Monitoring first regional significant winter impact event. Magnitude likely tempered. At this time NE PA/SE NY and SNE primarily. Jan 7/8.

[ORH_wxman]

A foot of snow on Belichick’s noggin Sunday? 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Warmest point on 00z NAM...4am Sunday

 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Cold run. That’s all I care about 

[CoastalWx]

Nam was nice. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Nam was nice. 

We take. Pretty damn cold.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

NAM says warning snows for all.  Let’s lock it. 

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Warmest point on 00z NAM...4am Sunday

 

Toss that ptype shading. 

[kazimirkai]

37 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Has it ever been right in a snowstorm ?

Which shortrange model usually is right in a snowstorm?

[weatherwiz]

This NAM is just ridiculous with this storm. Has it had one run-to-run consistency? It's almost laughable. So not worth using for this one.

[8611Blizz]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Warmest point on 00z NAM...4am Sunday

 

When does cf push east?

[STILL N OF PIKE]

1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

This NAM is just ridiculous with this storm. Has it had one run-to-run consistency? It's almost laughable. So not worth using for this one.

Pretty sure last run at 18z was close 

18z had better CCB for east 

[dendrite]

3k has some good banding up here. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Toss that ptype shading. 

That isn't precip type....it's the 30 isotherm.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Nam was nice. 

Now let’s move on.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, 8611Blizz said:

When does cf push east?

After that point.

[CoastalWx]

3k cooled off too. That’s pretty nice around here. 

[powderfreak]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Toss that ptype shading. 

Isn’t that temperature not p-type?

Poor choice of colors though around that temperature.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Now let’s move on.

This model watching is better than the dang storm with models running every 15 mins lol

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Pretty sure last run at 18z was close 

like this though? 

I'm just ready for the mesoanylsis at this point. We've done all the modeling we can for this one. We can digest the next set of models until the storm ends...mesoanalysis time.

[powderfreak]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

3k cooled off too. That’s pretty nice around here. 

Yeah good early runs for the SNE crew.  That wild north stuff from some of the 12z runs is largely gone.  Ya’ll deserve a good one.

[ineedsnow]

2 minutes ago, dendrite said:

3k has some good banding up here. 

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

That isn't precip type....it's the 30 isotherm.

@weatherwizIt is ...that map does not delineate prcip type.

[kazimirkai]

10 minutes ago, JKEisMan said:

out to 45

I mean its been varied within a range of two inches for my area since the 6z run. Maybe S NY is just easier to forecast for than S NE with this storm? Idk ig I can see where the inconsistency complaints come from in places farther east.

[Prismshine Productions]

Boom

Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk

[STILL N OF PIKE]

I’ve basically stopped doing anything not mandatory and just plopped myself in front of a screen to watch models for 3 days , is that healthy 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Nam is 6-10” of paste here. Let’s hope 

[weatherwiz]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

@weatherwizIt is...that map does not delineate prcip type.

I just thought the exchange was funny

[WeatherX]

The 3k gets some nice Currier and Ives down this way after the initial load

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Just now, WeatherX said:

The 3k gets some nice Currier and Ives down this way after the initial load

They both do .. snows most of the daylight hours Sunday 

[EastonSN+]

9 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

 

I feel safer when Long Island gets some.