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March 2021


wdrag
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This officially ends the 8th longest under 55° day streak at Newark. It was also the 25th longest under 60° day streak.
 

Number of Consecutive Days Max Temperature < 55 
for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Run Length
Ending Date
Period of record: 1931-01-01 to 2021-03-08
1 111 1963-03-23
2 87 1941-03-22
3 84 2003-03-14
4 83 1956-02-24
5 78 1969-03-16
6 77 1977-02-22
7 76 1968-03-07
- 76 1948-02-17
8 73 2021-03-08
9 69 1971-02-11
10 65 2015-03-10
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29 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

60 here

too early for this crap

We had a very good winter. Now it's time for nice warm weather for outdoor activities. I know you're a big baseball fan, so it always puzzles me when you say you'd want blizzards all year round. Wouldn't that make it difficult for our NY Mets to play baseball? I love snow, but would never want it all year round. Snow November through mid March is very nice, but after that we need the warmer weather for things like outdoor sports and the growing season.

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So far JFK is the big warm and dry downslope flow winner at 65°.

000
SXUS51 KOKX 091757
OSOOKX
New York City Metropolitan Area Weather Roundup
National Weather Service New York NY
100 PM EST TUE MAR 09 2021

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
Central Park   SUNNY     63  27  25 W9G17     30.29F
LaGuardia Arpt MOSUNNY   60  28  29 NW13      30.26F
Kennedy Intl   MOSUNNY   65  29  25 W15G24    30.27F
Newark Liberty MOSUNNY   64  27  24 NW15      30.27F
Teterboro Arpt SUNNY     61  32  33 NW16G22   30.26F
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18 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

We had a very good winter. Now it's time for nice warm weather for outdoor activities. I know you're a big baseball fan, so it always puzzles me when you say you'd want blizzards all year round. Wouldn't that make it difficult for our NY Mets to play baseball? I love snow, but would never want it all year round. Snow November through mid March is very nice, but after that we need the warmer weather for things like outdoor sports and the growing season.

Snow is melting, the practice green will be clearing, time to start rolling some putts... and yes, Play ball. Go Mets. 

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3 hours ago, bluewave said:

Our first 60° day since Christmas.

 

DF6B7AE5-9343-4CAC-9D1A-63A516F00F5A.thumb.png.3526125f1434ba11b02a702d8e3e25b3.png

 

It’s crazy how many late Dec 60’s we’ve been seeing in recent years.

66 here currently, warmest day since Nov 27th which had a high of 67.

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21 minutes ago, Cfa said:

It’s crazy how many late Dec 60’s we’ve been seeing in recent years.

66 here currently, warmest day since Nov 27th which had a high of 67.

More than crazy, it's irritating.  As someone who ties holiday mood to cold weather (perhaps this is in the medical books somewhere), these diabolically placed 60 degree days just before Christmas which have seemed to occur almost every year since about 2013 have got to go.

 

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9 minutes ago, coastalplainsnowman said:

More than crazy, it's irritating.  As someone who ties holiday mood to cold weather (perhaps this is in the medical books somewhere), these diabolically placed 60 degree days just before Christmas which have seemed to occur almost every year since about 2013 have got to go.

 

Especially when we end up with a warm rain and fog on Christmas Eve, which has happened a couple times lately also.  

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The big AO and NAO volatility continues on the 12z guidance. Models have the +5 AO rise and warm up this week. But now they introduce a -4.5 SD 50/50 low over the weekend. This wave break may result in a return to a more east based -NAO in mid to late March. So I think that’s why the models are struggling so much with the storm details past 120 hrs. The main takeaway may be this week will be the warmest for a while as lows may cutoff  behind the intense 50/50 vortex.

58B3C868-E9A1-4BFC-8521-A02B94643E61.thumb.jpeg.208d2a8b25daaef02d4014410b8c72df.jpeg

 

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14 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The big AO and NAO volatility continues on the 12z guidance. Models have the +5 AO rise and warm up this week. But now they introduce a -4.5 SD 50/50 low over the weekend. This wave break may result in a return to a more east based -NAO in mid to late March. So I think that’s why the models are struggling so much with the storm details past 120 hrs. The main takeaway may be this week will be the warmest for a while as lows may cutoff  behind the intense 50/50 vortex.

58B3C868-E9A1-4BFC-8521-A02B94643E61.thumb.jpeg.208d2a8b25daaef02d4014410b8c72df.jpeg

 

Agreed... I do think op models and ens are coming around and will post shortly in the storm thread.  It's how strong the multiple hort waves developing the -NAO... and it may be that the models are too strong too soon. Maybe I'm wish casting but significant wintry weather appears headed for the midAtlantic and at least a part of the northeast beginning this weekend.  

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40 minutes ago, wdrag said:

Agreed... I do think op models and ens are coming around and will post shortly in the storm thread.  It's how strong the multiple hort waves developing the -NAO... and it may be that the models are too strong too soon. Maybe I'm wish casting but significant wintry weather appears headed for the midAtlantic and at least a part of the northeast beginning this weekend.  

Yeah, the big 50/50 low and east based block snuck up on the models. The individual storm details will probably have to wait a while. But the volatility in the North Atlantic sector over the last month has been very impressive. 

New run

C31CB2D8-B5A7-4EFC-9629-B5875A3BB808.thumb.png.0173da862e525054547d29a4059f9f0e.png

Old run

4E655806-5ED2-41B3-B630-4C6AFF3B69DA.thumb.png.1bbffdbd755b66ce0c85a5e0d1dad334.png

 

 

 

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28 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Yeah, the big 50/50 low and east based block snuck up on the models. The individual storm details will probably have to wait a while. But the volatility in the North Atlantic sector over the last month has been very impressive. 

New run

C31CB2D8-B5A7-4EFC-9629-B5875A3BB808.thumb.png.0173da862e525054547d29a4059f9f0e.png

Old run

4E655806-5ED2-41B3-B630-4C6AFF3B69DA.thumb.png.1bbffdbd755b66ce0c85a5e0d1dad334.png

 

 

 

Confluence has always won out this winter. 

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27 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Confluence has always won out this winter. 

The 50/50 lows have been beating model expectations over that record warm pool. Started out with the near record 935 mb 50/50 low ahead of the Dec 17-18 storm. Then we saw the -5SD TPV dive into Eastern New England last week.

 

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51 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The 50/50 lows have been beating model expectations over that record warm pool. Started out with the near record 935 mb 50/50 low ahead of the Dec 17-18 storm. Then we saw the -5SD TPV dive into Eastern New England last week.

 

A big reason why NNJ and Abe have been the sweet spot this winter 

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3 hours ago, coastalplainsnowman said:

More than crazy, it's irritating.  As someone who ties holiday mood to cold weather (perhaps this is in the medical books somewhere), these diabolically placed 60 degree days just before Christmas which have seemed to occur almost every year since about 2013 have got to go.

 

The worst was this Christmas Eve. I still had about 6-8 inches of snow otg Christmas Eve and woke up to A green Christmas Morning. The Weather Channel should have given that storm one of its stupid winter storm names. They should have named it winter storm “&$?!!/&$/)($&” 

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growing up in the late 50's 60's NYC would be cold or have snow on the ground Christmas morning...1959-1963 Newark NJ had at least 2" of snow on the ground Christmas morning...then in 1964 NYC had a warm Christmas for the first time in years and it was a shock to me...it snowed 3" on Dec 20th 1964 and it looked like another white Christmas coming up...But a warm front on Christmas eve sent temperatures to near 50's by midnight and near 70 in Newark Christmas day...1965 was another warm depressing Christmas...1966 made up for the previous two years with a snowstorm Christmas eve...

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