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Hoosier

February 14-16 Winter Storm

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1 hour ago, ILSNOW said:

NAM 54 hrs

snku_acc.us_mw.png

 

Will buy in if globals continue NW trend in 12Z and beyond. Always chance for recorrection SE especially on the fringe here.

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2 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said:

Always fun to take the time to post on here along with@purduewx80 and any other NWS mets that post here and on other subs, and see others saying they'd have no problem defunding the NWS.

Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
 

I don't work for NWS but I know how frustrating it can be to see it. You, and several other red taggers in this subforum, provide some great information. We are lucky to have you. 

To those that are so quick to toss the NWS and all their hard work, we see you. For one second, just put yourself in their shoes and then make your judgment.

Anyways, off my soapbox and back to the good stuff...

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11 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said:

Always fun to take the time to post on here along with@purduewx80 and any other NWS mets that post here and on other subs, and see others saying they'd have no problem defunding the NWS.

Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
 

I do not support defunding the agency that has to try forecasting something as variable as the weather. Weather is fickle, weather is emotionless. Weather does whatever it wants to do, and that can change on a dime.

As a general point: I couldn’t do the job that RC & Purdue do; and we should be even more thankful to have them around to give their expertise. It’s like if you were on the Reddit page for Game of Thrones/your favorite TV show & one of the actors was a regular contributor. Can’t take it for granted.

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1 hour ago, SchaumburgStormer said:

Trend is our friend. WAGONS NORTH! 
 

Went from a DAB yesterday to being in a solid advisory event now. 
 

LES is going to be epic. We will be unmoderated for awhile while Hoosier blacks out in joy. 

Funny how relative everything is.  Here I'm sitting thrilled at the potential for 2" after it looking DAB to DAB+ yesterday lol.  

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Will there ever be a time when technology is so great that models can forecast the exact weather with 100% accuracy 7 days out ?

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1 minute ago, Snownado said:

Will there ever be a time when technology is so great that models can forecast the exact weather with 100% accuracy 7 days out ?

To be honest I think that would take the fun and artistry out of forecasting and tracking these systems.

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Anyway..trend is undeniable here. Should be by far the biggest event of the season. Snow emergency is essentially guaranteed at this point so will be swamped at the city doing snow removal. Bring it on

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1 minute ago, Cary67 said:

To be honest I think that would take the fun and artistry out of forecasting and tracking these systems.

It might take the fun out, but it would also take the stress out !

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4 minutes ago, Snownado said:

Will there ever be a time when technology is so great that models can forecast the exact weather with 100% accuracy 7 days out ?

IMO the biggest challenge is getting the initial conditions correct. A 100x more powerful supercomputer can't take detailed in-situ upper air measurements over the pacific. This is why using ensembles are so important when forecasting more than a couple days out.

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4 minutes ago, MIstorm97 said:

Anyway..trend is undeniable here. Should be by far the biggest event of the season. Snow emergency is essentially guaranteed at this point so will be swamped at the city doing snow removal. Bring it on

Whats your snow depth? Got the delta app fired up and really close to booking a flight home tonight and staying for the week in hopes of the late week storm producing too. Could be record snow depth. 

 

Hoosiers asleep at the ban switch!

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12z OP GFS bumped NW, but still we’ll SE of other guidance.

 

 

.

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1 minute ago, Stevo6899 said:

Whats your snow depth? Got the delta app fired up and really close to booking a flight home tonight and staying for the week in hopes of the late week storm producing too. Could be record snow depth. 

About 6” or so. Felt like deep winter this morning shoveling yesterday’s fluff in the cold temps. Snow tomorrow should be pretty fluffy too, so shoveling won’t be super bad. Already at 8.8” for the month (8.3” at DTW), so if this week works out then we’re heading into a top 10 February probably 

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Hard not to get excited right now, the trends are looking fabulous. This could be the biggest event for me locally in 4-5 years. 
 

 

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Hard not to get excited right now, the trends are looking fabulous. This could be the biggest event for me locally in 4-5 years. 
 
 

You’re golden. Enjoy it.


.
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Just now, Chicago Storm said:


You’re golden. Enjoy it.


.

The words of a true legend. Time to go stock on some IPAs and burn some personal days Monday and Tuesday because I’m cough cough sick. 

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1 minute ago, Chambana said:

Hard not to get excited right now, the trends are looking fabulous. This could be the biggest event for me locally in 4-5 years. 
 

 

I wish I was a little further west. I think you will be the jackpot.

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2 minutes ago, MIstorm97 said:

About 6” or so. Felt like deep winter this morning shoveling yesterday’s fluff in the cold temps. Snow tomorrow should be pretty fluffy too, so shoveling won’t be super bad. Already at 8.8” for the month (8.3” at DTW), so if this week works out then we’re heading into a top 10 February probably 

Curious how dtx is gonna handle this headline wise, grr too.

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12z Para GFS continued the bump NW trend as well.

 

 

.

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1 minute ago, Chicago Storm said:

12z Para GFS continued the bump NW trend as well.

 

 

.

If todays runs so far hold true, score one for the parallel. And maybe the euro but i dont recall if euro had the snow as far nw the past few days.

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1 minute ago, OrdIowPitMsp said:

Perhaps the problem is the NWS isn’t funded enough and we should increase funding for scientific research. Ever think of that one?

@RCNYILWX and the other Mets who contribute to this forum

image.jpeg.57b445486aca3a5f3b62e17a7c2e6a73.jpeg

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If todays runs so far hold true, score one for the parallel. And maybe the euro but i dont recall if euro had the snow as far nw the past few days.

It did several runs ago, but definitely kudos to the Para GFS of this holds.


.

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33 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said:

Always fun to take the time to post on here along with [mention=1610]purduewx80[/mention] and any other NWS mets that post here and on other subs, and see others saying they'd have no problem defunding the NWS.

 I have a huge problem with this. We won't get weather models and a ton of other stuff. This forum would cease to exist and Skywarn as a function would also cease to exist as well. Want to know when the tornado is coming, look up. 

People with their big mouths don't actually understand the cascading effects of such a drastic change. 

 

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9 minutes ago, Chambana said:

Hard not to get excited right now, the trends are looking fabulous. This could be the biggest event for me locally in 4-5 years. 
 

 

You've endured enough 33 and rain, so enjoy the hell out of this! :snowing:

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1 hour ago, RCNYILWX said:

You have wiggle room because of the excellent antecedent air mass. Never want to say never in weather but I think your area will be okay. Ohio is more of an issue with east and southward extent.

 

 

 

what are your thoughts for the portage, mi area? GRR has this as a non event pretty much atm.

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Welp, I'm getting nervous. This is not how I wanted to wake up at all! Stop trending northwest dammit!

 

Seriously, I am on the north side of Cincy, but based on these trends I'm glad I called 6-10. I'm not sure we get there.

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2 minutes ago, Chicago WX said:

Sh*tty government model version 16

 

16.png

Lookin' solid here.

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Just now, blue60007 said:

Lookin' solid here.

Indeed. Going to be a real nice one for you guys. :D

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3 minutes ago, cyclone77 said:

You've endured enough 33 and rain, so enjoy the hell out of this! :snowing:

Thanks cyclone :thumbsup: I won’t sleep tonight lol. 

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