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Radar loop just south of LI drying up. Lol
 
T79aIbK.jpg
Given this summer... I am not surprised...

Let's hope for some convection later... otherwise we may be in trouble on the south shore...

Northport is just getting hammered this morning... Nassau into Suffolk North Shore looks to do fine today...

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2 minutes ago, T5403CG said:

Given this summer... I am not surprised...

Let's hope for some convection later... otherwise we may be in trouble on the south shore...

Northport is just getting hammered this morning... Nassau into Suffolk North Shore looks to do fine today...

Sent from my moto g power (2021) using Tapatalk
 

It’s ok. Never needed these trees anyway 

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13 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said:

Radar loop just south of LI drying up. Lol

 

T79aIbK.jpg

I’m thinking this isn’t happening north of I-195. Models have been insisting on this shaft zone since yesterday so looks like that will happen. Notice the heavy rain is consolidating over S NJ not moving north.

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1 minute ago, psv88 said:

Pouring now. These little cells keep developing overhead. Should see at least an inch. Green things up a bit

We’re lucking out again up here. Amazing how this little drought zone just persists. South shore summer drought is a frequent occurrence but this is insane. 

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9 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

I’m thinking this isn’t happening north of I-195. Models have been insisting on this shaft zone since yesterday so looks like that will happen. Notice the heavy rain is consolidating over S NJ not moving north.

I have 3+. 

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Two day totals so far as of CoCoRAHs obs post this Tuesday morning.  Will check again Wednesday. Already some 3-5s in the northern part of our area and near PHL. Am sure OKX will have some interesting PNS updated next 24 hours. 

 

Long ways to go on this one.... low top significant rain likely into Wednesday morning per 500MB trough axis yet to pass and wet low lvl sounding with inflow in the low lvls.

Next Sunday-Monday (11-12): might be delayed one day (per SACRUS post) but am staying with 1/2-4" in our subforum as cold front eventually arrives with PW 2".  Could be isolated heavier. Obviously too far away to try to pin point.  7 day ensembles are continuing to show positive anomaly as upper low lifts need out of lower Mississippi-OH Valley. Even the slow responding summer convective GEPS (00z/6) has a bullseye + qpf anomaly over us in their D4-10 (see tropical tidbits ensembles moisture)

Once thiscurrentt event  is all done: may be worthy while to look at "chance" for record Sept rainfall at any of our NYC subforum climate states (see Don's general stats signal for Sept).  Think we are on our way. Am 60-70% confident for  another sizable event (1/2-4") Sun-Mon, and thereafter---presuming (that may be a mistake) that a tropical system will finally directly affect us with moisture by the end of Sept???  953A/6

 

Screen Shot 2022-09-06 at 9.32.58 AM.png

 

Screen Shot 2022-09-06 at 9.38.08 AM.png

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