STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 What is spruce peak Stowe at for year ? 115 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: What is spruce peak Stowe at for year ? 115 No, 110. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 Not quite warm enough here for me to roll down the windows and break out the John Mayer CDs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 2 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Not quite warm enough here for me to roll down the windows and break out the John Mayer CDs. Days like today are fun for cranking out either Pantera or NWA and watching old people turn away. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 2 hours ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Gfs trying to weenie out on a long duration crusher to kick off March. That has a very spring like behavior at mid and upper levels the way it wobbles east and eventually closes off like that - almost like April '97. 12Z model take: Not convinced Tuesday is that warm, *unless the high pressure trends away from Quebec* If it does, then both the lower tropospheric boundaries can end up more N like the Euro, but also... if the high pressure lags more than means that the mid levels have more confluence up there,...which would also force the shearing S/W more S. These differences appear in the Euro vs GFS. The former is how/why the Euro does what it does, while the latter appears to be what the GFS is after. That said, the 12z GFS high pressure was trended E so... if nothing else, a reminder that a warmer Tuesday is still certainly on the table. Friday system is way the f out there in time, ... likely to modulate significantly to the point where this is almost futile to comment. That said, the PNA in the GEFs is rising very strongly through that period. It almost seems like that one is a vestige of the previous solution and not a part of the PNA rise/correction event that signals... It may be that as the PNA exerts it will transform that into either bigger in future guidance... or wiped out in lieu of another bigger deal - maybe even the one right after. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 17, 2022 Author Share Posted February 17, 2022 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Days like today are fun for cranking out either Pantera or NWA and watching old people turn away. old people music... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 Just now, Torch Tiger said: old people music... Violent music. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 New record high for CON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 Heat without thunderstorms is like cold without snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 2 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said: Heat without thunderstorms is like cold without snow Said no one ever 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 10 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: That has a very spring like behavior at mid and upper levels the way it wobbles east and eventually closes off like that - almost like April '97. 12Z model take: Not convinced Tuesday is that warm, *unless the high pressure trends away from Quebec* If it does, then both the lower tropospheric boundaries can end up more N like the Euro, but also... if the high pressure lags more than means that the mid levels have more confluence up there,...which would also force the shearing S/W more S. These differences appear in the Euro vs GFS. The former is how/why the Euro does what it does, while the latter appears to be what the GFS is after. That said, the 12z GFS high pressure was trended E so... if nothing else, a reminder that a warmer Tuesday is still certainly no the table. Friday system is way the f out there in time, ... likely to modulate significantly to the point where this is almost futile to comment. That said, the PNA in the GEFs is rising very strongly through that period. It almost seems like that one is a vestige of the previous solution and not a part of the PNA rise/correction event that signals... it may be that either bigger in future guidance... or wiped out in lieu of another bigger deal - maybe even the one right after. I almost favor that...told you earlier, I have been keying in on early March since last fall. Always thought that was the best window with highest ceiling of the winter in a general sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: Said no one ever It sounded good when I first thought of it though 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Days like today are fun for cranking out either Pantera or NWA and watching old people turn away. A bit of Swedish Power metal...Sabaton and Hammerfall. Burly men draping arms out, banging heads. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 6 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said: Heat without thunderstorms is like cold without snow Sounds like normal summer. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: Said no one ever Paul/Wiz just entered the chat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Sounds like normal summer. East of ORH, def. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: East of ORH, def. Yep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I almost favor that...told you earlier, I have been keying in on early March since last fall. Always thought that was the best window with highest ceiling of the winter in a general sense. Well...okay..but the PNA - related correction event would be prior to the March first week though. There may be lag, true - dunno. But typically those occur on the front slope of a rapid PNA recovery. But long range after March 5, mm not sure how long we hold onto a favorable look either. I guess I feel about March like I did going into Feb - I didn't/don't really have a feel for that. It may do what you suggest(ed), sure... but these present index outlooks would favor more activity between 22nd and ~ Mar 3 so some overlap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 Man full upward vertical motion centered around my mid section when viewing EPS. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Well...okay..but the PNA - related correction event would be prior to the March first week though. There may be lag, true - dunno. But typically those occur on the front slope of a rapid PNA recovery. But long range after March 5, mm not sure how long we hold onto a favorable look either. I guess I feel about March like I did going into Feb - I didn't/don't really have a feel for that. It may do what you suggest(ed), sure... but these present index outlooks would favor more activity between 22nd and ~ Mar 3 so some overlap. I understand that. 24-26 is the window for the PNA flex....not a huge deal over 3-4 days, anyway. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 11 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: A bit of Swedish Power metal...Sabaton and Hammerfall. Burly men draping arms out, banging heads. Need to break out some new Metal like SkullFist Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 1 hour ago, dendrite said: So many happy people out there today. Windows down with burly arms hanging out and John Mayer blasting. Mayer's music is on my list of things that are worse than the winter of 21-22... 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Man full upward vertical motion centered around my mid section when viewing EPS. Boi yoi yoi oing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Man full upward vertical motion centered around my mid section when viewing EPS. Early spring? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 Just now, Chrisrotary12 said: Early spring? Some thought so. Hate to view their tweets. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 Weeklies look locked into at least mid March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 19 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Man full upward vertical motion centered around my mid section when viewing EPS. That is so ridiculous. That's Feb 2015 vibes on that map. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 41 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Days like today are fun for cranking out either Pantera or NWA and watching old people turn away. Or just the Pantera, and watch the hip hop-only kids cringe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: That is so ridiculous. That's Feb 2015 vibes on that map. And just like 2014-2015, I focused on the wrong driver in the NAO/PV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 You can see from the EPS animation, it's basically a standing wave over the PNA/EPO region. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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