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"We're gonna need a bigger plow..." Massive, persistent singal now emerges discretely in the models, 20th-23rd


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2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

That was almost an epic run....still a great solution, but we barely missed a total capture of the ULL diving through VA.....the shortwave that is responsible for the storm outruns it.

Does anyone want a flawless run right now 

I'm just happy models are in good agreement already. Usually a good sign of something big 

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Just now, SnoSki14 said:

Does anyone want a flawless run right now 

I'm just happy models are in good agreement already. Usually a good sign of something big 

I wasn't opining on whether it would verify like that....just that it barely missed an epic solution. Like top 5 all time type stuff. I'm not even taking these OP runs seriously at all.....ensemble forecasting is the way to go until we're about 3-4 days closer.

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1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

I wasn't opining on whether it would verify like that....just that it barely missed an epic solution. Like top 5 all time type stuff. I'm not even taking these OP runs seriously at all.....ensemble forecasting is the way to go until we're about 3-4 days closer.

This has like Feb 1978, Feb 2013 potential.

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1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

I wasn't opining on whether it would verify like that....just that it barely missed an epic solution. Like top 5 all time type stuff. I'm not even taking these OP runs seriously at all.....ensemble forecasting is the way to go until we're about 3-4 days closer.

Absolutely. The ensembles are for forecasting. The ops are for cinematic drama at this range and the action is starting to get good. :popcorn:

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