Hurricane Lee--Glorified Nor'Easter or Legit Tropical? Near Miss or Direct Hit?

[DavisStraight]

Just now, Chrisrotary12 said:

I have mine in Bedford, MA. Hoping its howling.

Don't like golfing with wind, messes up my club selection, unless it's to my back then I can really drive the ball 

[GaWx]

 

EPS prior two runs: The very active 0Z EPS still had only 4 (8%) of members hit the NE US outside of ME. The 6Z EPS had ~11 (22%)! That was by far the highest % with US landfalls outside of ME for any EPS.

 12Z EPS: is back down to ~5 MA landfalls. ME still has a bunch though I think they decreased some. So, the new EPS is still quite active in regard to NE US landfalls but the mean track did shift a bit E vs the 6Z.

[Go Kart Mozart]

What the hell is euro doing at day 10?

[MJO812]

Just now, Go Kart Mozart said:

What the hell is euro doing at day 10?

Just trended way west to the gfs

[Rtd208]

 

[Hoth]

35 minutes ago, DavisStraight said:

Don't like golfing with wind, messes up my club selection, unless it's to my back then I can really drive the ball 

As they say in Scotland, nay wind, nay golf. 

[FXWX]

1 hour ago, CT Rain said:

May have to watch the mixing on the back side of the storm. With a decent pressure gradient if we're able to keep the sun we could see some fairly good northwesterly gusts even inland. 

Even the GFS has ~40 knots at the top of the mixed layer back here.

Agree.... For us in CT I'd treat this like mod/strong cold season nor'easter event.  Profiles show a decent mixing potential... nothing crazy but some decent gusts...  even for the Cape they experience at least a couple systems a year with comparable winds... 

[ineedsnow]

another big shift west on the Icon 

[Sn0waddict]

Already getting some big time surf out on block island. Should be a fun week ahead.

[Torch Tiger]

10 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

another big shift west on the Icon 

Did it?  it's still 200? miles east of Cape Cod 

[Damage In Tolland]

2 hours ago, CT Rain said:

May have to watch the mixing on the back side of the storm. With a decent pressure gradient if we're able to keep the sun we could see some fairly good northwesterly gusts even inland. 

Even the GFS has ~40 knots at the top of the mixed layer back here.

Yup. Gusts to or over 55 interior. Tried to tell 

[Damage In Tolland]

There was a very similar setup in the 2000-2004 period . I don’t remember the exact year or cane. But we lived on n our first house here after getting married and there many 55-65 mph gusts and damage. Very similar setup . The caveat this year is how wet ground is. Lots of uproots 

[Diggiebot]

12 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

Did it?  it's still 200? miles east of Cape Cod 

Keep those goal posts moving left! 

[Damage In Tolland]

When there’s HWW for all of SNE on Saturday. It will be fun to bump stuff 

[CoastalWx]

Gfs still east. 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

When there’s HWW for all of SNE on Saturday. It will be fun to bump stuff 

No need for HWW

[ineedsnow]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Gfs still east. 

would it be worth going to eastport for this?

[Torch Tiger]

Hopefully a nice dry weekend, hope the storm trends more east!

[Damage In Tolland]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

No need for HWW

With 50-60 gusts there sure is. Sit back and watch . Huge pressure gradient. We’ve seen these before. Envision a bunch of WTF posts on Saturday from folks about not expecting strong winds until too late 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

With 50-60 gusts there sure is. Sit back and watch . Huge pressure gradient. We’ve seen these before. Envision a bunch of WTF posts on Saturday from folks about not expecting strong winds until too late 

Oh you’re going to Maine?

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

would it be worth going to eastport for this?

Take your family on vacation. Lol

Eastport might get a good blow.

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

We’ve seen these before.

Yup

[Ginx snewx]

GFS did jog left in the GOM, earlier jog equal Euro.  Eyes 

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

GFS did jog left in the GOM, earlier jog equal Euro.  Eyes 

It’s kissing NS. Euro can eat it.

[ineedsnow]

5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Take your family on vacation. Lol

Eastport might get a good blow.

was going to visit my brother down there to but he got covid.. changed to october now lol

[powderfreak]

26 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

There was a very similar setup in the 2000-2004 period . I don’t remember the exact year or cane. But we lived on n our first house here after getting married and there many 55-65 mph gusts and damage. Very similar setup . The caveat this year is how wet ground is. Lots of uproots 

What tropical event hit SNE with 55-65mph wind in the early 2000s?

[Sn0waddict]

NS it is.  Regarding the Euro it’s been so incredibly inconsistent with this.  Not sure how anyone can hang their hat on it at this point. 

 

[Damage In Tolland]

18 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Oh you’re going to Maine?

You’ll gust less than inland 

[dryslot]

12 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said:

NS it is.  Regarding the Euro it’s been so incredibly inconsistent with this.  Not sure how anyone can hang their hat on it at this point. 

 

Lot of those tracks came west a tic or two from the 12z run.

[CoastalWx]

4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

You’ll gust less than inland 

Beer?