LibertyBell Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 minute ago, the_other_guy said: The deck is not stacked against us. It snows here plenty. This is a bad year with a fast pattern. I suggested a few weeks ago stopping these threads 7/8/9 days out. It is ridiculous! Guys are grasping at straws and then get mad when it doesn’t happen. then a week from now, do the same thing all over again. Meanwhile, it is sucking all the oxygen out of the monthly threads. We have had a very cold January and there’s been almost no discussion about it. This is going to kill the forum as guys just get exhausted with it. You have people staying up all night to track a storm days from now that is never coming. It isnt healthy no one cares about cold and dry Januarys 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 9 minutes ago, MJO812 said: I will be happy with a few inches 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Just now, Volcanic Winter said: Most people have no concept of the extreme volatility AGW will force into the climate system. Yes, they see it just as warm vs cold and thats it, only farmers know how it's destroying their crops with both flooding rains and scorching heat. We're going through a lot of tough times- I mean we are already, but they're only going to get worse from here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 This could be a Jan 4 2018 type deal. Cold and windy (though not as cold). Not huge snows NYC/I-95. Interesting storm tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 minute ago, the_other_guy said: The deck is not stacked against us. It snows here plenty. This is a bad year with a fast pattern. I suggested a few weeks ago stopping these threads 7/8/9 days out. It is ridiculous! Guys are grasping at straws and then get mad when it doesn’t happen. then a week from now, do the same thing all over again. Meanwhile, it is sucking all the oxygen out of the monthly threads. We have had a very cold January and there’s been almost no discussion about it. This is going to kill the forum as guys just get exhausted with it. You have people staying up all night to track a storm days from now that is never coming. It isnt healthy Well, TBH, talking about a cold and dry pattern that no one likes is hard to get excited about; warm weather lovers and snow lovers both hate cold and dry. My hands and legs are chapped enough. But I get your point, and it is valid. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Euro should be east based on early trends. Maybe it recovers 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 The inevitable cave. U can see it already at 36 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Anyone have a read on what professional forecasters are saying at this juncture, if anything? Can't dig too deep while at work. Just enough time to relentlessly refresh this thread lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 9 minutes ago, MANDA said: While we're waiting on the EURO...a little levity. Could've used that in the 80s when we were wishing for snow days that never came. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 11 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said: Yes or even I think your area has a snowpack off 12 inches of snow this winter lol. The city/coast is so dependent on noreasters and honestly i'd probably prefer the dink and dunks. My other home in the Poconos has had a consistent 8-12 inch snowpack for the entire month. That place has a snowpack in ANY pattern. Says a lot for being above 2000 ft in elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 5 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Sounds a lot like December 2009 That storm dumped 10 inches west of the city, so that would be a huge win. It also buried the coast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 5 minutes ago, the_other_guy said: The deck is not stacked against us. It snows here plenty. This is a bad year with a fast pattern. I suggested a few weeks ago stopping these threads 7/8/9 days out. It is ridiculous! Guys are grasping at straws and then get mad when it doesn’t happen. then a week from now, do the same thing all over again. Meanwhile, it is sucking all the oxygen out of the monthly threads. We have had a very cold January and there’s been almost no discussion about it. This is going to kill the forum as guys just get exhausted with it. You have people staying up all night to track a storm days from now that is never coming. It isnt healthy Yes its been very cold, thats why places to our north have a snowpack even though it's been a dry January. I think it's fine to track storms far out but don't get attached to outcomes. I have to say this one surprised me a bit, this really looked it had the makings of something special and even now I wouldn't get overattached to the model outcomes because it could still change but if it doesn't I mean it is what it is, life goes on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 OPC 72hr surface prog 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 3 minutes ago, Franklin0529 said: The inevitable cave. U can see it already at 36 Let this run a bit...Keep an eye on the northern stream Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Not that I want this at all, but I fully anticipate the EURO caving to the GFS at 12z. If 12z EURO holds, then the 18z GFS will have to back down. We can't have one model showing a few inches for NYC and another model showing 2 feet. I just think that's looney. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Byrdhousebv Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 12 minutes ago, MANDA said: While we're waiting on the EURO...a little levity. So that's what you use a sky hook for.....and after all these decades of uncertainty........... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Just now, TriPol said: Not that I want this at all, but I fully anticipate the EURO caving to the GFS at 12z. If 12z EURO holds, then the 18z GFS will have to back down. We can't have one model showing a few inches for NYC and another model showing 2 feet. I just think that's looney. Happens pretty often with ocean systems like these actually. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 minute ago, TriPol said: Not that I want this at all, but I fully anticipate the EURO caving to the GFS at 12z. If 12z EURO holds, then the 18z GFS will have to back down. We can't have one model showing a few inches for NYC and another model showing 2 feet. I just think that's looney. why not? it's happened before Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Just now, jm1220 said: Happens pretty often with ocean systems like these actually. Yes, these are imperfectly modeled systems, I would expect this actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYC10023 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Just now, LibertyBell said: Yes, these are imperfectly modeled systems, I would expect this actually. every year 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Leaving alot energy in the sw. Definitely gonna be east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 5 minutes ago, Franklin0529 said: Leaving alot energy in the sw. Definitely gonna be east Looks identical to last run. It just pulled it out at the last minute last run and took a nap south of LI dumping snow on us. But we'll see. Could end up worse of course 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 N stream looks better and might help save the day. Please let the run play out and check yourself out if you're on the "storm cancel" train. Those doors have closed and it's on the express out of the station lol. 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 minute ago, Jt17 said: Looks identical to last run. It just pulled it out at the last minute last run and took a nap south of LI dumping snow on us. But we'll see. Good end up worse of Closed off over nc. Might not be too bad. The Northern stream is stronger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 no capture...kicked east 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 This run is more amplified than 06z. If you don't know what you're looking at please don't comment. It just confuses everyone. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 When has this ever been easy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 minute ago, Doorman said: no capture...kicked east You're comparing it to yesterdays 12z run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 26, 2022 Author Share Posted January 26, 2022 22 minutes ago, the_other_guy said: The deck is not stacked against us. It snows here plenty. This is a bad year with a fast pattern. I suggested a few weeks ago stopping these threads 7/8/9 days out. It is ridiculous! Guys are grasping at straws and then get mad when it doesn’t happen. then a week from now, do the same thing all over again. Meanwhile, it is sucking all the oxygen out of the monthly threads. We have had a very cold January and there’s been almost no discussion about it. This is going to kill the forum as guys just get exhausted with it. You have people staying up all night to track a storm days from now that is never coming. It isnt healthy The point was to remove the discussion about a particular storm from the main monthly thread. People are going to stay up and track a possible big storm whether there's a thread or not. You're too emotional and are being ridiculous. No one is grasping at straws. This was and still is a legit threat to at least part of this subforum. 5 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 5 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: This run is more amplified than 06z. If you don't know what you're looking at please don't comment. It just confuses everyone. How since it was captured further south ? It's further east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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