Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[Thunderblizzard]

CMC looks to be making a big jump west.

[ineedsnow]

GFS on its own

[George001]

We got the Canadian back, that’s huge.

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, George001 said:

LETS ****ING GO THE CANADIAN HAD A MASSIVE SHIFT WEST!!!! 

pretty sure it's going to be the biggest model output so far, sans the 12z nam maybe...maybe. it looks a lot like the 12z nam

[Henry's Weather]

Anybody know which way the CMC went? I'm getting ambiguous signals

[WeatherWilly]

1 minute ago, George001 said:

We got the Canadian back, that’s huge.

 

[jcwxguy]

Just now, Henry's Weather said:

Anybody know which way the CMC went? I'm getting ambiguous signals

West

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

2 minutes ago, George001 said:

LETS ****ING GO THE CANADIAN HAD A MASSIVE SHAFT WEST!!!! 

Get after it bud.

[Chrisrotary12]

Wait…where are people getting the canadian?

[Rjay]

2 minutes ago, Thunderblizzard said:

CMC looks to be making a big jump west.

Old school

 

[dmcginvt]

4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Harv talking it up again...moved for line back from me to ORH, andcmentioned up to 2' potential. 

Leonard is still going??????   Holy shit

[cleetussnow]

6 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

One of these models is going to have an all time bust if this divergence keep up..yikes

Best comment.  One of these models is profoundly wrong.  I would be surprised if its the Euro, but the GFS has been relatively steadfast.  

[dryslot]

6 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Not even sure what to make of this run. The upper-level look was pretty ugly. Guess just have to wait and see what the GEFS show. If the mean is east or there is more east members that might give some merit to this run but if mean is west or more west members this can maybe be tossed. 

GEFS usually follow the OP so i expect that it will be east.

[Henry's Weather]

Just now, jcwxguy said:

West

So not east?

[JC-CT]

Just now, Chrisrotary12 said:

Wait…where are people getting the canadian?

i always get it from here first https://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html

[PhineasC]

6 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said:

NAM had its burp run at 18Z.  The GFS has had it at 0z.  At hr 60 and hr 63, they were 500 miles apart.

GFS has looked bad for a while now. It's not a burp. It's convinced.

[JC-CT]

Just now, Rjay said:

Old school

 

it's some multi-subforum love

[Chrisrotary12]

1 minute ago, Rjay said:

Old school

 

979 right on the benchmark.

[Rjay]

Just now, JC-CT said:

it's some multi-subforum love

Weenies look out for each other 

[78Blizzard]

When I saw that bend in the energy in the Dakotas at hr 27, that was the big difference from not only its 18z run but also the NAM and RGEM.

[40/70 Benchmark]

4 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

GFS on its own

Toss it...totally.

[8611Blizz]

Yeah difficult if you waffle this close in. DPW's and contractors have spent a lot time prepping for 12'+.

 

[Typhoon Tip]

2 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

Has the JMA been the most consistent? Feel like its been a perfect bomb each run.

Yeah it’s been pretty stalwart actually. Hasn’t budged. 

Not sure what to make of that actually. Don’t follow it enough to have that kind of feel for it but for some reason I bother to look at it for this thing and I can say It’s been like this for at least three days - it only goes out 24 hour intervals so we end up in between and all that shit too

[George001]

Just now, Chrisrotary12 said:

Wait…where are people getting the canadian?

Got it from another board, I’m on a bunch of different weather boards like Anthony is. The Canadian is so far west the outer cape mixes with sleet and rain, like the big runs earlier did.

[ineedsnow]

ya thats a huge hit on the CMC I think the GFS will cave if the UKIE and Euro look good

[Rjay]

2 minutes ago, Franklin0529 said:

 

[OrangeCTWX]

CMC skirts the Cape.

[JC-CT]

Just now, Typhoon Tip said:

Yeah it’s been pretty stalwart actually. Hasn’t budged. 

Not sure what to make of that actually. Don’t follow it enough to have that kind of feel for it but for some reason I bother to look at it for this thing and I can say It’s been like this for at least three days - it only goes out 24 hour intervals so we end up in between and all that shit too

meteocentre has the in-betweens

[Chrisrotary12]

Assuming the Euro holds serve, I feel like all is suddenly right with the world. Everyone against the GFS.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Yeah it’s been pretty stalwart actually. Hasn’t budged. 

Not sure what to make of that actually. Don’t follow it enough to have that kind of feel for it but for some reason I bother to look at it for this thing and I can say It’s been like this for at least three days - it only goes out 24 hour intervals so we end up in between and all that shit too

Agree.