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So the bogus 00z-06z/30 NAM..possibly too cool tonight NYC but still has a touch of snow...freezing drizzle...ice pellets much of western LI thru NNJ. Shall we ignore it?  EC nothing and already busting on no fragments of icy wintry precip occurring MA, RI e LI NJ and PA. I think it will happen. Spotty 1/2-1" hills of NNJ into ne PA?

GFS and HRRR have it tonight so could be a little slick in spots outside the city later tonight. 

Overall the future doesn't offer anything substantial east of the Apps next two weeks. ATTACHED 10 day NBM snowfall. Click for clarity.

btw I notice some NYC TV doesn't seem to check mPing... here in Wantage we had some graupel-Trace.  

Screen Shot 2024-01-30 at 5.01.02 AM.png

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34 cloudy.  Drier pattern setting in but clouds in the way the next 48 hours then a sunny period - will believe it when we see it but should be a overall quiet next week.  Overall warmer than normal by way of some stronger warmth in the key 2/5 - 2/9 period.  Beyond there looks more active and colder.

 

GOES16-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif 

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1 minute ago, LibertyBell said:

stupid east wind

I don't think anyone is all that excited to see a few flakes in the sky.

We should either get 6"+ inches of snow or sunny dry weather.

Where I live I see flakes every day, just not the kind that fall from the sky

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3 hours ago, bluewave said:

Only the 3rd time on record that northern suburbs like HPN haven’t dropped below 15° by 1-30.

Time Series Summary for WESTCHESTER CO AP, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Ending Date
Lowest Min Temperature Oct 1 to Jan 30
Missing Count
1 2002-01-30 16 0
2 2024-01-30 15 1
- 1950-01-30 15 61
3 2020-01-30 13 2

 

2001-02 is the benchmark "winter" for records like this, but 2001-02 was a lot more bearable; for example, it hit 70 in 2002 in late January.

 

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2 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

2001-02 is the benchmark "winter" for records like this, but 2001-02 was a lot more bearable; for example, it hit 70 in 2002 in late January.

 

We haven’t had a warm and dry winter since 2001-2002. All our warm winters since then have been wet with either snow or rain. Probably the most winter bike rides that I ever got in on the Long Beach boardwalk. 
 

Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY - Dec through Feb
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Season
Total Precipitation 
Missing Count
1 1900-1901 4.22 0
2 2001-2002 4.88 0
3 1958-1959 5.28 0
4 1871-1872 5.41 0
5 1979-1980 5.45 0
6 1955-1956 5.97 0
7 1943-1944 6.13 0
8 1876-1877 6.40 0
9 1988-1989 6.45 0
10 1946-1947 6.59 0


 

Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Season
Mean Avg Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2001-2002 41.5 0
2 2022-2023 41.0 0
- 2015-2016 41.0 0
3 2011-2012 40.5 0
4 1931-1932 40.1 0
5 1997-1998 39.6 0
6 2016-2017 39.3 0
7 2019-2020 39.2 0
8 1990-1991 39.1 0
9 1998-1999 38.6 0
10 1948-1949 38.5 0
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6 minutes ago, bluewave said:

We haven’t had a warm and dry winter since 2001-2002. All our warm winters since then have been wet with either snow or rain. Probably the most winter bike rides that I ever got in on the Long Beach boardwalk. 
 

Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY - Dec through Feb
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Season
Total Precipitation 
Missing Count
1 1900-1901 4.22 0
2 2001-2002 4.88 0
3 1958-1959 5.28 0
4 1871-1872 5.41 0
5 1979-1980 5.45 0
6 1955-1956 5.97 0
7 1943-1944 6.13 0
8 1876-1877 6.40 0
9 1988-1989 6.45 0
10 1946-1947 6.59 0


 

Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Season
Mean Avg Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2001-2002 41.5 0
2 2022-2023 41.0 0
- 2015-2016 41.0 0
3 2011-2012 40.5 0
4 1931-1932 40.1 0
5 1997-1998 39.6 0
6 2016-2017 39.3 0
7 2019-2020 39.2 0
8 1990-1991 39.1 0
9 1998-1999 38.6 0
10 1948-1949 38.5 0

I had roses blooming in my backyard in 2001-02 right up to New Years.  And the first crocuses bloomed in my front yard in late February.  The shortest nongrowing season I have ever experienced.  Can you confirm this, Chris.... what was the shortest interval between our first freeze and our last freeze, was it in 2001-02?

That was an unreal "winter" even with our recent trend towards warmer winters, nothing has come close to matching it.  Sort of like how even with our trend to warmer summers none has matched 2010 yet.

 

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Records:

 

Highs:

EWR: 66 (2013)
MNYC: 64 (2006)
LGA: 63 (2006)


Lows:

EWR: 3 (1935)
NYC: 2 (1873)
NYC: 4 (1948)

 

Historical:

 

1936 - Birmingham, AL, established a single storm record and 24 hour record with 11 inches of snow. (29th-30th) (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)

 

1966: The Blizzard of 1966 impacted New York and paralyzed the region. The train service was disrupted. Numerous highways, the New York State Thruway from Albany to the Pennsylvania state line, and the Buffalo Airport and other airports throughout western and central New York were closed. The Syracuse-Oswego area's hardest hit, where Bob Sykes, a meteorology professor at the State University of New York at Oswego, reported a whopping 102.4 inches! Some schools in Orleans County were closed for the entire week following the blizzard. Economic loss from the storm was estimated at $35 million. Winds gusting to 60 mph and temperatures in the teens, and heavy and blowing snow created severe blizzard conditions.

1977 - The great "Buffalo Blizzard" finally abated after three days. The storm added a foot of new snow to 33 inches already on the ground. Winds gusting to 75 mph reduced visibilities to near zero, produced snow drifts twenty-five feet high, and kept wind chill readings 50 degrees below zero. The blizzard paralyzed the city, and caused 250 million dollars damage. (David Ludlum)

1987 - A winter storm brought more heavy snow to the North Atlantic Coast Region, with 13.6 inches reported at Hiram ME. January proved to be the snowiest of record for much of Massachusetts. Worcester MA reported an all-time monthly record of 46.8 inches of snow. (National Weather Summary)

1988 - Strong southerly winds, gusting to 53 mph at Kansas City MO, spread warm air into the central U.S. Nineteen cities reported record high temperatures for the date. Snow and strong northwest winds ushered cold arctic air into the north central states. The temperature at Cutbank plunged from 54 degrees to a morning low of 7 degrees below zero. (National Weather Summary)

1989 - The temperature at McGrath, AK, dipped to 62 degrees below zero, and Fairbanks reported a reading of 51 degrees below zero, with unofficial readings in the area as cold as 75 degrees below zero. The massive dome of bitterly cold air began to slide down western Canada toward the north central U.S. Strong southwest winds ahead of the arctic front pushed the temperature at Great Falls MT to 62 degrees, and gusted to 124 mph at Choteau MT, overturning trucks and mobile homes, and a dozen empty railroad cars. (National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1990 - A major winter storm produced heavy snow from Indiana to New England. It was the biggest storm in two and a half years for eastern New York State. Snowfall totals in the mountains of Maine ranged up to 20 inches at Guilford and Lovell. Other heavy snowfall totals included 17 inches at Utica NY, and 19 inches at Bethel VT, Ludlow VT, and New London NH. The storm claimed three lives in eastern New York State, and four lives in Vermont. (National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

2002 - One of the driest Januarys on record in Iowa was broken up by a winter storm that produced snowfall across the state from January 30-31. The snow was heaviest across southern and southeastern Iowa, where storm total accumulations ranged between 11 and 13 inches along and south of Chariton�s line through Ottumwa to Wapello and Burlington. The highest reported totals were 13.2 inches at Leon and 13.0 inches at Bloomfield and Fairfield.

2005 - A significant ice storm struck parts of northern Georgia on the 30th-31st. Ice accretion was as great as 2 inches in Monroe county, located southeast of Atlanta. Power outages in the area at the height of the storm affected nearly 320,000 homes and businesses.

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2 hours ago, Dark Star said:

Decent cold pocket of air in Quebec, the rest of Canada is rather balmy.  Alaska actually below zero in most places...

Anchorage averaging 2.6°F below normal for both December and January and snowfall has been more than twice normal.  They had a 16" snowfall this week, which is a biggy for Anchorage and current snow depth is 37".  Plus they might come close to some record lows over the next week.

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17 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said:

Anchorage averaging 2.6°F below normal for both December and January and snowfall has been more than twice normal.  They had a 16" snowfall this week, which is a biggy for Anchorage and current snow depth is 37".  Plus they might come close to some record lows over the next week.

When Alaska is cold we are warm and the reverse is true as well

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