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July 2023


Stormlover74
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Anyone remember or know what the heat indexes were around here during the great heat burst during the summer of 1995?  This was the year 700+ people died in Chicago as HI rose to near 130 and in some cases even higher for several days.  DP's reached the m/u 80's with ambient temps of near or over 100.  To my memory that is the worst heat I have ever felt here in NJ.  I remember it was over a weekend around here and the air was beyond stifling.  Not a puff of air.  I don't think I can ever remember it feeling so uncomfortable.  Have no recollection of what the heat index readings were around here but my guess would be 108-112?  I'm fairly certain temperatures were in the upper 90's to just over 100.  Anyone else remember? 

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Just now, MANDA said:

Anyone remember or know what the heat indexes were around here during the great heat burst during the summer of 1995?  This was the year 700+ people died in Chicago as HI rose to near 130 and in some cases even higher for several days.  DP's reached the m/u 80's with ambient temps of near or over 100.  To my memory that is the worst heat I have ever felt here in NJ.  I remember it was over a weekend around here and the air was beyond stifling.  Not a puff of air.  I don't think I can ever remember it feeling so uncomfortable.  Have no recollection of what the heat index readings were around here but my guess would be 108-112?  I'm fairly certain temperatures were in the upper 90's to just over 100.  Anyone else remember? 

Yep I had my U of Miami get together that weekend for incoming fall students in the NY area, was 101 on the car temp driving back on LI.

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12 minutes ago, MANDA said:

Anyone remember or know what the heat indexes were around here during the great heat burst during the summer of 1995?  This was the year 700+ people died in Chicago as HI rose to near 130 and in some cases even higher for several days.  DP's reached the m/u 80's with ambient temps of near or over 100.  To my memory that is the worst heat I have ever felt here in NJ.  I remember it was over a weekend around here and the air was beyond stifling.  Not a puff of air.  I don't think I can ever remember it feeling so uncomfortable.  Have no recollection of what the heat index readings were around here but my guess would be 108-112?  I'm fairly certain temperatures were in the upper 90's to just over 100.  Anyone else remember? 

It was 129 at one point briefly at ewr. 99 with an 84 dewpoint

Screenshot_20230726_144039_Chrome.jpg

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13 minutes ago, MANDA said:

Anyone remember or know what the heat indexes were around here during the great heat burst during the summer of 1995?  This was the year 700+ people died in Chicago as HI rose to near 130 and in some cases even higher for several days.  DP's reached the m/u 80's with ambient temps of near or over 100.  To my memory that is the worst heat I have ever felt here in NJ.  I remember it was over a weekend around here and the air was beyond stifling.  Not a puff of air.  I don't think I can ever remember it feeling so uncomfortable.  Have no recollection of what the heat index readings were around here but my guess would be 108-112?  I'm fairly certain temperatures were in the upper 90's to just over 100.  Anyone else remember? 

My wedding anniversary is 07/15/1995. I remember all too well! 103, with HI of around 120+.
 

No AC in the church! We basically said “I do”, and went to the reception. 
 

best heat lightning I’ve ever seen. That’s what she said…

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Tomorrow will feature oppressive dew points in the mid 70's with slightly lower DPs along the I95 corridor where mixing and temperatures are expected to be their greatest. Strong onshore flow and breezy conditions tomorrow will keep most of Long Island below 90 at the expense of higher humidity. Some storms will fire to the NW and will make their way east in the afternoon

hrdps-nyc-t2m_f-0484400.thumb.png.dad07f273012af2c3f1f18685685dd20.png

nam-nest-nyc-dew2m_f-0491600.thumb.png.bd13053f71726d8e66e46ef859254ac3.png

Breezy conditions tomorrow will make the heat slightly more bearable.

nam-nest-nyc-wnd10m_stream_mph-0484400.thumb.png.cb474ba7c58e5d1a906f65d2ed1216ac.png

 

 

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8 minutes ago, lee59 said:

89 my high, now 86 with sea breeze. I am at 5 high reading of 90 or higher for the year, expect to be at 8 come Saturday.

Today is number 9 for the year. 

This July so far has an average temp of 77.2, slightly behind 2019, 2020, 2022. However, by Saturday I expect this July to be the warmest since i started keeping records at my location in 2015.

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2 minutes ago, TWCCraig said:

Tomorrow will feature oppressive dew points in the mid 70's with slightly lower DPs along the I95 corridor where mixing and temperatures are expected to be their greatest. Strong onshore flow and breezy conditions tomorrow will keep most of Long Island below 90 at the expense of higher humidity. Some storms will fire to the NW

hrdps-nyc-t2m_f-0484400.thumb.png.dad07f273012af2c3f1f18685685dd20.png

nam-nest-nyc-dew2m_f-0491600.thumb.png.bd13053f71726d8e66e46ef859254ac3.png

Breezy conditions tomorrow will make the heat slightly more bearable.

nam-nest-nyc-wnd10m_stream_mph-0484400.thumb.png.cb474ba7c58e5d1a906f65d2ed1216ac.png

 

 

Upton has me at 96 tomorrow and Friday. North shore will roast with the SW flow.

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10 minutes ago, TWCCraig said:

The GEM-LAM spitting out 85 for FOK and 95 for LGA says it all. N&W parts of LI will be an absolute inferno tomorrow, at least it'll be breezy

Looks like an Ambrose jet event. It will be a full on sand storm at the beach in the afternoon/evening. Throw in crowds this week and and lots of rescues at the beach 

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10 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Looks like an Ambrose jet event. It will be a full on sand storm at the beach in the afternoon/evening. Throw in crowds this week and and lots of rescues at the beach 

Saturday might be the hottest day for the south shore when winds go westerly in the afternoon, as long as clouds and storms hold off.

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4 minutes ago, TWCCraig said:

Saturday might be the hottest day for the south shore when winds go westerly in the afternoon, as long as clouds and storms hold off.

Nothing worse than a W/NW wind at the beach. Roasting like on a desert. Absolutely brutal. It's why i hate north shore beaches, usually you get the offshore (southerly) flow and just roast.

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34 minutes ago, lee59 said:

89 my high, now 86 with sea breeze. I am at 5 high reading of 90 or higher for the year, expect to be at 8 come Saturday.

Muttontown is 6 90+ to date & Syosset is 2.  3 of those days were 89.5 to 89.9 in Muttontown.  87.3 in Muttontown & 87.2 in Syosset for today.

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58 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Today is number 9 for the year. 

This July so far has an average temp of 77.2, slightly behind 2019, 2020, 2022. However, by Saturday I expect this July to be the warmest since i started keeping records at my location in 2015.

I have had only 5 and one was actually 89.8 but I counted it as 90. I have also had numerous days of 88-89.5.

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5 minutes ago, lee59 said:

I have had only 5 and one was actually 89.8 but I counted it as 90. I have also had numerous days of 88-89.5.

2 of mine were 89.5 to 90. 

My area of commack is in a relative valley on all sides, its a sort of depression and the surrounding hills are 200 feet or so higher. It is also pretty built up compared to other areas around, so I believe that's why i run warm in summer. The neighboring PWS support this microclimate. A few miles to my west is a large hill around 300 feet which then gradually slopes down into my more developed area. To my south is Dix Hills, which also has hills in the 250-350 foot range. So there is some downsloping on W/SW winds here

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A little late in the month for the warmest day based on previous years.

https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/plotting/auto/?_wait=no&q=65&network=NJCLIMATE&station=NJ6026&month=7&dir=hot&_r=t&dpi=100&_fmt=png
 

09163E23-3B12-4375-84ED-6AF8B5E3AF2E.thumb.png.d72311b14b0f8c54f9590f80e63aaf98.png
 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Ending Date
Highest Max Temperature Jul 27 to Jul 31
Missing Count
2022-07-31 92 0
2021-07-31 94 0
2020-07-31 96 0
2019-07-31 95 0
2018-07-31 89 0
2017-07-31 91 0
2016-07-31 93 0
2015-07-31 96 0
2014-07-31 90 0
2013-07-31 87 0
2012-07-31 90 0
2011-07-31 95 0
2010-07-31 93 0
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A heatwave is developing in parts of the northern Mid-Atlantic region. Readings will likely climb into the middle and perhaps upper 90s during the height of the heat. The humidity will add to the discomfort with heat indices reaching or exceeding 105° tomorrow and Friday. The heatwave will not be a prolonged affair. Following a frontal passage on Saturday or Saturday night, Sunday will turn noticeably cooler and less humid.

An extreme heat event continues to grip the Southwest. Phoenix reached a daily record 118°. El Paso and Tucson recorded their 41st consecutive 100° days. The intense heat will slowly fade over the coming days with the extreme heat ending this weekend. As has often occurred in areas witnessing prolonged sieges of heat in recent years, there are some hints that the heat could rebuild next week.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.5°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.1°C for the week centered around July 19. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.12°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.00°C. El Niño conditions have developed and will likely continue to strengthen through at least the summer. The probability of an East-based El Niño event has increased.

The SOI was -37.30 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.064 today.

On July 24 the MJO was in Phase 7 at an amplitude of 0.225 (RMM). The July 23-adjusted amplitude was 0.245 (RMM).

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 97% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 79.4° (1.9° above normal).

 

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