WE GOT HIM Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 Best part of the storm over north shore that got clobbered yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 2 minutes ago, user13 said: Best part of the storm over north shore that got clobbered yesterday. Just heard a rumble of thunder but looks like the storms will go just north of me probably right over the Sound shoreline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 Can’t say I’ve ever seen strong/severe thunderstorms both precede and succeed a Tropical Storm by a matter of hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 Just now, jm1220 said: Just heard a rumble of thunder but looks like the storms will go just north of me probably right over the Sound shoreline. Where are you? A few more firing to the south on the gust front line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 1 minute ago, user13 said: Where are you? A few more firing to the south on the gust front line Near Jericho Turnpike and Rt 110. Maybe I spoke too soon but who knows. We're waterlogged here either way with well over 4" the last 2 days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 i'm in upper manhattan and the best pert of the storm passed south of me.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 2 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Near Jericho Turnpike and Rt 110. Maybe I spoke too soon but who knows. We're waterlogged here either way with well over 4" the last 2 days. Its crazy how much water we get here and the west is so dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 1 minute ago, user13 said: Its crazy how much water we get here and the west is so dry Very difficult to keep any long term dry pattern going here. We always snap right back to wet after any dry stretch. Lots of ways for tropical systems, Gulf moisture, Atlantic moisture, instability etc to fire things up. Many summers do have a south shore dry season where storms fire up all the time inland but die out before reaching the coast. Not this year obviously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 12 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Very difficult to keep any long term dry pattern going here. We always snap right back to wet after any dry stretch. Lots of ways for tropical systems, Gulf moisture, Atlantic moisture, instability etc to fire things up. Many summers do have a south shore dry season where storms fire up all the time inland but die out before reaching the coast. Not this year obviously. Yeah for sure and we also get the big winter storms and fall and spring rain Noreasters. All our resivors are at like 100% Feel like we have been getting wetter and wetter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 7 minutes ago, user13 said: Yeah for sure and we also get the big winter storms and fall and spring rain Noreasters. All our resivor are at like 100% Feel like we have been getting wetter and wetter Yeah, wish there was a way to ship all this water to where it's needed. Like I thought my backyard was a muddy pit when I got back this afternoon from Long Beach. Psv88 said it best when he mentioned swarms of mosquitoes in a few weeks. Apparently there was hail in Long Beach from a storm yesterday. That would've been insane since it almost never happens on the south shore. I can think of maybe one time I ever saw hail there and it was pea size. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 Had 1.60" here in a short time from this storm.... 3.72" for the day. As others have said, intense thunder and lightning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 7/9 EWR: 91 LGA: 89 PHL: 89 New Brnswck: 88 TTN: 88 BLM: 87 ACY: 87 TEB: 87 JFK: 86 ISP: 86 NYC: 85 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 That was a fun storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 5.97" since Tuesday... 6.92" for month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 Picked up 4.16" of rain for the day yesterday. Over 6.00" of rain since Tuesday High for the day yesterday was 90 here. Current temp 70/DP 69/RH 98% 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 5 hours ago, user13 said: How is there no warning for this. This is insane. Lighting hitting everywhere The storm tried really hard to go supercell but I didnt see anything that warranted a warning. It was close though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 1 hour ago, SRRTA22 said: The storm tried really hard to go supercell but I didnt see anything that warranted a warning. It was close though We get warning for garden showers here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 24 minutes ago, user13 said: We get warning for garden showers here Coming from the man who lives in the tornado capitol of the nyc metro That thing tried really hard to wrap around its outflow boundary over S.I/Bayonne - awesome to see. I said the same thing.. "how is it not warned" until I saw it was packing maybe 25-35mph winds haha. Lightning was awesome 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 The next 8 days are averaging 79degs.(72/86), or +1.0. Month to date is 74.8[-2.0]. Should be 76.8[-0.6] by the 18th. Clouds, new rains keeping T lower than it could be. 72*(90%RH) here at 6am, m. clear, scattered thin clouds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 Several stations just had their wettest first 9 days of July on record. So it’s no surprise that July is off to a cooler start. Seems like the only way to keep our summer temperatures down these days is to have a deluge. EWR….+0.6…..4.75 NYC…..-2.1……6.79 LGA……-2.0…..4.74 JFK……-1.1…….3.72 BDR…….-2.1…..7.63 ISP………-1.3.…4.58 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 Morning thoughts… It will be partly sunny and warm. Temperatures will likely reach the upper 70s and lower 80s in most places today. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 79° Newark: 84° Philadelphia: 83° Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 85.0°; 15-Year: 85.8° Newark: 30-Year: 87.1°; 15-Year: 88.1° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 88.0°; 15-Year: 88.9° Tomorrow will be variably cloudy with some showers. Extreme heat will topple records in parts of the western United States and also in Northern Africa and Spain this weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 Couple of day break before returning to the Florida like pattern. Mix of sun and clouds Sat and Sun (7/11) with highs in the low to mid 80s. Transition to the tropical regime Mon (7/12) and Tue (7/13) as the Western Atlantic ridge builds back west, with those days perhaps more stormy and depending on timing and clouds limited 90's. BY Wed (7/14) piece of energy is rounding the edge of the 595 DM ridge and its back to the heat. 850 MB temps >18c and perhaps near 20c Thu (7/15) through Sat (7/17). Have to get through weakness in the ridge that should bring more storms and perhaps a onshore flow for a period in the Sun (7/18) and early week of 7/19. Beyond there the Rockies ridge is still glaring and pieces of that heat machine spreading east in batches. Timing of the next westward of expansion of the W Atl Ridge likely in the last week of July (7/28) period where there could see a link with the Wsetern / Southwest ridge to really pump the heights and heat. Overall warm to hot and stormy continues in this Florida like pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 The next record WAR pattern this week will have more clouds, convection, and onshore flow than the previous ones. So the high temperature potential will be lower. But the mid to upper 70s Miami dew points will make it feel warmer than the actual temperatures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 12 hours ago, Cfa said: Can’t say I’ve ever seen strong/severe thunderstorms both precede and succeed a Tropical Storm by a matter of hours. This tropical system was probably more barotropic than what we’re used to. A more tropical and less baroclinic system means minimal air mass boundaries and a less stable atmosphere behind any cold front that existed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 Clouds broke for sunshine at the New York Botanical Garden sending the temperature into the lower 80s. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 9 minutes ago, Will - Rutgers said: the new summer regime of endless 70+ dews really sucks but if it comes with more thunderstorm activity that’s a nice compromise it is almost mid july the days of summer are winding down.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 Clouds broke for sunshine this afternoon sending temperatures into the 80s in many places. Tomorrow will see more clouds than sun, along with showers and thundershowers. Out West, another bout of extreme heat is underway. Already, some impressive high temperatures have occurred. Select readings today included: Death Valley: 129° (old record: 128°, 2002*) Fresno: 111° Las Vegas: 116° (old record: 114°, 2003 and 2012) Needles, CA: 122° (old record: 121°, 2003) Phoenix: 112° Redding, CA: 114° * - 134° in 1913 is unreliable. Tomorrow will be another scorching day. By the end of the heatwave, Death Valley could be near or even above its annual record of 10 125° or above days. That record was set in 1913 (unreliable) and then tied in 2013 and 2017. In the long-range, the second half of July and August could wind up warmer to perhaps much warmer than normal based on the evolution of the MJO. The MJO was in Phase 1 with an amplitude between 1.500 and 2.000 on multiple days during the June 20-30 period. There were 8 prior cases similar to 2021. The mean temperature for New York City during the July 16-31 period was 79.4° and the mean temperature for August was 77.1° following such cases. The 1991-20 mean temperature for July 16-31 was 77.9° and 76.0° for August. 75% of the July 16-31 cases and 88% of the August cases were warmer than the 1991-20 mean temperatures. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.3°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.1°C for the week centered around June 30. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged 0.00°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.18°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely prevail through August. The SOI was +16.80 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) figure was +0.814 today. On July 8 the MJO was in Phase 3 at an amplitude of 1.003(RMM). The July 7-adjusted amplitude was 0.957 (RMM). In late April, the MJO moved through Phase 8 at an extreme amplitude (+3.000 or above). Only February 25, 1988 and March 18-19, 2015 had a higher amplitude at Phase 8. Both 1988 and 2015 went on to have an exceptionally warm July-August period. July-August 1988 had a mean temperature of 79.1°, which ranked 4th highest for that two-month period. July-August 2015 had a mean temperature of 78.9°, which ranked 5th highest for that two-month period. September 2015 was also the warmest September on record. The MJO's extreme passage through Phase 8 could provide the first hint of a hot summer. Since 1896, 76% of years that saw Phoenix reach 115° or above in June, as occurred this year, had a warmer than July-August in the Middle Atlantic region. The ratio of top 30 July-August temperatures relative to bottom 30 temperatures was 6:1 in favor of the warmth. Overall, the ingredients continue to fall into place for a warmer than normal to potentially hot summer. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 51% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 77.7° (0.2° above normal). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 I like to experience summer time T storms as much as the rest of us but it's been relentless in the past week (here in Manhattan anyway) and looks to repeat this coming week. A few mostly sunny days without the need to worry about an afternoon or evening soaker would be nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 27 minutes ago, nycwinter said: it is almost mid july the days of summer are winding down.. Can't wait til I can start the winter is winding down posts on January 1st. 1 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SI Mailman Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 A view of the cell coming from CitiField. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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