Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,540
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    clydes6
    Newest Member
    clydes6
    Joined

Tropical Storm Ophelia—Tropical Storm Warning for Coastal Mid-Atlantic


WxWatcher007
 Share

Recommended Posts

10 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Pretty ho hum so far. Hope we can manage another round of sustained rain this afternoon or a lot of these rainfall forecasts are in trouble.

KDOX radar and the eastern side of the KLWX radar scope seems to support heavy rain incoming in the coming hours. We'll see how it rotates in and if it sustains. 

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

26 minutes ago, Kmlwx said:

Outages around the area are definitely higher than earlier - but really nothing significant. We'll see how things fare as we get into the afternoon as the system works its way up towards us. 

The wind is getting noticeable stronger here in AA County. I live in a wooded area. It goes from calm and silent to hearing a gust coming through the forest from the SE. It's becoming more frequent and stronger. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

10 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Pretty ho hum so far. Hope we can manage another round of sustained rain this afternoon or a lot of these rainfall forecasts are in trouble.

Already over the one inch mark here, band keeps expanding overhead so hasn’t let up at all since 8am

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, dailylurker said:

The wind is getting noticeable stronger here in AA County. I live in a wooded area. It goes from calm and silent to hearing a gust coming through the forest from the SE. It's becoming more frequent and stronger. 

Will certainly be interesting to see how the wind forecasts fare. On one hand, the storm is weakening...but there is still that pressure gradient and the system will be getting closer. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Pretty ho hum so far. Hope we can manage another round of sustained rain this afternoon or a lot of these rainfall forecasts are in trouble.

I thought this break was modeled yesterday. If they’re right, should start again early afternoon, another break, then decent rains this evening and overnight. 

Wait and see I guess. But plenty to do in the meantime. :drunk:

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said:

I thought this break was modeled yesterday. If they’re right, should start again early afternoon, another break, then decent rains this evening and overnight. 

Wait and see I guess. But plenty to do in the meantime. :drunk:

     Exactly!     We're right where we are supposed to be in terms of rainfall through mid-morning.   Another round of heavier rain is clearly approaching from the southeast now, with more bands later today.    I think that the time to really watch is late tonight and early Sunday.    Remnant tropical systems often overperform big-time with rains close to the center during the night.    Several consecutive runs of the NAM Nest show this idea:

image.thumb.gif.b5d12b5c907a3bfbd2ccd878a3b8846b.gif

  • Like 11
Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, Kmlwx said:

Will certainly be interesting to see how the wind forecasts fare. On one hand, the storm is weakening...but there is still that pressure gradient and the system will be getting closer. 

Looks like a fire hose setting up to our SE, and headed our way. Seems to be a lot of convective stuff firing from Salisbury, N&E. It might get pretty wet here soon. The rain is picking up here. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

     Exactly!     We're right where we are supposed to be in terms of rainfall through mid-morning.   Another round of heavier rain is clearly approaching from the southeast now, with more bands later today.    I think that the time to really watch is late tonight and early Sunday.    Remnant tropical systems often overperform big-time with rains close to the center during the night.    Several consecutive runs of the NAM Nest show this idea:
image.thumb.gif.b5d12b5c907a3bfbd2ccd878a3b8846b.gif

I could see this being an overperformer, if anything. It’s a weakening system, but it’s not often we have a tropical system moving straight off the Atlantic and up 95 lol. Satellite looks phenomenal: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G16&sector=ne&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12
  • Like 2
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

50 minutes ago, Kmlwx said:

KDOX radar and the eastern side of the KLWX radar scope seems to support heavy rain incoming in the coming hours. We'll see how it rotates in and if it sustains. 

 

38 minutes ago, high risk said:

     Exactly!     We're right where we are supposed to be in terms of rainfall through mid-morning.   Another round of heavier rain is clearly approaching from the southeast now, with more bands later today.    I think that the time to really watch is late tonight and early Sunday.    Remnant tropical systems often overperform big-time with rains close to the center during the night.    Several consecutive runs of the NAM Nest show this idea:

image.thumb.gif.b5d12b5c907a3bfbd2ccd878a3b8846b.gif

But we don’t have 2” of rain yet, so you’re supposed to meh this thing.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...