iluvsnow

Here in Bellbrook just southeast of Dayton....the southwestern one half of the view are completely cloud free....no cirus....no cumulus....completely cloud free. The sun will start cooking soon. This as of 11:00 AM.

Same dilemma here in Bellbrook. Don't have an answer yet in my mind. Watching the forecast and optimistic we might have a fairly sunny day. Whatever is decided on the drive or not drive, stay away from the Interstates. They will be a mess. I have plotted a back country route into eastern Indiana if that's what I decide. My sister lives in Nashville Indiana, She is near the middle of the cone, thus a long duration period of totality. She told me retailers in town are selling parking spots for up to $150, with no refunds it ifs overcast. lol

Was just reading about the "most anomalous" weather month in US history....March 1843. Fascinating reading. It included a huge midmonth snowstorm in Tennessee and 25 degree below normal temperatures for the month of March for much of the central and eastern US. Fort Snelling in St. Paul Minnesota averaged an unbelievable 4 degrees above zero for the month. Snow fell in Tennessee well into April. Just wonder what kind of meteorological setup could have produced such weather. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/284436645_March_1843_The_Most_Abnormal_Month_Ever https://www.weather.gov/ohx/18430315

And to think fans....this might be the primo event of the winter.....sad times indeed!

A season best....actually season total now....2.5 just SE of Dayton in Bellbrook. Nothing but rain on the horizen for the foreseeable future. And so it goes. Looks like yet another well below average snowfall season.

For all of the hype about this winter, its January 18th and still waiting for my first inch of snow for the winter. With long range looking warm, this pip squeak of an event may be it.

The sad thing here is we haven't had even an inch yet and we are approaching mid January. And after the dry cold spell...I am expecting warm and wet again. Maybe we set a record with a winter without snow.

It's how we roll in Ohio and the Miami Valley....snow hole of the Midwest!

We live in Ohio...we know how this will go. Two back to back slobberknockers go NW of us.....we stay warm and rain. Then, the the third either goes too far southeast,,or, just goes poof and it gets cold over backside snow showers. How we've seen this movie many times before.

Based on the synoptic set-up, after Tuesday's rainer.....we have opportunities for some dogs.....maybe even some big dogs if timing and wave placement works out the rest of the month. Someone will cash in. The Ohio Valley is due.

As always, I will be checking in on your region and your winter threads this season. Your knowledge, and enthusiasm are contagious. Being in a contiguous region to our Ohio Valley, I know that what comes up from the south and west....affects you guys first. Here's to a great snow season ahead, for both of our regions.

Mark it down....the first happy hour digital snow storm of the season.....and we're off and running.......

Is it too late to bet? Xenia, OH Natural Disasters and Weather Extremes USA.com http://www.usa.com › Ohio › Xenia, OH A total of 73 historical tornado events that had recorded magnitude of 2 or above found in or near Xenia, OH. Distance (miles), Date, Magnitude, Start Lat/Log .I Van Wert, OH Natural Disasters and Weather Extremes USA.com http://www.usa.com › ... › Van Wert, OH A total of 62 historical tornado events that had recorded magnitude of 2 or above found in or near Van Wert, OH. ... * The information on this page is based on ...

I don't know about Van Wert...but Xenia may argue with you on the tornado capitol of Ohio.

And six hours later.....poof!!!!!!!

Returned a week ago from a 12 day sojourn to Alaska. Bucket list trip with my daughter. Fairbanks to Denali on the Alaska Railroad. 3 days in the park...then train ride to Anchorage. The constant daylight was freaky, especially in Fairbanks. Fortunately we departed before mosquito season hit full force. With the ground frozen under about a half foot of top soil there is standing water everywhere. Perfect for the little blood suckers to breed. All in all a great trip. Fresh cool and dry air, beautiful scenery and lots of snow on the mountains. Highly recommend.

As usual....Cromartie is hiding in his palms. His March torch forecast is frost bitten.

I concur. The absolutely only saving grace was a white Christmas and the preceding Arctic outbreak. Too many of these turds in a row. Let's hope the coming El Nino is a weak one and shakes things up so we have a better winter. Cheers till next fall!

Crappy spring in coming. Where was this MJO in the dead of winter? What an amplitude in Phase 8!!!!

You know Minneapolis will reel this in. It's fate!

Enjoy your snowstorm Cromartie... https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lon=-87.93006756864835&lat=43.399882071720384

I ended with 7 inches. Too bad we don't have a push of cold air after. Soggy shoveling in Bellbrook. Real heart attack snow. But I'll take it.

Where the hell is everyone? NWS forecast for Dayton area is 1-3 and we at 9:45 have 5 inches and more to come. Still in the game for midweek. Wake-up....unless everyone has hybernated.

Using Kuchera (to make it look extra tasty) the 18z GFS shows what can happen if we are on the right side of a battle of the Arctic push against the SE ridge. If we get 3 inches in the next 16 days I will be shocked.