MJO812 Posted September 19, 2023 Share Posted September 19, 2023 14 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: A jacket at 60?! I thought you liked cool weather? Low of 54 here. I like hoodie weather 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted September 19, 2023 Share Posted September 19, 2023 16 minutes ago, MJO812 said: 60 here Wearing pants and jacket this morning Thank heavens, Anthony. There’s enough craziness going on in the city right now. Stay well and dressed, as always. …. 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted September 19, 2023 Share Posted September 19, 2023 6 minutes ago, MJO812 said: I like hoodie weather It's not here yet, high of 72 forecast here, 75 there, and plenty of sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 19, 2023 Share Posted September 19, 2023 1 hour ago, bluewave said: The 0z guidance is 3 to 1 in favor of a wet tropical moisture weekend. The Euro, CMC, and UKMET are wet. While the GFS took its turn as a drier model. The CMC will pull off a big win if we get a decent shot of moisture since it has been the most steady model from run to run showing this. https://moe.met.fsu.edu/cyclonephase/cmc/fcst/archive/23091900/99.html Yup. Gfs on its own again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 19, 2023 Share Posted September 19, 2023 11 hours ago, psv88 said: Can’t be worse than last winter, so we have that going for us If all the past analogs of 5” or less snowfall seasons for NYC work out, then NYC should at least double the 2.3” from last season. 22-23…..2.3 23-24……? 19-20….4.8 20-21….38.6 01-02….3.5 02-03...49.3 97-98…5.5 98-99…12.7 72-72…2.8 73-74….23.5 31-32…5.3 32-33…27.0 18-19….3.8 19-20…47.6 00-01…5.2 01-02…25.4 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 19, 2023 Share Posted September 19, 2023 63/55 and bright sunshine. Sunset is 6:59 for most the area for those who like the waning daylight. Noe stretch of weather the next 96 hours , mid / upper 70s and onshore flow keeping mins up a bit especially once to Thu/ Fri (9/22). 9/23 - 9/26 southerly flow and deep moisture feed keeps it humid, warm and potentially very wet. Atlantic ridge acts as a block to keep the east in flow and any low that develops will aid in more rain. Beyond there a bit of a stalled out strung out upper flow with cut off and stagnant flow should keep it overall warm/wet into Oct. Enjoy the sunshine these next days as it may be very cloudy and west the next week starting Saturday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 19, 2023 Share Posted September 19, 2023 Records: Highs: EWR: 93 (1983) NYC: 94 (1983) - Park warmer than Newark and LGA LGA: 92 (1983) Lows: EWR: 44 (1959) NYC:44 (1929) LGA: 49 (1959) Historical: 1947 - The eye of a hurricane passed directly over New Orleans, and the barometric pressure dipped to 28.61 inches. The hurricane killed fifty-one persons, and caused 110 million dollars damage. It produced wind gusts to 155 mph while making landfall over Fort Lauderdale FL two days earlier. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1947: A hurricane made landfall near the Chandeleur Islands, LA on this day. Wind gusts of 112 mph and a central pressure of 967 mb were measured at Moisant International Airport. A storm surge of 9.8 feet reached Shell Beach, Lake Borgne. Moisant Airport field was flooded by two ft. of water while Jefferson Parish was flooded to depths of 3.28 ft. New Orleans suffered $100 million in damages. Total loss of life was 51 people. As a result of this storm, hurricane protection levees were built along the south shore of Lake Pontchartrain to protect Orleans and Jefferson Parishes from future storm surges. Moisant Airport flooded after the September 19th, 1947 hurricane. The image is courtesy of the US Army Corps of Engineers. 1967 - Hurricane Beulah deluged Brownsville, TX, with 12.19 inches of rain in 24 hours, to establish a record for that location. Hurricane Beulah made landfall on the 20th near the mouth of the Rio Grande River, where a wind gust to 135 mph was reported by a ship in the port. (19th-20th) (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Cool autumn-like weather invaded the Central Rockies. Temperatures dipped into the 30s and 40s, with readings in the teens and 20s reported in the higher elevations. Gunnison CO was the cold spot in the nation with a morning low of 15 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Thunderstorms developing along a fast moving cold front produced severe weather in Wisconsin, Illinois, Indiana and Michigan. Eight tornadoes were reported, including five in Indiana. Thunderstorm winds gusted to 74 mph at Wabash IND. Winds associated with the cold front itself gusted to 69 mph at Kenosha WI. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Showers and thunderstorms produced heavy rain in the Middle and Northern Atlantic Coast Region. Cape Hatteras NC was deluged with nearly 3.50 inches of rain in three hours. Syracuse NY reported 1.77 inches of rain, a record for the date, and Chatham NJ reported an all-time record of 3.45 inches in one day. Hurricane Hugo headed for the Bahamas, and Tropical Storm Iris, following close on its heels, strengthened to near hurricane force. (The National Weather Summary) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted September 19, 2023 Share Posted September 19, 2023 1 hour ago, IrishRob17 said: It's not here yet, high of 72 forecast here, 75 there, and plenty of sun. i have seen many people wearing hoodies for the last few days now it is hoodie season!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted September 19, 2023 Share Posted September 19, 2023 2 hours ago, Allsnow said: Yup. Gfs on its own again I stan gfs for the weekend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted September 19, 2023 Share Posted September 19, 2023 27 minutes ago, nycwinter said: i have seen many people wearing hoodies for the last few days now it is hoodie season!! If they told you that wolverines would make good house pets would you believe them? Up to 64 under brilliant sunshine. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 19, 2023 Author Share Posted September 19, 2023 24 minutes ago, winterwarlock said: I stan gfs for the weekend Gfs all alone south and east of the other models? What could go wrong 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 19, 2023 Share Posted September 19, 2023 34 minutes ago, winterwarlock said: I stan gfs for the weekend This wet pattern just doesn’t want to stop 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted September 19, 2023 Share Posted September 19, 2023 Today through thursday is just about the best 3 day stretch of the year. Sunny, mid 70s and very low humidity. As perfect as it gets. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted September 19, 2023 Share Posted September 19, 2023 Definitely jacket weather right now. Was freezing walking the dog 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted September 19, 2023 Share Posted September 19, 2023 7 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: Today through thursday is just about the best 3 day stretch of the year. Sunny, mid 70s and very low humidity. As perfect as it gets. this is your 7th consecutive day posting about humidity 3 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted September 19, 2023 Share Posted September 19, 2023 14 minutes ago, forkyfork said: this is your 7th consecutive day posting about humidity the last day you posted on the wx side without mentioning humidity was august 25th 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 19, 2023 Share Posted September 19, 2023 19 weenies in 2 posts that's impressive 2 6 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 19, 2023 Author Share Posted September 19, 2023 Gfs coming back west 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted September 19, 2023 Share Posted September 19, 2023 CMC still showing a big soaker for saturday on the 12z run. Rain gets going mid morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted September 19, 2023 Share Posted September 19, 2023 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 19, 2023 Share Posted September 19, 2023 12z GFS has a major storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 19, 2023 Author Share Posted September 19, 2023 4 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: CMC still showing a big soaker for saturday on the 12z run. Rain gets going mid morning. Yeah still has an area of 6+ somewhere in the delmarva Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 19, 2023 Share Posted September 19, 2023 5 minutes ago, David-LI said: And with more to come. Still raining on Sunday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 19, 2023 Share Posted September 19, 2023 What a storm on the GFS. Doesn't wrap up until late afternoon on Sunday. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 19, 2023 Share Posted September 19, 2023 If some of this can mix down in convection we could see tropical storm force winds, especially at the coast. Soundings don't show an inversion. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted September 19, 2023 Share Posted September 19, 2023 9 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Yeah still has an area of 6+ somewhere in the delmarva And the CMC gets 4 inches of rain to our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 19, 2023 Author Share Posted September 19, 2023 6 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: And the CMC gets 4 inches of rain to our area. Yeah like the euro it keeps going thru Wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 19, 2023 Author Share Posted September 19, 2023 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 19, 2023 Share Posted September 19, 2023 UKMET is more of a scraper... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 19, 2023 Author Share Posted September 19, 2023 7 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: UKMET is more of a scraper... I'm wondering if it's still raining at that point. Low pressure is still over southern MD Monday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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