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September 2023


Stormlover74
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I’m convinced this upcoming heatwave is just Jimmy Buffet giving us all one last week of summer to remember that it is always 5 o’clock somewhere. Sad news for someone who even when things are dark any gloomy could make you feel like you were in the tropics with a boat drink. We can have our apple ciders and pumpkin spice lattes when the cool weather returns. 

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Don't be shocked if NYC does not have a heatwave at all. The problem being an extremely backdoor front which would affect coastal areas as far west as NYC itself from NYC to Maine. The coastal b-door front would move from the northeast Monday night. So maybe we would hit 90 on Sunday or Monday but more likely high temperatures at Central Park are around 88 or 89. And Tuesday we could be dealing with onshore winds almost all day. Now I'm not sure if this scenario will come true but it can be seen on the regular NAM and NAM 3KM and it would be consistent with the history of our potential heat for the last 6 weeks.

WX/PT

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The next 8 days are averaging   83degs.(74/93) or +11.

Reached  74 here at 6pm yesterday.

Today:   86-90, wind w., few clouds, 73 tomorrow AM.

67*(87%RH) here at 7am.      70* at 9am.      77* at Noon.     81* at 2pm.    84* at 3pm.      87* at 3:30pm.      88* at 4pm.    89* at 4:15am.     90* at 4:30pm(H.I.=94).    91* at 5:15pm(H.I.=96).

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5 hours ago, SnoSki14 said:

Oddly enough ensembles hint at eastern troughing around then and beyond once the heat breaks and ridging shifts west. 

Yeah some people thought the whole first half of September was gonna be hot, but now it appears that won't be the case. We cool off next weekend and it looks as if we'll being going back to high temps in the 70s during the 2nd week of the month. Still going to be an impressive hot stretch today through friday though. 

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73 / 63.  Today is noticeably more humid but not too much.  Start our heat stretch and overall much above normal Sun (9/3) - Fri (9/8). Overall warm to hot,  near or mid 90s pending on the area.  Coast in some N/NE flow so inland areas get the roast.  850 MB temps >16c peaking near 19C-20C  Wed PM / Thu (9/7).  Front comes in later Thu / Fri with more humid flow so dews back in the upper 60s perhaps 70s with next rain and showers chance.  Cooler by Sun (9/10) and into the 9/11 week.  Cool blow to the northeast 9/12-9/13 but doesn't penetrate too south.  By mid month in the way beyond - overall warm.

Tropics remain somewhat activ but most are atlantic storms of now. 

GOES16-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif

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24 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Yeah some people thought the whole first half of September was gonna be hot, but now it appears that won't be the case. We cool off next weekend and it looks as if we'll being going back to high temps in the 70s during the 2nd week of the month. Still going to be an impressive hot stretch today through friday though. 

 Yeah seems like by mid month could be warmer immediate coast with trough more into GL/NE.  Coolest air of the season into SE Canada / ME next week but not penetrating south on latest longer range.

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Records:

 

Highs:

10 hours ago, Wxoutlooksblog said:

Don't be shocked if NYC does not have a heatwave at all. The problem being an extremely backdoor front which would affect coastal areas as far west as NYC itself from NYC to Maine. The coastal b-door front would move from the northeast Monday night. So maybe we would hit 90 on Sunday or Monday but more likely high temperatures at Central Park are around 88 or 89. And Tuesday we could be dealing with onshore winds almost all day. Now I'm not sure if this scenario will come true but it can be seen on the regular NAM and NAM 3KM and it would be consistent with the history of our potential heat for the last 6 weeks.

WX/PT

 

Certainly for the park, but even coastal areas (LGA, JFK etc) will have a N/NNE flow later MOn / Tue.  Wed / Thu (pending on clouds arrival) have the hottest potential.

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Records:

 

High:

 

EWR: 100 (1993) - long hot summer marched on
NYC: 99 (1929)
LGA: 95 (1993)


Lows:

 

EWR: 51 (1967)
NYC: 50 (1893)
LGA: 54 (1967)

Historical:

 

1821 - A hurricane made landfall at Long Island, near Kennedy Airport, then moved through western Connecticut. The hurricane produced a record tide at New York City. (David Ludlum)

 

1821: Known as the 1821 Norfolk Long Island Hurricane, this storm ripped up the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast coast September 3 and 4 – coinciding with Labor Day (before the holiday was established).  

 

1834: A strong hurricane made landfall near Georgetown, South Carolina. 

 

1930: A Category 4 hurricane devastates the Dominican Republic on this day. This storm killed more than 8,000 individuals, which is it the fifth deadliest Atlantic hurricane on record. 

1953 - The temperature at Erie PA reached 99 degrees, and Stroudsburg PA established a state record for September with a reading of 106 degrees. (The Weather Channel)

1961 - Denver, CO, received 4.2 inches of snow, their earliest snow of record. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987)

1970 - During the early evening hours, in the midst of a severe hailstorm at Coffeyville KS, a stone 17.5 inches in circumference and nearly two pounds in weight was recovered. It was the largest measured hailstone in U.S. weather records. Average stone size from the storm was five inches in diameter, with another stone reportedly eight inches in diameter. (David Ludlum)

 

1979: Hurricane David made landfall in south Florida as a Category 2 storm. It caused 15 deaths in the US. Hurricane David was a Category 5 over the Dominican Republic were over 2,000 people died. 

1987 - Temperatures dipped into the 40s and 50s for morning lows across much of the eastern half of the country, with eleven cities reporting record lows for the date. Pellston MI tied Gunnison CO for honors as the cold spot in the nation with a low of 30 degrees. Smoke from forest fires darkened skies in southern Oregon and northern California. (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - Sixteen cities in the northwestern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. Highs of 89 degrees at Stampede Pass WA and 116 degrees at Redding CA established records for the month of September. Readings of 98 degrees at Spokane WA and 100 degrees at Yakima WA equalled records for September. (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Thunderstorms developing ahead of a cold front produced severe weather from Minnesota to Nebraska during the day and evening. Evening thunderstorms in Nebraska produced wind gusts to 100 mph at Valentine and Gretna, and produced baseball size hail at Lewellen. Thunderstorms in Arizona produced 2.20 inches of rain in forty minutes at Green Valley, and wind gusts to 60 mph. Eight cities in Texas and Florida reported record high temperatures for the date, including Victoria TX and San Antonio TX, each with a reading of 102 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

 

T

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If Philly can hit 100°, then Newark most certainly will. Record heat building into Philly usually makes it up to Newark. So there should be at least one day with favorable winds and highs from 97° to around 100°. Same goes for big Philly snowstorms making it to around Newark with the rare exception of 2-6-10. But we won’t have a 5 SD block this week like back then.;)

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17 minutes ago, bluewave said:

If Philly can hit 100°, then Newark most certainly will. Record heat building into Philly usually makes it up to Newark. So there should be at least one day with favorable winds and highs from 97° to around 100°. Same goes for big Philly snowstorms making it to around Newark with the rare exception of 2-6-10. But we won’t have a 5 SD block this week like back then.;)

hottest sept week in history?

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