mahk_webstah Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 1 minute ago, dryslot said: I think it was Will that had mentioned and can correct me if i don't have it right, That the NAO was heading negative and there was a HP over the davis staits that models would have a tough time resolving from a long lead Yes, and more recently I think we trended away a bit from that high-pressure being in the right spot? At least that’s how I was reading it, but many were focused on the Sunday storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Lock it ? Whiff whiff cutter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Just now, mahk_webstah said: Yes, and more recently I think we trended away a bit from that high-pressure being in the right spot? At least that’s how I was reading it, but many were focused on the Sunday storm. I had been looking past saturdays a bit as this one had more potential but will now pay more attention to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It does for the time being overall. Talk to me on the 13th. Two week no snow fah you 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Euro GW for the 13th... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 That blocking needs to build westerly to both suppress that track a bit, but also help slide some cold underneath it into SE Canada. So that is what to look for. What you don't want is the PV where it is and have the blocking just start to come in. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 That 12z Euro run produced some 40" burgers on the kuchie maps......lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Whiff whiff is that doggy doo I smell Hmm, hope not 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 22 minutes ago, dryslot said: And then throw this over the top of Weds, And you can catch climo avg real quick. Nice weenie blue dot for me. Verbatim this would cancel a trip I have planned to scooter-ville Saturday night. Not for the driving, but for the obs duties. Backup observer out of town for the holiday weekend. Weenie wants this, brain does not. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW_of_GYX Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 35 minutes ago, dryslot said: That is actually the first time the Euro has had any CAD signature for this one, That would really set the stage with the pasty look and then hard freeze that before the one on the 13th, It would be off to the races. I mentioned yesterday it would be a few days before models had a handle on the CAD. That's a decently cold airmass in place prior and had the look of something models would underestimate until we got closer in. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 1 minute ago, NW_of_GYX said: I mentioned yesterday it would be a few days before models had a handle on the CAD. That's a decently cold airmass in place prior and had the look of something models would underestimate until we got closer in. Yes, As they do on many occasions, Lets hope we can get this to build on the model runs going forward, Could be some really good times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 22 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That blocking needs to build westerly to both suppress that track a bit, but also help slide some cold underneath it into SE Canada. So that is what to look for. What you don't want is the PV where it is and have the blocking just start to come in. EPS does just that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 pretty significant change with heights east as well. definitely pushing that lobe under more 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 38 minutes ago, dryslot said: And then throw this over the top of Weds, And you can catch climo avg real quick. I see a low over my noggin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW_of_GYX Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 I like the 13th period. GEFS mean cuts to the lakes but it's been very consistent on the OP runs except for a few runs yesterday. Transfers the low to the benchmark, cold air in Canada, I like that period for a region wide event. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 EPS is definitely a really nice look for mid-month. Let’s hope it sticks. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 It would be really good if the region could catch a good break rather then all the bad ones. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW_of_GYX Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: EPS is definitely a really nice look for mid-month. Let’s hope it sticks. Yup, great look at this lead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 You can see how this would be an excellent look with a very active PJ but still some ridging in the west despite absolute heights being BN in BC and PAC NW 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: You can see how this would be an excellent look with a very active PJ but still some ridging in the west despite absolute heights being BN in BC and PAC NW ready for 60s and 70s? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Let’s line up the next widespread snower before the cutter even arrives. We’ll give that cutter a taste of its own medicine. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 32 minutes ago, dryslot said: That 12z Euro run produced some 40" burgers on the kuchie maps......lol I'm assuming this is for next weekend's possible storm? Any maps to post? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 9 minutes ago, NW_of_GYX said: I like the 13th period. GEFS mean cuts to the lakes but it's been very consistent on the OP runs except for a few runs yesterday. Transfers the low to the benchmark, cold air in Canada, I like that period for a region wide event. We pray Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 52 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Big snows for whites on euro wow My heart is growing frail, don’t do this to me. JK I’m starting to care less every year that I’m up here. But snow is nice, and especially nice for my business lol. And flooding is bad, very bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 3 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: I'm assuming this is for next weekend's possible storm? Any maps to post? It was for total snow in the next 10 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stadiumwave Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Whoops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 18 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: EPS does just that Yep, funny how that works. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW_of_GYX Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 others have mentioned already but that is a real deal -epo dump on the eps mid month. Winter arrives in that period for some of the spots in the lower 48 that have been so mild this season, SW Montana especially. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 22 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: EPS does just that How does that pattern not also have a +PNA? Looks weird... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW_of_GYX Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 3 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said: How does that pattern not also have a +PNA? Looks weird... dumps the core of the negative height anomalies further west as the block retrogrades Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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