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Chris12WX

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Everything posted by Chris12WX

  1. Closing in on 1”. Been snowing since ~4am. Can still hear some melting. But accumulating on all surfaces.
  2. What’s everyone’s go to website for radar/satellite? I use CoD. Other suggestions?
  3. I know I said it about 100 pages ago, but these stall & capture storms….the “loop” always occurs later than modeled.
  4. Weenie flakes and sprinkles were in the forecast for today.
  5. Shift this 25 miles north, cut by 25% and call it a forecast.
  6. Had that in January. Neighbors yard still has 10 plus 20 ft pine limbs in it. Might as well bring down whole trees this time.
  7. Me: “Dad…this storm would be awesome in February. Just no cold air.” Dad: “There was no cold air in February.” well played Dad. Well played.
  8. Does anyone have Dec 92 snow map handy? While the storm evolution is different, can definitely see a similar accumulation map. (Probably not 40” or whatever though).
  9. I’m not looking forward to it. Went through it in January. December? Can’t remember at this point. As long as the driveway isn’t covered with debris. Lol
  10. Honestly I think a lot of folks are going to be disappointed with this one. We’ve been tracking so long, folks expect a biggie. But there’s just a few things: airmass, inv trough, phasing, etc. where I don’t blame NWS and TV for being conservative. Yes there is a chance my hood could get 18”. But if forced to put a forecast put, I’d play it safe with 8-12”.
  11. Doubt. Once the upper levels catch the primary and the storm stalls the conveyer belts shit down and the storm weakens. That’s why as the storm drifts away, the QPF is minimal.
  12. Is it still 35-40 at the surface? How warm are the road surfaces going to be? Meat during daytime? Bring them down! 925 is a concern.
  13. QPF weenies aren’t going to like the Euro. Kind of blows its load over NJ. It’s wrapped up so tight over ACK that its only like a 10 hr blitz with dry air working in aloft.
  14. Pretty good consistency within the ensemble means with the low passing over/near outer Cape.
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