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22 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

72 degrees here right now, and it feels a little muggy with the dewpoint at 65.

As others have pointed out, the long range looks very warm. More 70 degree weather to come in early november. Looks as if I'll be picking tomatoes and peppers for quite awhile since there's no sign of a freeze in the long range. Maybe even into mid november, which would be the longest growing season here that I can remember.

Looks warm for a while after this (coolish) weekend. Weeklies (bun me now) flip the script at the end of the month into December. I don’t mind the warmth now if that means we get something more favorable when climo is better for us in December. November 2019 is a perfect example of having a great pattern to early. 

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29 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

We have an energy crisis. The warm weather is good for everyone especially Europe. 

But if you're a winter lover then at least the crappy pattern is happening in November vs when it matters. 

Precisely.  A warm winter for the USA and abroad would be welcome.   A warm snowless winter would be helpful to a lot of people 

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6 hours ago, winterwx21 said:

72 degrees here right now, and it feels a little muggy with the dewpoint at 65.

As others have pointed out, the long range looks very warm. More 70 degree weather to come in early november. Looks as if I'll be picking tomatoes and peppers for quite awhile since there's no sign of a freeze in the long range. Maybe even into mid november, which would be the longest growing season here that I can remember.

2001 was the longest growing season but this seems to be similar so far.

The record from yesterday was from 2001 too.

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8 minutes ago, 495weatherguy said:

Precisely.  A warm winter for the USA and abroad would be welcome.   A warm snowless winter would be helpful to a lot of people 

Meanwhile in the Swiss Alps, which contain 75% of the world's freshwater, the glaciers are projected to be completely gone by 2031.  Scientists there are laying white blankets on the snow there to make it melt at a slower rate.

 

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Tomorrow will be partly sunny and somewhat cooler. Readings will return to near normal or somewhat below noral levels to end the week. However, more warmth will likely return to start next week.

With the MJO in Phase 6 at a high amplitude and the Arctic Oscillation forecast to be positive for the closing week of the month, the closing week of October could feature above to much above normal temperatures.

November could begin with warmer than normal temperatures.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -1.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.8°C for the week centered around October 19. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -1.42°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.83°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist through the fall.

The SOI was +0.71 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.558 today.

On October 24 the MJO was in Phase 6 at an amplitude of 1.890 (RMM). The October 23-adjusted amplitude was 1.860 (RMM).

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 90% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal October (1991-2020 normal). October will likely finish with a mean temperature near 56.9° (1.0° below normal).

 

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Meanwhile in the Swiss Alps, which contain 75% of the world's freshwater, the glaciers are projected to be completely gone by 2031.  Scientists there are laying white blankets on the snow there to make it melt at a slower rate.
 

While most of this is correct it’s more like .75% of the words fresh water. 75% would be Antarctica.
Looks like the early ski season is going to suck. We need a flip late month.
We can have a cold snowy winter and Europe a warm winter.


.
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3 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:


While most of this is correct it’s more like .75% of the words fresh water. 75% would be Antarctica.
Looks like the early ski season is going to suck. We need a flip late month.
We can have a cold snowy winter and Europe a warm winter.


.

Yeah that was mentioned on the nightly newscast so I haven't been able to find anything about that 75% number but here is something I just found about the white blankets they lay down.

https://www.livescience.com/61951-swiss-glacier-blanket.html

This year, like every year, a group of Swiss will traipse up through the mountains to the Rhône Glacier, hauling huge white blankets. As E&E News reported in a recent article on geoengineering, the annual hike is part of a doomed effort to protect the massive blocks of ice from the rising summer heat.

 
 

The Earth is getting warmer, and glaciers around the world are retreating and shrinking. As Live Science has previously reported, humans appear to have caused 69 percent of glacial melting between 1991 and 2010 — and warming has only accelerated in the nearly eight years since.

 
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2 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:


While most of this is correct it’s more like .75% of the words fresh water. 75% would be Antarctica.
Looks like the early ski season is going to suck. We need a flip late month.
We can have a cold snowy winter and Europe a warm winter.


.

Antarctica has about 90% of the worlds ice volume and about 70% of the worlds fresh water. At least the Antarctica is not melting as fast as the Alps. This report was on ABC news tonight and it was a little misleading.

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56 minutes ago, 495weatherguy said:

Precisely.  A warm winter for the USA and abroad would be welcome.   A warm snowless winter would be helpful to a lot of people 

So you're saying a cold snowy winter would worsen the economy and geopolitics...?

Breakout your coats and rev up those snow blowers gents... the current age of a warming planet is no match for apocalyptic irony.

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6 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:


While most of this is correct it’s more like .75% of the words fresh water. 75% would be Antarctica.
Looks like the early ski season is going to suck. We need a flip late month.
We can have a cold snowy winter and Europe a warm winter.


.

The real classic winters during WW1 and WW2 were cold and snowy both here and in Europe.

Thinking of winters like 1916-17 and 1917-18 and then 1941-42 and 1942-43.

 

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