AtlanticWx Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: I’m not seeing the CMC love - it’s worse than 12z for most of us off WxBell maps. It keeps us in the game though 2” of sleet right through the metros up to Baltimore though, if that interests you i mean the actual storm was colder and souther, we get less snow bc the initial precip is lacking but that's virtually it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 yeah, I liked seeing the initial confluence tick stronger, that's big in this kind of setup 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 The euro is closer to cmc icon than gfs. At last it gave us some frozen Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 yeah, I liked seeing the initial confluence tick stronger, that's big in this kind of setupDon’t get me wrong it’s better (especially since I’m eyeing a trip to NY this weekend unless I’d get more snow in DC ) then the GFS, but people were chatting like this was a 6”+ snow for most. It works for the favored areas but not the metros. Maybe I’m just tired and grumpy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 Don’t get me wrong it’s better (especially since I’m eyeing a trip to NY this weekend unless I’d get more snow in DC ) then the GFS, but people were chatting like this was a 6”+ snow for most. It works for the favored areas but not the metros. Maybe I’m just tired and grumpy. You talking about DCA and Bwi? They don't even get snow when the pattern is goodSent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 GEFS is improved. weaker vort, but the main change is in the confluence, which is notably stronger and further S over SE Canada leads to a colder tick. not amazing, but it's something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 2 minutes ago, Ji said: You talking about DCA and Bwi? They don't even get snow when the pattern is good Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk let me put my meh-ness with the run in JI-terms. Where is the snow going? I'm willing to concede there may be a better CAD push/more confluence, yadayada. I do actually care about the synoptics, but I'm losing my pretty colors to the north still, run-over-run. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 ukmet just ran and it should indicate how euros gonna go but i'm too tired to interpret it, someone else could take a shot tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 UK more like gfs but, does have some front end snow NW 2-4” basically for the northern counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 GEFS is improved. weaker vort, but the main change is in the confluence, which is notably stronger and further S over SE Canada leads to a colder tick. not amazing, but it's something7 more degrees to go!Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 UKMET made a really nice change with the confluence in SE Canada. probably the most important takeaway from this run 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 6 minutes ago, Ji said: 7 more degrees to go! Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk better than nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 31 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: UKMET made a really nice change with the confluence in SE Canada. probably the most important takeaway from this run It tracks a 982 low over Cleveland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 Maybe I’m crazy but…my take on 0z so far Icon is the icon why are we even discussing it. GFS is still way north. GGEM which is always the biggest tease trended north again. UK is a full fledge cutter. We will see what the euro shows. Well I’ll see in the morning. At the end of the day this is a problem because the thermal boundary is to our NW as the wave approaches. That rarely works out. Once in a blue moon but rare. Look at day 16 on the Gfs. If we ever get THAT look to day 5 then we have a high probability event I will be excited and fully invested in. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 8 hours ago, WesternFringe said: If you read LWX’s discussion, they said they had roughly half of guidance showing 30s and wintry weather and the other half showing 70s, so they split the difference and said 40s/50s. I suspect your local news station either did the same or agrees with the trend of a NW passing system that brings in warm air from the south. just odd we are getting all this sucky feedback temp guidance wise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 Anybody up? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 Just now, stormtracker said: Anybody up? Nope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 Here's the thing I see...can't tell what's going to happen, but even if we don't get the solution we want it seems like all models except the GFS have a stronger cold air push. Maybe that'll be something that becomes better on the GFS as we move along? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDM Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Here's the thing I see...can't tell what's going to happen, but even if we don't get the solution we want it seems like all models except the GFS have a stronger cold air push. Maybe that'll be something that becomes better on the GFS as we move along? Thanks for doing the needy Randy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 ok, Euro has a little bit of a CAD wedge (not as pronounced as the CMC)...has frozen in on us at 108..0 line tickles DC at 123 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 WB 0Z EURO v 12Z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 Not good enough for us..more of the same BUT Euro is colder than GFS. It's really close on the Euro for frozen, but I'll let yall dissect the finer points Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 Colder and def better than gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 108 is good at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 Shows 3-6” DC area north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 WB 0Z EURO v GFS quicker transfer to the coast. Not enough this run for our latitude but will keep tracking…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 Do you guys post Euro snow maps? Curious about NJ as it looks close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 That’s the route to a win on this storm. It is going to the Ohio Valley, but can we get something on the front end. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 WB 0Z Euro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 I just want to be Namd 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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