjustments for future speed optimization. StormVista's larger list of variable and map options are beneficial to clients, but they become a liability for processing speed. The ECMWF's faster delivery includes providing files out of order with significant delays at times for key files. Missing Hour 45 (as happened on the first day) caused map production disruption, but it did not affect the 6-hour max/min data for city forecasts and degree day calculations. However, when Hour 180 stalled, it did impact city/degree day calculations, allowing the maps to get ahead once the file arrived. There were also issues when the various types of files (low vs. high resolution) also arrived out of order (low-res is typically faster, but not the case on the first day). We are addressing each of these challenges and adjusting variable priorities to find ways to speed up delivery in these instances. In Other Big News Amid yesterday's chaotic situation (they initially flubbed the 6z roll out too), the ECMWF announced big changes to the next model upgrade: New upgrade, Cycle 49r1, is now planned for October 2024 This is a significant delay from their typical June-July upgrade timing They will make the operational (HRES) identical to the ENS control run They will make this operational/control run available earlier than the ensemble (as they do now) However, according to what they wrote yesterday, this new control run (operational) will run out to 15 days instead of 10 Not only did they change their intention to remove the operational, but they are now running it out further The Cycle 50r1, planned for October 2025 will continue this earlier control run release out to 15 days 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 8 Share Posted March 8 Ha, so the operational stays the same and goes out to 15 days. Woof. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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