ForestHillWx Posted October 23, 2021 Share Posted October 23, 2021 Off and on sprinkles; 55. Got a decent walk in the woods with the kids. Peak color for NJ. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 23, 2021 Share Posted October 23, 2021 Why did psv give me a weenie ? Consensus is growing for a cold November . 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyrangers1022 Posted October 23, 2021 Share Posted October 23, 2021 14 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Why did psv give me a weenie ? Consensus is growing for a cold November . That sucks. I want to golf into December like last year. Hopefully it stays dry 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 23, 2021 Share Posted October 23, 2021 Trolls 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 23, 2021 Share Posted October 23, 2021 LoL 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted October 23, 2021 Share Posted October 23, 2021 Just now, MJO812 said: LoL Was just looking at that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 23, 2021 Share Posted October 23, 2021 Hope it’s warm and dry…supposed to have my house resided. My contractors have taken long enough as is 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 a look at years with a warm October and how the fall progressed... warm Oct/Nov/Dec 1953... 1973... 1990... Warm Oct cold Nov mild Dec... 1949... 1959... 1971... 1984... 2007... 2013... 2014... warm Oct/Nov...Cold Dec... 1950... 1961... 1963... 1975... 1985... warm Oct Cold Nov/Dec... 1954... 1955... 1968... 1995... 2017... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 Moderate rain, 55 deg in Brightwaters. Refreshing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 16 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: If Caribou makes it through tonight and tomorrow night without a freeze (models show 33-35), it could see its first freeze in November. Record late first freezes: Mount Pocono: November 1, 1920 Scranton: November 15, 1946 Have both gotten to 35 already but not 32 yet? I see Caribou still hasn't hit 32! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 3 hours ago, Rmine1 said: Moderate rain, 55 deg in Brightwaters. Refreshing this rain was a surprise, it wasn't supposed to rain tonight! it was accompanied by a big temp drop from 60 to 52 so I guess there was a cold front passage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 12 hours ago, MJO812 said: Mike Masco is Joe Bastardi Jr lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 42F Coldest night so far Of course weeklies long range aren’t reliable… The thing that I’m sure a lot of posters find frustrating is that many of us take the warm weeklies and hang onto them like they’re gospel, but when we see long range cold, we dismiss it as unreliable. Food for thought on an early Sunday… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 The last 8 days of October are averaging 58degs.(53/64), or +4. Month to date is 63.8[+4.5]. October should end near 62.3[+4.3]. Reached 63 here yesterday. Today: 58-62, wind w. to s. sky clear to p. cloudy later. The rain for the rest of the month from the two potential storms is 4"-6" on the EURO/GFS and under 2" for the CMC. We are way BN after 3 months of +10"., just 0.52" so far. 51*(80%RH) here at 6am. 50* at 7am. 52* at 9am. 58* at Noon. 56* at 1pm........but up to 61* at 3pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 Overnight low of 41 here. Current temp 42 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 Currently 41 here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 Monday looks like our last day of potential record warmth in a while. Newark may make another run 80° with a record high of 79°.The first two months of fall have followed the delayed fall theme of recent years. We are the warmest on record through the 23rd at several locations. Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Mean Avg Temperature Sep 1 to Oct 23 Missing Count 1 2021-10-23 69.7 0 2 2017-10-23 68.6 0 - 2007-10-23 68.6 0 3 1961-10-23 68.4 0 4 2005-10-23 68.1 0 5 1990-10-23 67.7 0 6 1971-10-23 67.6 0 7 1959-10-23 67.4 0 8 2016-10-23 67.3 0 9 1968-10-23 67.2 0 10 2011-10-23 67.0 0 Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NYClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Mean Avg Temperature Sep 1 to Oct 23 Missing Count 1 2021-10-23 68.1 0 - 2017-10-23 68.1 0 2 1971-10-23 68.0 0 3 2007-10-23 67.6 0 4 1961-10-23 67.5 0 5 2005-10-23 67.2 0 - 1959-10-23 67.2 0 6 2016-10-23 66.8 0 - 2015-10-23 66.8 0 7 1983-10-23 66.7 0 8 2018-10-23 66.4 0 9 2011-10-23 66.2 0 10 1995-10-23 66.1 0 - 1990-10-23 66.1 0 Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NYClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Mean Avg Temperature Sep 1 to Oct 23 Missing Count 1 2021-10-23 66.7 0 2 2017-10-23 66.5 0 3 2005-10-23 65.9 0 4 2007-10-23 65.7 0 5 1990-10-23 65.5 0 6 2018-10-23 65.2 0 - 2011-10-23 65.2 0 7 2016-10-23 64.9 0 - 1980-10-23 64.9 0 8 2015-10-23 64.4 0 9 1971-10-23 64.2 0 10 2014-10-23 63.6 0 - 1998-10-23 63.6 0 - 1983-10-23 63.6 0 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 14 minutes ago, LoboLeader1 said: Hard to believe that the SST's are above normal this time of year. Yeah, those record SSTs are rocket fuel for storms. https://mco.umaine.edu/gom_sst/ 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 11 minutes ago, bluewave said: Yeah, those record SSTs are rocket fuel for storms. https://mco.umaine.edu/gom_sst/ Will bold well for next month and December if the pattern gets better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 8 minutes ago, bluewave said: Yeah, those record SSTs are rocket fuel for storms. https://mco.umaine.edu/gom_sst/ Those super warm SSTs are positively feeding back into the SE ridge/WAR. Given the La Niña/-PDO and those SSTs off the east coast, I think the SE ridge is going to be a big player this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 Morning thoughts… After the coolest morning so far this season in many parts of the region, it will mostly partly cloudy with near seasonable temperatures. High temperatures will likely reach the upper 50s and lower 60s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 59° Newark: 63° Philadelphia: 62° Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 61.6°; 15-Year: 62.0° Newark: 30-Year: 63.0°; 15-Year: 63.8° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 64.2°; 15-Year: 64.5° Tomorrow will be much warmer ahead of a significant rainfall. Out West, a bomb cyclone and atmospheric river will result in record rainfall at Sacramento and parts of northern California. Select daily rainfall records: Downtown Sacramento: October 24 record: 1.21”, 2010 October daily record: 3.63”, October 13, 1962 All-time daily record: 5.28”, April 20, 1880 Sacramento: October 24 record: 1.08”, 2010 October daily record: 3.77”, October 13, 1962 All-time daily record: 3.77”, October 13, 1962 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 8 hours ago, LibertyBell said: Have both gotten to 35 already but not 32 yet? I see Caribou still hasn't hit 32! Caribou’s lowest temperature so far this fall is 33, which occurred on October 5. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderbolt Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 24 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Those super warm SSTs are positively feeding back into the SE ridge/WAR. Given the La Niña/-PDO and those SSTs off the east coast, I think the SE ridge is going to be a big player this winter So another words put a fork in winter already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 30 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Those super warm SSTs are positively feeding back into the SE ridge/WAR. Given the La Niña/-PDO and those SSTs off the east coast, I think the SE ridge is going to be a big player this winter Classic snowman post I guess you haven't learned from the last 2 winters with long range predictions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 42 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Those super warm SSTs are positively feeding back into the SE ridge/WAR. Given the La Niña/-PDO and those SSTs off the east coast, I think the SE ridge is going to be a big player this winter I'm shocked you would say that lol 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 46 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Those super warm SSTs are positively feeding back into the SE ridge/WAR. Given the La Niña/-PDO and those SSTs off the east coast, I think the SE ridge is going to be a big player this winter You just need a short blocking interval nowadays to get a 20-40" blizzard. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 45 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: Caribou’s lowest temperature so far this fall is 33, which occurred on October 5. and still have not reached freezing in any part of our area, not to mention Monticello, Mount Pocono, Westhampton, Toms River, Marthas Vineyard or Scranton! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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