ORH_wxman Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Hopefully that is a good thing.... Old EE rule. Back in the day it was a good combo. Hopefully today we have less volatility on the model solutions....the EPS has been relatively steady though. I'd like to see the spread close a bit while maintaining that Cape track. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 10, 2023 Author Share Posted March 10, 2023 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Clown range NAM is looking a bit east of 06z with that southern stream running pretty far ahead. Northern stream is dropping into the OH Valley though so it would def rip back NNW at some point... I understand everyone's worries but more and more it's looking better. If this stalls all bets off isothermal Tippy blue bomb RT 95 128 west with East getting in on it as it rotates and becomes stacked. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: That was a great one for me. Getting 10" on Friday and then 24 hours later we're nuking another 16" (most of it fell in like 6 hours) That was the second time I remember saying "Fucking Worcester" when I saw Cantore live in that one. First time was 12/92. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 i could see this slipping way east 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 1 minute ago, forkyfork said: i could see this slipping way east This is why I have been okay with all of those inland members.....goal is to have perfect alingment at hour 7, not 72. Its like working the clock as game management strategy in football...let the other team take the lead, so you have time on the clock to kick the winning FG. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Old EE rule. Back in the day it was a good combo. Hopefully today we have less volatility on the model solutions....the EPS has been relatively steady though. I'd like to see the spread close a bit while maintaining that Cape track. I was speaking more about how 06z EURO would extrapolate relative to 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Dude March 18 I had 8 inches of wet snow when the ahit started hitting the fan. Imagine a foot plus of heavy wet 10" of paste brought down dozens of pine limbs in my neighbor's yard. Not looking forward to going through that again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Seems like those in 128 belt are gonna wanna play with the fire of this slipping East to get that lead vort to swing wide right and then capture and pull back NW . Not a ton of wiggle room there to play with at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Seems like those in 128 belt are gonna wanna play with the fire of this slipping East to get that lead vort to swing wide right and then capture and pull back NW . Not a ton of wiggle room there to play with at all There usually isn't when in search of a high-end outcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 1 hour ago, WinterWolf said: At this point…I don’t even care anymore. Bring whatever it is. It’s gonna tick around and move. If it goes east a bit, oh well. It will still be the biggest of the year. I’m so done worrying after this winter’s BS. Burying my girlfriends mother today, and there’s plenty more serious things in life. Would love a big storm, but if not it’s ok too. Sorry to hear wolfie. Hope you get a good one 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: There usually isn't when in search of a high-end outcome. Ya , I totally get it . If I couldn’t chase this I would have a different mindset . I think max ceiling is in Catskills with a earlier phase but to be honest I’d rather save the gas and see a cape track . Just want a strong storm and not some disjointed voodoo in crap airmass (which does not look favored at all, but is on table with precarious timing of phasing and progressive trends that usually present themselves last 48 hours . I mean we are still a good 3.5 days out and close to 4 for East mass for the wider right late capture 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Seems like those in 128 belt are gonna wanna play with the fire of this slipping East to get that lead vort to swing wide right and then capture and pull back NW . Not a ton of wiggle room there to play with at all We need this to get east down here. I’d much rather let it escape east some and hope for a last minute capture Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Looking at EPS more closely, 06z trended slightly less instense and se...more progressive, which is expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: We need this to get east down here. I’d much rather let it escape east some and hope for a last minute capture hook and ladder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 06 EPS is now east of Chatham as opposed to over Hyannis on 00z. NAM following 06z EPS is good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Luke, its not a negative impact for you. Trust me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Do the frame before that for CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Just now, CoastalWx said: Do the frame before that for CT. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Top image 3/31/97 12z, Bottom image 4/1/97 3z ULL dug much further south and ultimately stacking occurred further south As much as I revere that event, it's not totally outlandish that this could have some similarities Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Luke, you get slammed with QPF prior, and you'll actually have a cooler column being west too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Luke, its not a negative impact for you. Trust me. You know my worries lol…they have begun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yep, there ya go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Reggie still looks like ka-ka.....Icon coming in decently east of 06z through 78h Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Luke, you get slammed with QPF prior, and you'll actually have a cooler column being west too. Heavy gummy ingestion begins at 5pm today. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yep, there ya go. I get his concerns, but we aren't there yet...this is still a trend he wants. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: You know my worries lol…they have begun. We are wounded from years of being in SWCT. If I wake up with 8 inches tomorrow instead of the slushy 3 that I am expecting, then the rug pull on Tuesday won't be soo bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Reggie still looks like ka-ka.....Icon coming in decently east of 06z through 78h ICON goes east of the elbow, north of PVC, and then curls SW into PYM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 I'd rather it curl onto my dome from the NE than SE..but regardless, a lot of wet here. Maybe that gets me some accumulations on the backend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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