June 2023

[JustinRP37]

I’m really hoping for a complete pattern change soon. This dreary pattern is getting to me. I wish we could send the storms to Canada where they really need the rain.

[nycwinter]

i like days like this with filtered sunshine because of the smoke it does not feel so bad considering this time of year..

[SACRUS]

75/ 66 P cloudy and smoke haze (smaze).  Dry and warm today and we continue a reprieve from the tropics.  July opens not too bad warm / humid and scattered late storms before a stormier Sun (7/2) and Mon (7/3).  When and where the sun is out it will warm or heat quickly with 850 temps >18c throughout the area.  Southerly flow and heat spell some strong soakers late Sun and Mon especially.   Storms and low pressure moving out by Fourth of July.  Warm and drier 7/5 - 7/8 as it looks now with next shot at 90s with hot edge of the TX/OK , Southern Plain heat into the areas >16c.  

 

Beyond : overall warm and humid and the western Atlantic ridge looming by and expanding west spells a longer warmer stretch.

 

[SACRUS]

3 hours ago, SnoSki14 said:

Looks like a low grade heat wave elsewhere. Mostly 90-92 type stuff though very borderline for now. 

Not seeing a big heat surge for July yet

wont take much with the furnace nearby.  Park is a jungle it will take 95-100 degree heat elsewhere to get the park to 90 (bad reference point in summer)

[jm1220]

Definitely a hazy look today and AQIs are in the 150s-160s. We smoke. 

[psv88]

53 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Definitely a hazy look today and AQIs are in the 150s-160s. We smoke. 

So sick of it!

[donsutherland1]

Wildfire smoke in the New York area.

 

[SACRUS]

Records:

 

Highs:

EWR: 103 (2021) searing heat just 2 years ago
NYC: 99 (1964)
LGA: 100 (2021)

Lows:

 

EWR: 55 (1940)
NYC: 53 (1919)
LGA: 57 (1996)

 

Historical: 

 

1886 - The second destructive hurricane in nine days hit the Apalachicola-Tallahassee area. (David Ludlum)

 

1900: The combination of high winds and the presence of wooded fuel-filled cargo helped to spread fire on the Hoboken Docks in New Jersey. The fire began when cotton bales caught fire and spread to nearby volatile liquids. The fire killed at least 300 people and was seen in New York City.

1942 - The temperature at Portland, OR, hit 102 degrees, an all-time record for that location. (The Weather Channel)

1972 - The entire state of Pennsylvania was declared a disaster area as a result of the catastrophic flooding caused by Hurricane Agnes, which claimed 48 lives, and caused 2.1 billion dollars damage. (The Weather Channel)

1987 - Hot weather prevailed in the Pacific Northwest, with readings above 100 degrees reported as far north as southern British Columbia. Yakima, WA, reported a record high of 100 degrees, while temperatures near the Washington coast hovered near 60 degrees all day. Thunderstorms prevailed from southwest Texas to New England. Thunderstorm winds gusting to 100 mph at Gettysburg, PA, killed one person. High winds and large hail caused more than five million dollars damage to property and crops in Lancaster County, PA. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Thunderstorms in eastern Kansas drenched Worden with 12.21 inches of rain, and a wall of water two to four feet deep swept through Lone Star, KS, flooding every home in the town. Up to ten inches of rain was reported southeast of Callaway, NE. Thunderstorm winds gusted to 75 mph at Winfield, KS. Seventeen cities in the north central and northeastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date, including Duluth, MN, with a reading of 36 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Winnfield, LA, reported 22.52 inches of rain in three days, and more than thirty inches for the month, a record for June. Shreveport LA received a record 17.11 inches in June, with a total for the first six months of the year of 45.55 inches. Thunderstorms also helped produce record rainfall totals for the month of June of 13.12 inches at Birmingham AL, 14.66 inches at Oklahoma City, OK, 17.41 inches at Tallahassee FL, 9.97 inches at Lynchburg, VA, and more than 10.25 inches at Pittsburgh, PA. Pittsburgh had also experienced a record wet month of May. (The National Weather Summary)

 

1999: Mount Baker, Washington closed out a record snowfall season both for the United States and the verifiable world record as the seasonal total from July 1, 1998, to June 30, 1999, finished with 1,140 inches.

[BucksCO_PA]

Looking at Philadelphia quite a stark contrast to the recent trends at this point in the year.

• At PHL this will be the coolest June since 1985, depending on the high today will finish at 70.6 or 70.7 degrees.

• PHL has yet to record a 70 degree minimum at this point in the year. Over the entire 150yr POR the average date of the 1st 70 degree minimum is 6/10. Since 2000 that average date moves forward considerably to 5/30. It's a top 10 latest date on record at this point & likely the latest since 1983.

• It also appears likely that PHL will finish June with only (1) 90 degree day this year. Regardless if for some reason today hits 90 that will still represent the fewest 90 degree days at this point in the year since 1982. Below are a listing of the 27 years with 0-2 90 degree days thru June.

• The record low max of 66 degrees on 6/21 was the 1st June record low of any kind at PHL since the record low max of 67 degrees on 6/21/1999. 

[gravitylover]

4 hours ago, JustinRP37 said:

I’m really hoping for a complete pattern change soon. This dreary pattern is getting to me. I wish we could send the storms to Canada where they really need the rain.

I dunno, I think I like it more than 92 and humid with the AC running constantly. NYSEG certainly doesn't need the money.

 

[JustinRP37]

7 minutes ago, gravitylover said:

I dunno, I think I like it more than 92 and humid with the AC running constantly. NYSEG certainly doesn't need the money.

 

I mean I wouldn't mind 70s and smoke free. Right now it seems our options are comfortable but dangerous smoke or humid and rainy. I'll take the humid and rainy over the smoke filled skies. My son's camp cancelled outdoor activities today because of the smoke. 

[forkyfork]

noticing a stronger WAR trend on the models these past few days. this pattern certainly doesn't look like what we had most of june to me

[STORMANLI]

0.21" in Seabreeze shower

[NorthShoreWx]

50 minutes ago, STORMANLI said:

0.21" in Seabreeze shower

That came and went very fast.  Not a drop here, but my wife and son were in Commack and said it poured on them.  Looks like it was the only shower in hundreds of miles.

[Rtd208]

Pretty warm day out there but once again more sub 90 temps.

Hight for the day was 87 here.

Current temp 86/DP 66/RH 53%

Dewpoint slowly increasing

[Stormlover74]

5 minutes ago, Rmine1 said:

Guess NWS has gone woke. No mention of Independence Day in their forecast.

I see it on mine

INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly sunny. A chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 80s. Chance of rain 30 percent

[uofmiami]

43 minutes ago, Rmine1 said:

Guess NWS has gone woke. No mention of Independence Day in their forecast.

Point & Click doesn't show it but when you go to the zone forecasts it does show it.

[SnoSki14]

3 hours ago, forkyfork said:

noticing a stronger WAR trend on the models these past few days. this pattern certainly doesn't look like what we had most of june to me

Euro is more pessimistic but it still doesn't look as bad as June 

[donsutherland1]

Wildfire smoke in New York City this afternoon. The AQI remained in the 160s throughout the afternoon.

[donsutherland1]

June finished with a mean temperature of 70.0° in New York City. That was 2.0° below normal.

Temperatures will gradually warm toward seasonal levels during the first week of July.

Afterward, near to somewhat above normal readings will likely prevail through mid-month. The Desert Southwest will likely see its hottest temperatures so far this year during the weekend into early next week. As has been the case throughout June, extreme heat appears unlikely in the northern Mid-Atlantic region for the foreseeable future.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.9°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.0°C for the week centered around June 21. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.37°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.77°C. El Niño conditions have developed and will likely continue to strengthen through at least the summer.

The SOI was +17.22 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.693 today.

On June 28 the MJO was in Phase 2 at an amplitude of 0.831 (RMM). The June 27-adjusted amplitude was 1.066 (RMM).

 

[doncat]

June at my station tied for 9th coolest in 46 years and coolest since 2009. Rainfall of 2.10" was about 2" below normal. 

[Roger Smith]

One thing to add to the historical summary, in 2021 the Pac NW and BC heat dome was at its worst on June 30, highs in southern BC and much of WA state, parts of OR and ID around 110 to 120 F. Where I live, it was 112 F which is crazy hot considering we are several thousand feet higher than places in TX and a lot further north, and matching their current heat records. The worst part of the heat dome was June 26 to July 3, 2021. We then had smoke episodes one of which was worse than what you're suffering from, by early August of 2021. 

 

[jm1220]

Red smoky sunset. 

[SACRUS]

 

6/30

 

New Brnswck: 87
EWR: 86
LGA: 86
TEB: 85
PHL: 84
TTN: 84
BLM: 84
NYC: 84
JFK: 82
ACY: 82
ISP: 81

[Wxoutlooksblog]

2 hours ago, SnoSki14 said:

Euro is more pessimistic but it still doesn't look as bad as June 

I think it will be a little warmer than June but that's normally the case. I do not see the scenario that was shown on the 06Z GFS this morning actually happening when had the western ridge and WAR actually hooking up a situation that would probably dictate an extended heatwave. I think cold fronts are going to keep coming with lots of moist upper air disturbances in the flow off of the Pacific moving across the country. In short I think any hot weather during July will be short-lived interrupted either by a cold front or a soggy wet system moving in from the south or west. And as of now,  I do not see Central Park reaching 90 more than one or two times in the first two weeks of July and probably less. If we get there on Monday the 3rd there's a good chance of some very strong to severe storms to end it quickly.

WX/PT

[Roger Smith]

I believe May-June total rainfall at NYC (2.90") was third lowest in 155 tries, behind 1880 (1.76") and 1965 (2.85"). (I realize regional amounts are quite variable)

Next few dry May-June couplets were in 1993 (3.05"), 1885 (3.18"), 1964 (3.24"), 1899 (3.35"), 2020 (3.41"), 1949 (3.43" with only 0.02" June, driest month on record), 1986 (3.54") 1877 (3.75"), 1891 (3.93") and 1875 (4.05").

The wettest May-June was 1989 with 19.03", 2013 had 18.10" and 1972 had 17.69" in those two months.  

[LibertyBell]

On 6/30/2023 at 6:48 PM, donsutherland1 said:

Wildfire smoke in New York City this afternoon. The AQI remained in the 160s throughout the afternoon.

Anyone who says that air pollution has somehow "gone away" is sorely mistaken, it kills millions of people every year and shortens life, especially near areas where diesel trucks go (mostly urban areas) by 10 years on average.  Air pollution shortens life even more than smoking does.

The toxic smog we had earlier in June made me really sick.

 

[LibertyBell]

On 6/30/2023 at 8:45 PM, Wxoutlooksblog said:

I think it will be a little warmer than June but that's normally the case. I do not see the scenario that was shown on the 06Z GFS this morning actually happening when had the western ridge and WAR actually hooking up a situation that would probably dictate an extended heatwave. I think cold fronts are going to keep coming with lots of moist upper air disturbances in the flow off of the Pacific moving across the country. In short I think any hot weather during July will be short-lived interrupted either by a cold front or a soggy wet system moving in from the south or west. And as of now,  I do not see Central Park reaching 90 more than one or two times in the first two weeks of July and probably less. If we get there on Monday the 3rd there's a good chance of some very strong to severe storms to end it quickly.

WX/PT

Extended heatwaves are really nice and don't happen much anymore.  I love dry heat, not the humid wet stuff that makes me sick.

 

[LibertyBell]

On 6/30/2023 at 6:48 PM, donsutherland1 said:

Wildfire smoke in New York City this afternoon. The AQI remained in the 160s throughout the afternoon.

I have a question for you Don, how come the air quality wasn't this bad in August 1995 when we had all those awful fires close by?

This time it made me really sick and my blood pressure was around 190/115 during the worst of it.

 

 

[donsutherland1]

2 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

I have a question for you Don, how come the air quality wasn't this bad in August 1995 when we had all those awful fires close by?

This time it made me really sick and my blood pressure was around 190/115 during the worst of it.

 

 

We didn’t get the worst of the smoke, as the wind directed it elsewhere. On June 7, the wind brought the thickest smoke to the NYC area and then Philadelphia and Washington the following day.