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july 9th widespread flooding event


forkyfork
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7 minutes ago, Tatamy said:

As the trough axis moves east there will definitely be a pick up in the activity in NJ, SE NY, and in close to the city.

The activity also started pretty early in the day so it was obviously NW areas would get it first. I don't think the HPC would have most areas in a moderate risk for excessive rainfall (including portions of the NYC metro) if the activity wasn't expected to move further east with time. 

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3 minutes ago, Rtd208 said:

The activity also started pretty early in the day so it was obviously NW areas would get it first. I don't think the HPC would have most areas in a moderate risk for excessive rainfall (including portions of the NYC metro) if the activity wasn't expected to move further east with time. 

if you read the latest meso discussion that's exactly what they describe happening

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Not quite a perfect beach day but it definitely feels juiced out here at the Point Beach and water temps feel 10 degrees warmer than a week ago.   Inland is gonna be in for a rough go of it.  It's a bit out of area but the Blue Route corridor in Philly burbs is taking one on the chin today.  4-5 inches already and training.  

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33 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Still nothing south of the city to train its way up…perhaps closer to this evening that happens. Northwest jersey getting crushed 

18z run of HRRR has us right on the edge. It falls apart quickly as it hits eastern NJ. It's far from a lock that we're going to see heavy rain tonight. We might but who knows at this point. Close call. 

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Just now, winterwx21 said:

18z run of HRRR has us right on the edge. It falls apart quickly as it hits eastern NJ. It's far from a lock that we're going to see heavy rain. We might but who knows at this point. Close call. 

Crazy to see what’s going on in nw jersey with barely a drop here. Models did very well in forecasting most of the activity over the same general area days ago. Very persistent wet pattern with some activity hitting eastern areas every now and then 

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