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Morning thoughts…

It will be partly sunny and warm. A cold front will bring strong to severe thunderstorms this afternoon or evening to many parts of the region. High temperatures will likely reach the middle and upper 70s in much of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include:

New York City (Central Park): 75°

Newark: 78°

Philadelphia: 81°

Somewhat cooler air will follow the frontal passage for tomorrow through Thursday.

Normals:

New York City: 30-Year: 71.4°; 15-Year: 72.3°

Newark: 30-Year: 72.6°; 15-Year: 73.5°

Philadelphia: 30-Year: 74.4°; 15-Year: 75.1°

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LGA and NYC still haven’t reached 80° yet. So the first 80° day is a month late. This much onshore flow is pretty unusual for our area in May. The purple colors below are near record levels of easterly flow for May.
 

C93B0B8E-77E7-4DFD-92CB-CDDB246D458E.gif.1ad43e1cdffd0d7e4f673f8aaba9f3c7.gif

 

 


 

First/Last Summary for LAGUARDIA AIRPORT, NY
Each section contains date and year of occurrence, value on that date.
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Year
First
Value
Last
Value
Difference
Minimum 03-26 (2021) 09-25 (2020) 134
Mean 04-21 10-06 167
Maximum 05-20 (2019) 10-20 (2021) 207
2021 03-26 (2021) 82 10-20 (2021) 80 207
2020 05-03 (2020) 81 09-25 (2020) 80 144
2019 05-20 (2019) 89 10-02 (2019) 95 134
2018 04-13 (2018) 82 10-11 (2018) 80 180
2017 04-16 (2017) 88 10-10 (2017) 81 176
2016 04-18 (2016) 80 10-19 (2016) 86 183
2015 05-04 (2015) 82 09-29 (2015) 83 147
2014 05-10 (2014) 82 09-28 (2014) 84 140
2013 04-09 (2013) 81 10-04 (2013) 86 177
2012 04-16 (2012) 85 10-05 (2012) 80 171
2011 04-26 (2011) 80 10-10 (2011) 82 166
2010 04-07 (2010) 91 09-29 (2010) 80 174


 

First/Last Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY
Each section contains date and year of occurrence, value on that date.
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Year
First
Value
Last
Value
Difference
Minimum 03-26 (2021) 09-10 (2020) 129
Mean 04-16 09-30 166
Maximum 05-10 (2014) 10-19 (2016) 183
2021 03-26 (2021) 82 09-18 (2021) 84 175
2020 05-03 (2020) 80 09-10 (2020) 82 129
2019 04-19 (2019) 80 10-02 (2019) 93 165
2018 04-13 (2018) 82 10-10 (2018) 80 179
2017 04-11 (2017) 80 10-10 (2017) 81 181
2016 04-18 (2016) 82 10-19 (2016) 85 183
2015 04-18 (2015) 80 09-29 (2015) 83 163
2014 05-10 (2014) 83 09-28 (2014) 84 140
2013 04-09 (2013) 82 10-04 (2013) 86 177
2012 04-16 (2012) 88 09-14 (2012) 80 150
2011 04-11 (2011) 81 10-10 (2011) 81 181
2010 04-07 (2010) 92 09-25 (2010) 89 170
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The next 8 days are averaging  65degs.(59/71) or +1

Month to date is  59.6[-1.5].       Should be  61.5[-0.6] by the 24th.    Big drop from yesterday's ADS's run. lol

Reached just 67 in the fog here yesterday.

Today:  70-75, wind s. to w., clouding up, rain and some TS? between 5pm-8pm., 58* tomorrow AM.

66*(99%RH) here at 7am, variable fog, hazy blue.     but 61*(92%RH) at 8am.      Back to 66* at 9am.     68* at Noon.     63*-70* during last 4 hours, 4pm.        Reached 72* at 7pm.         64* at 9pm.

 

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39 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

We should see a nice old school wide spread wind event later today. I’m not saying the D word but a nice MCS with locally damaging winds. I think most places city west will see gusts to at least 40mph which should blow the pollen around!

Yes I am definitely looking forward to some excitement out here around 4-5pm.  

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7 minutes ago, wishcast_hater said:

Never in my life have I seen this - My kids school just called and are dismissing early based on the severe weather forecasts.  We are a WEAK people, pathetic.

That's bizarre given the severe, if it occurs, won't even happen until after 3PM

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7 minutes ago, wishcast_hater said:

Never in my life have I seen this - My kids school just called and are dismissing early based on the severe weather forecasts.  We are a WEAK people, pathetic.

Check out the post just before your’s.  Do you recall seeing a map like that for this region?  The atmosphere is quite juiced today so this is actually a good call IMO.

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19 minutes ago, wishcast_hater said:

Never in my life have I seen this - My kids school just called and are dismissing early based on the severe weather forecasts.  We are a WEAK people, pathetic.

Talk to some folks in Orange County,ny, they might think differently.

On November 16, 1989, a wind gust at 12:05 PM blew down the free standing cafeteria wall at the East Coldenham Elementary School near Newburg, NY. Nine students were killed. The event was called a tornado, but the only rotation seen in the area was a dust swirl in the parking lot. Professor Fujita's detailed survey of the entire path showed only evidence of microbursts. It exists on official records as a tornado, the deadliest F1 "tornado" in history.

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