Monitoring first regional significant winter impact event. Magnitude likely tempered. At this time NE PA/SE NY and SNE primarily. Jan 7/8.

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

New HRRR quite a bit colder and south .That earlier run was abysmal 

It's north and sucks.

[Snowcrazed71]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

New HRRR quite a bit colder and south .That earlier run was abysmal 

Is the HRRR a good model though? What's it look like Kev?

[weatherwiz]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

It's north and sucks.

He must have his laptop upside down

[dendrite]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

New HRRR quite a bit colder and south .That earlier run was abysmal 

This run has sleet up to NH lol

[CoastalWx]

Stop getting your effing weather from twitter.

[NW_of_GYX]

stealing snow on that HRRR run. Good thing for the SNE weenies that model stinks at this lead

[STILL N OF PIKE]

The 12z HREF is insane thru only 12z Sunday . The mean is juiced but the max got into some shrooms . 20-24” max In E slope of western New England mountain by Sunday morning 

Mean is 10-15 for Catskills , Berks , N ORH out to 12z Sunday 

[Torch Tiger]

HRRR looks terrific! Much of NE gets something

[wx2fish]

5 minutes ago, dendrite said:

This run has sleet up to NH lol

19F and pelting here when the CF moves through. Man I'd lose it 

[WinterWolf]

10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

It's north and sucks.

What was he looking at? 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

What was he looking at? 

Dilfs

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

What was he looking at? 

Probably an IPA.

[CoastalWx]

Lets go mini Dec 05.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

15 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

New HRRR quite a bit colder and south .That earlier run was abysmal 

Lmao it almost goes up the Hudson before a last second push east 

[radarman]

12 minutes ago, dendrite said:

This run has sleet up to NH lol

Point and click soundings suggest that hydroclass algorithm might need some work.  There might be dry air in the DGZ, but the column is cold in some of those areas, even the warm(er) layers aren't all that warm.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

For as far west and warm as hrrr is would still get 6- 10 here and be a pretty epic Saturday evening I’m down for that! Also instead of the heaviest snow while we are sleeping it’s now from 5pm to 11pm.

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, radarman said:

Point and click soundings suggest that hydroclass algorithm might need some work.  There might be dry air in the DGZ, but the column is cold in some of those areas, even the warm(er) layers aren't all that warm.

Yeah it looks a little overboard on the vendor sites…-10C at the top of the cloud layer and still trying to call it ZR/IP.

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

For as far west and warm as hrrr is would still get 6- 10 here and be a pretty epic Saturday evening I’m down for that! Also instead of the heaviest snow while we are sleeping it’s now from 5pm to 11pm.

yeah this timing is getting crazy quick. I just mentioned in my write up start of 7-9 PM...that's going to be a big fail 

[dendrite]

Just now, dendrite said:

Yeah it looks a little overboard on the vendor sites…-10C at the top of the cloud layer and still trying to call it ZR/IP.

I’d toss this ptype with mac jones

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Just now, weatherwiz said:

yeah this timing is getting crazy quick. I just mentioned in my write up start of 7-9 PM...that's going to be a big fail 

Verbatim it’s like 3-4pm western ct and 6-7pm far eastern. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Saw this . My bad . Please don’t hate the player.. please hate the game 

https://x.com/jhomenuk/status/1743357094357594364?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Verbatim it’s like 3-4pm western ct and 6-7pm far eastern. 

I'm hoping this is too fast but even the 18z NAM is on the faster side as well (though not as fast as the HRRR).

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Nammy saves the southerners. 

[dendrite]

Messenger doing pbp this run

[dryslot]

28 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

It's north and sucks.

He needs a compass.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

I think nam cranks many areas in next few frames , esp e slopes 

[WeatherX]

4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Nammy saves the southerners. 

Yeah a big old thump

[weatherwiz]

Looks like it wants to rejuvenate the CCB even back across CT

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Just now, weatherwiz said:

Looks like it wants to rejuvenate the CCB even back across CT

Yup late am 

[powderfreak]

32 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Stop getting your effing weather from twitter.

Its almost like looking at the actual models would help sometimes, ha.