H2O Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 The snow only goes where @Bob Chill goes 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 4 minutes ago, H2O said: The snow only goes where @Bob Chill goes So you're saying he took his talents to South Mountain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 19 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: weenie map Beautiful! Dusting my way to 0.6 on the year. I’ll take it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 I think the places the mixing occurs is how the storm will end up... I would not be thinking accumulations outside higher elevations. Some mixy stuff accumulations for some that get into the deform areas, but outside the mountains, not much. That was a strange way to get there on the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 45 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Good With a setup like this we are going to see some wild solutions right up to gametime. Some sad some stupid. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Just a gut feeling… i don’t think this h5 low closes and tracks as far south as its showing on the models. Maybe I’ve seen too many last minute north trends in my lifetime. *Not saying we get a result that favors us in the end (in case I get weenie tagged lol) 2 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 1 minute ago, BristowWx said: With a setup like this we are going to see some wild solutions right up to gametime. Some sad some stupid. Weenie emotions will be everywhere. Definitely worth the price of admission. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 EPS matches the OP pretty darn close thru 84 - maybe 20 miles more north w/ the vort. Scanning back and forth the vort pass is decidedly stronger than previous runs but more keeps ticking south. Sigh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 A definite improvement over 00z for the ECM. 500 energy tracks 50 miles farther north as it crosses NC. The weenie map gives me 6 - 7 inches compared to a half inch at 00. Hopefully, this is the beginning of a trend for everyone. If we can only drop those thermals surface and aloft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 largely noise - highlights are probably more snow SWVA, more snow central VA/along I-81, less members that are bringing snow further north out of our subforum. probability maps for just an 1" (hey, low bar) show non-zero improvement from 06z. Generally 0-10% better 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 21 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: largely noise - highlights are probably more snow SWVA, more snow central VA/along I-81, less members that are bringing snow further north out of our subforum. probability maps for just an 1" (hey, low bar) show non-zero improvement from 06z. Generally 0-10% better That’s 30-40% than I had 2 days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Glad to see the Euro finally got a clue that there is going to be a storm out this way. Now all I have to do is start worrying about temps. Whoever gets the deform will get some snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard Hunter Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 35 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Glad to see the Euro finally got a clue that there is going to be a storm out this way. Now all I have to do is start worrying about temps. Whoever gets the deform will get some snow. Agreed. I think the Deform band is going to be pretty big. Partially wishcasting but also due to the CIPS analogs which was presented earlier. Some heavy hitters in there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 1 hour ago, Terpeast said: Just a gut feeling… i don’t think this h5 low closes and tracks as far south as its showing on the models. Maybe I’ve seen too many last minute north trends in my lifetime. *Not saying we get a result that favors us in the end (in case I get weenie tagged lol) I think that’s very true, almost 100%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MountainGeek Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: I think that’s very true, almost 100%. I can't say I hate us being towards the northern edge with this setup around 100 hrs out........just need to get the storm strong enough to suck cold air down from the stratosphere and we should be rockin'! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kleimax Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 What's the NASA model showing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Just now, Kleimax said: What's the NASA model showing? The moon 2 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Can I try this once? Kill it if you hate it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MountainGeek Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Well LWX not entirely dismissing the threat: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 GFS near carbon copy of 12z run so far thru 39 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 54 hours, small closed low has developed over AR with a slightly slower progression than 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 66 more of a suppressive flow from that nrn s/w..that got a little stronger, and less ridging in front, but don't think it's gonna make a huge difference Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: 66 more of a suppressive flow from that nrn s/w..that got a little stronger, and less ridging in front, but don't think it's gonna make a huge difference Upper level low is Even further south lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 1 minute ago, Chris78 said: Upper level low is Even further south lol Yes, was just about to post this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Def more south and east with main precip shield Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 If there's a God, this will miss us completely 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 South central SC and North East GA with snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Definitely more suppressed at 105. No snow in the area, not even for the I-81 crew Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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