Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,540
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    clydes6
    Newest Member
    clydes6
    Joined

Following a Miller A/B hybrid type coastal potential, Feb 13th ... As yet untapped potential and a higher ceiling with this one


Typhoon Tip
 Share

Recommended Posts

12 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said:

It's midday on Wednesday.  I was just looking at the vis. sattelite and noticed something.  I enhanced the image but there is a NE to SW line of heavier snow in Eastern Mass.  Kind of the reverse of Ocean Effect snow.  Perhaps the slightly warmer ocean water warmed up parts of Eastern Mass just enough to keep accumulations lower?  It does not appear to be related to the storm track.  Thoughts?

 

Glad you posted that....my 1.5" measurement was an anomaly relative to surrounding areas, and this validates my ob, as I am right in that narrow corridor.

That is exactly what it is...the narrow corridor between the dry air and the maritime influence that saw some accumulation.

 

 

Screenshot 2024-02-14 at 12.49.17 PM.png

  • Like 4
  • Sad 1
  • Weenie 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Here's the update i promised yesterday. A TON of reports for this one, wow. I even but a little hole over Dayville, Alexander lake i believe it is? Thats the only big lake around there for @Cold Miser

Ill be working on a SNE map today as well and then an updated season to date map for CT and SNE. Dont forget to update the New England Snow page

 

 

02.14.24_jdj_v3_ct_snowfall_totals_update.jpg

Yup. That's it...aka Lava Lake.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

15 hours ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Well, 6” will do it. Absolute cement for the first 4, too 2 weren’t to bad. Got to use my snowblower I bought in Dec 2020 For only the 3rd time. Chewed right through this stuff like a champ.

 

Anyways, on some dumpier news, my wife and I are separating, so no idea how much longer I’ll be in this house/area.

Enjoyed this event even with all of its flaws

So sorry, Brett.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Certainly not happy with this forecast at all. Maybe it looks “fine” for Connecticut but an absolute disaster along the Mass Pike area and I essentially pulled the plug and called bust for Connecticut Monday evening. 
 

now ultimately one could say all I had to do was just shift this down some miles and tighten the gradient. If I had more time/energy I would have made an updated map but l would have not made those changes. I would have went significantly less for Connecticut and maybe do 4-7” southern and 2-4” so it would have been much worse if I did something so this map makes the forecast better than it would have been.
CA11CCF8-D4E6-4C02-BC9A-B68CD7200986.thumb.jpeg.c85f8bec90cd4b42743ba2a324f00e1e.jpeg

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, CT Valley Snowman said:

Great map as always but that 3.1" is definitely a bit low over my hood in Enfield.  I had 5.75"

No problem, fixed. there were actually two different reports from cocorahs (over two days) and i missed that so it was 3.1+3, so it should have been 6.1...but i used your report anyway

 

02.14.24_jdj_v3_ct_snowfall_totals_update.jpg

  • Like 4
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, weatherwiz said:

Certainly not happy with this forecast at all. Maybe it looks “fine” for Connecticut but an absolute disaster along the Mass Pike area and I essentially pulled the plug and called bust for Connecticut Monday evening. 
 

now ultimately one could say all I had to do was just shift this down some miles and tighten the gradient. If I had more time/energy I would have made an updated map but l would have not made those changes. I would have went significantly less for Connecticut and maybe do 4-7” southern and 2-4” so it would have been much worse if I did something so this map makes the forecast better than it would have been.
CA11CCF8-D4E6-4C02-BC9A-B68CD7200986.thumb.jpeg.c85f8bec90cd4b42743ba2a324f00e1e.jpeg

Even with the far SE shift, SE CT always manages a way to get screwed ~3" for coastal new london county

Link to comment
Share on other sites

42 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Even with the far SE shift, SE CT always manages a way to get screwed ~3" for coastal new london county

I was surprised to see that. Maybe far lower ratios? They’re such a snow pit it’s hard to watch. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

19 hours ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Well, 6” will do it. Absolute cement for the first 4, too 2 weren’t to bad. Got to use my snowblower I bought in Dec 2020 For only the 3rd time. Chewed right through this stuff like a champ.

 

Anyways, on some dumpier news, my wife and I are separating, so no idea how much longer I’ll be in this house/area.

Enjoyed this event even with all of its flaws

Sorry to hear. Relationships are tough but maybe a permanent North Conway residency awaits?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

So sorry, Brett.

 

29 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Sorry to hear. Relationships are tough but maybe a permanent North Conway residency awaits?

Thanks guy, appreciate it. And who knows at this point. We’ll see what happens in the coming weeks/months, I’d love to move north 

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Glad you posted that....my 1.5" measurement was an anomaly relative to surrounding areas, and this validates my ob, as I am right in that narrow corridor.

That is exactly what it is...the narrow corridor between the dry air and the maritime influence that saw some accumulation.

 

 

Screenshot 2024-02-14 at 12.49.17 PM.png

I had just over 1" here too before it started compressing. There was a little more in Salem when I was there this morning. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Even with the far SE shift, SE CT always manages a way to get screwed ~3" for coastal new london county

Yeah right. What a brutal place to live really. Get hardly any thunderstorms, 90% of the state could be in the lower 80’s and they’re still in the 60’s. Awful 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

22 hours ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Well, 6” will do it. Absolute cement for the first 4, too 2 weren’t to bad. Got to use my snowblower I bought in Dec 2020 For only the 3rd time. Chewed right through this stuff like a champ.

 

Anyways, on some dumpier news, my wife and I are separating, so no idea how much longer I’ll be in this house/area.

Enjoyed this event even with all of its flaws

That really sucks, sorry to hear about that

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

 

Thanks guy, appreciate it. And who knows at this point. We’ll see what happens in the coming weeks/months, I’d love to move north 

Take the opportunity, if it presents itself.  You can move to wherever you want to start anew.  Go somewhere you think you’d enjoy on a personal level.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

 

Thanks guy, appreciate it. And who knows at this point. We’ll see what happens in the coming weeks/months, I’d love to move north 

Weren’t you a criminal justice major?  Everyone is looking for cops in VT. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

11 hours ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Spent the whole day working on this. SNE snowfall totals, everything should be right and matches up with the CT map but if theres any corrections let me know.

Shows up here too @Cold Miser:lol:

02.14.24_jdj_v3_ct_ma_ri_snowfall_totals.jpg

I trust you have a neat and tidy catalog of all the maps you put out. Good amount of blood sweat and tears in your presentations. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 hours ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Yours was in the CT map. I left a lot out for the SNE map because it's literally impossible to fit them all. 

Build a bridge...

:gun_bandana::cliff:

Lol, nah I get it. Waterbury is a sh*thole that doesn't matter. :(

 

Also for the record I just measured the depth. I didn't clear a snowboard or nothing like that. Too old and depressed to care lol

  • Like 1
  • Haha 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 2/13/2024 at 8:54 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

 

And that’s the reason. I actually thought this to myself today. When places that they don’t have warned get warning snows.. they try to hide and mask it. It’s all about verification for their individual offices. Big brother (govt) is watching. Ask @OceanStWx. Let’s see if he’ll comment 

How did I get roped into this goat rodeo of an event? :lol:

For starters that map is primarily compiled using CoCoRaHS and Coop reports, which are typically 7am-ish. So there was some settlings that occurred overnight prior to reporting. If you include those "official" obs with the totals closer to 18 inches the map kind of looks like one of Ginxy's dog turds because of weird bullseyes. Nothing nefarious, because for BOX a miss is a miss. They'll take the false alarm for the original warning which was cancelled before verifying, then take the missed event for not upgrading the advisory once it was clear warning amount were going to happen. It seems like they just decided to go down with the ship on this one.

There can definitely be too much concern with verification sometimes, but it is also the only way we can really track our performance objectively. And we're also required by Congress to track certain metrics, as that's the only way they understand our performance. Some offices definitely try and sneak some past. You see it far more often with tornadoes, tweaking the start time so that it falls under a warning (even if the radar evidence points towards the warning being late).

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 2/17/2024 at 3:47 PM, OceanStWx said:

How did I get roped into this goat rodeo of an event? :lol:

For starters that map is primarily compiled using CoCoRaHS and Coop reports, which are typically 7am-ish. So there was some settlings that occurred overnight prior to reporting. If you include those "official" obs with the totals closer to 18 inches the map kind of looks like one of Ginxy's dog turds because of weird bullseyes. Nothing nefarious, because for BOX a miss is a miss. They'll take the false alarm for the original warning which was cancelled before verifying, then take the missed event for not upgrading the advisory once it was clear warning amount were going to happen. It seems like they just decided to go down with the ship on this one.

There can definitely be too much concern with verification sometimes, but it is also the only way we can really track our performance objectively. And we're also required by Congress to track certain metrics, as that's the only way they understand our performance. Some offices definitely try and sneak some past. You see it far more often with tornadoes, tweaking the start time so that it falls under a warning (even if the radar evidence points towards the warning being late).

tl;dr, nothing nefarious going on, awt.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...