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Dec/Jan Medium/Long Range Disco


WinterWxLuvr
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Latest weeklies with a more impressive -NAO heading into mid Jan, and not much to say about that Pac look. Just damn. Cold air won't be a problem between the EPO ridge and TPV position.
1705190400-grojgNDz428.png
 

Yea best run yet. The weeklies snow map is weenie even for weenies
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28 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

That would be a great overrunning pattern with the Nao locking confluence to our north.

It would potentially be a great pattern for confluence leading to surface HP over S Canada yes. Northerly flow, and waves tracking to our south. Nino 'Come to Papa' pattern.

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20 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Latest weeklies with a more impressive -NAO heading into mid Jan, and not much else to say about that Pac look. Just damn. Cold air won't be a problem between the EPO ridge and TPV position.

1705190400-grojgNDz428.png

 

Bye Bye to the cold air being trapped on the other side of the hemisphere. Things are starting to line up and look Ninoish. 

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A monthly ensemble snow mean is always going to skew towards the mean. That cuts both ways. Let’s throw out DCA. BWI averages 6.4”. When it shows 4-5” that’s really bad. Worse than the raw number. When it shows 8-9” that’s really good. You’re never going to see it skewed that far from the mean for a period further than 15 days out. Once a snowy period gets within shorter range then ya you will see those crazy 20” means but never from the 15-40 day mean. 

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