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January 3 CAPE Storm


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No precip north of the NC border on the 12k.  

I’m sure this is a point that has been echoed by many before, but the fact that we have so much guidance at this point only muddies the waters. So many possible outcomes and scenarios that all feel legitimate… you trick yourself into thinking that the 48hr HRRR could be right just once.

That said, the NAM looks to be against the growing consensus. I wouldn’t be fretting too much in SEVA over it, though it’s a flag.
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1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:


I’m sure this is a point that has been echoed by many before, but the fact that we have so much guidance at this point only muddies the waters. So many possible outcomes and scenarios that all feel legitimate… you trick yourself into thinking that the 48hr HRRR could be right just once.

That said, the NAM looks to be against the growing consensus. I wouldn’t be fretting too much in SEVA over it, though it’s a flag.

Definitely to much available.  Kids are napping so I had some free time haha.

I don’t have much hope up here but I think EZF southward looks promising.

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